中国储能行业 - 中国储能系统（BESS）安装的政策利好-China Energy Storage Industry_ Policy tailwinds for China BESS installation

Summary of the Conference Call on China Energy Storage Industry Industry Overview - Industry: China Energy Storage Industry, specifically focusing on Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) [2][5] Key Points and Arguments 1. Policy Support for BESS: - On November 10, 2025, China’s NDRC and NEA issued guidelines to enhance the consumption and dispatch of renewable energy, targeting a significant increase in renewable power generation by 2030 and 2035 [2][3] - By 2030, the annual power demand addition will be primarily met by renewable energy, with a goal of ensuring consumption capability for 200GW of renewable capacity addition per year [2] 2. Capacity Compensation Mechanism: - The policy aims to improve the capacity compensation mechanism for BESS, which is expected to diversify revenue streams and enhance returns for BESS projects [3] - Inner Mongolia updated its provincial capacity compensation to Rmb0.28/kWh for BESS commissioned in 2026, a 20% decrease from Rmb0.35/kWh in 2025, valid for 10 years [3] 3. BESS Price Trends: - The price of BESS systems in China increased by 4% and 2% week-over-week to Rmb0.50/Wh for 2-hour systems and Rmb0.46/Wh for 4-hour systems as of November 3, 2025 [4] - Despite a 12% month-over-month decline in bidding volume in October, strong domestic demand for BESS is anticipated in Q4 2025, typically a peak season for renewable project interconnections [4] 4. Valuation and Market Outlook: - The report maintains a positive outlook on both China and global BESS demand, expecting manufacturers' margins to recover due to improved project IRR for downstream customers [5] - Companies like Sungrow and CSI Solar are expected to benefit from robust global BESS demand and an increasing order pipeline [5] Risks and Considerations 1. Downside Risks: - Major risks to the energy storage industry include slower-than-expected growth in domestic renewable energy capacity, smaller-than-expected peak-trough electricity price spreads, and potential import restrictions on China-made products [7] Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the potential for increased market participation in renewable+BESS projects, which could lead to higher utilization rates and improved pricing dynamics for BESS [2][3] - The anticipated strong demand from international markets, including the US and Europe, is expected to sustain the growth of the BESS sector in China [4]