SIASUN(SZ:300024)2025-11-18 09:41Summary of Conference Call on Humanoid Robotics Industry Industry Overview - The conference focused on the humanoid robotics sector within the China Industrials industry, highlighting the current state and future expectations for humanoid robots and related technologies [1][3][9]. Key Companies Discussed - Fortior (1304.HK) - Paxini (Private) - Zhaowei (003021.SZ) - UBTECH (9880.HK) - TC Drive (Private) - Youibot (Private) [3] Core Insights and Arguments Adoption and Market Growth - UBTECH has delivered approximately 200 humanoid robots year-to-date (YTD) and anticipates reaching around 500 units and approximately Rmb400 million in revenue for the full year 2025, with expectations of 2,000 to 3,000 units in 2026 [4][18]. - Paxini predicts the industry volume of humanoids with working capabilities will reach 10,000 units in 2026 [4]. - Zhaowei expects its revenue from humanoid-related products to quadruple to around Rmb100 million in 2026 from Rmb20-30 million in 2025 [14]. - TC Drive anticipates its humanoid-related revenue to double next year [27]. Importance of Use Case Verification - User feedback is deemed crucial for growth in 2026, with companies like TC Drive and Youibot emphasizing the need for real-world application testing to validate humanoid robots' effectiveness [5][30]. - Specialized robots are seen as more efficient and cost-effective for industrial applications, with humanoids serving as supplemental solutions [5][30]. Technological Developments - Fortior is developing a coreless motor joint venture and rotary transformer technology, indicating ongoing innovation in humanoid components [12]. - Zhaowei is exploring various dexterous hand technologies, noting that no single optimal solution exists yet [15]. - UBTECH is set to unveil a new humanoid model equipped with the Nvidia Thor chip in 1H26, aiming to enhance performance [18][20]. Challenges and Limitations - Despite improvements in humanoid robots' working capabilities, efficiency remains significantly lower than human labor, currently at about 30% of human efficiency, with a target to improve to 60% next year [19]. - The humanoid robotics industry is still in its early stages, with many technologies not yet fully developed or settled [12][9]. Additional Important Insights - The supply chain is experimenting with new technologies, such as rotary transformers and aluminum components, but practical applications remain uncertain [9]. - Real data collection is critical for training humanoid robots, with companies like Paxini investing in data collection facilities to gather high-quality data for machine learning [23][25]. - The market outlook for humanoid robotics remains optimistic, with various companies setting ambitious targets for 2026 despite the current limitations in humanoid capabilities [9]. Conclusion - The humanoid robotics industry is poised for growth, driven by technological advancements and increasing adoption in various sectors. However, challenges related to efficiency, technology development, and real-world application validation must be addressed to realize the full potential of humanoid robots in the market [1][9].