Service International(US:SCI)2025-11-18 15:00Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has targeted an 8-12% earnings growth framework since 2004, achieving a compounded earnings growth of approximately 14.5% from 2004 to 2019 [2][4] - The company expects to continue executing on a normalized basis within the 8-12% earnings growth framework for 2026 and beyond [4][24] - The company reported a revenue of $4.2 billion, with SCI Direct contributing about $200 million [18][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core funeral business has a cremation mix of approximately 57%-58%, with expectations to stabilize around 75%-80% in the long term [11][12] - The company has seen a decline in volumes from 6% in 2022 to a flat to slightly down expectation for 2025, indicating a normalization post-COVID [5][8] - Cemetery pre-need production is bifurcated into core sales and large sales, with large sales representing about 12%-14% of total cemetery pre-need production [25][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demographic trends indicate that the oldest baby boomers will turn 80 next year, which is expected to gradually impact the company's volumes starting in 2029 [6][7] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in volumes of about 0.5% to 2% over the next decade as the baby boomer demographic begins to impact the market [8][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on capital deployment and executing a clustering strategy to maximize operating leverage [2][4] - The company is actively pursuing acquisitions, targeting a spend of $75 million-$125 million, with a goal to increase market share from 17%-18% to around 25%-30% [36][39] - The company is shifting from trust-funded pre-need products to insurance-funded products to enhance economic terms and improve revenue [51][54] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the impact of COVID-19 has subsided, leading to a normalization of volumes and a focus on long-term growth strategies [3][5] - The company is optimistic about future growth driven by demographic trends and strategic acquisitions, despite current market challenges [36][41] Other Important Information - The company has invested approximately $160 million in capital to enhance cemetery offerings and create tiered inventory options [15][16] - The company has shifted its sales strategy to defer the delivery of certain pre-need merchandise, which is expected to create a backlog but ultimately lead to growth in the pre-need matured line item [20][21] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the demographic trends impacting the business? - Management highlighted that the oldest baby boomers will turn 80 next year, which will gradually impact healthcare and the company's services starting in 2029 [6][7] Question: How is the company addressing the shift towards cremation? - The company has a cremation mix of about 57%-58% and is managing this trend by providing diverse offerings and educating consumers about cremation options [11][12][14] Question: What is the impact of the decision to stop delivering pre-need merchandise at the time of sale? - Management explained that this decision is expected to create a backlog but will lead to growth in the pre-need matured line item over the next decade [20][21] Question: How does the company plan to grow through acquisitions? - The company has a strong pipeline of acquisition opportunities and aims to increase its market share through strategic tuck-in acquisitions [36][39] Question: What are the expectations for EPS growth moving forward? - The company targets an 8-12% EPS growth, with 5-7% coming from base business growth and the remainder from share buybacks and acquisitions [46][47]