X Financial(US:XYF)2025-11-21 14:32Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, total net revenue reached RMB 1.96 billion, reflecting a 23.9% year-over-year increase but a 13.7% decline sequentially from Q2 [6][14] - Income from operations was RMB 331.9 million, down 29.9% year-over-year and 46.4% sequentially, primarily due to higher provisions for credit losses [14] - Net income was RMB 421.2 million, up 12.1% year-over-year but down 20.2% sequentially [14] - The delinquency rates increased, with the 31-60 day delinquency rate rising to 1.85% from 1.16% in Q2 and 1.02% a year ago [7][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company facilitated and originated RMB 33.64 billion in loans, an 18.7% increase year-over-year but a 13.7% decline sequentially [4][10] - The outstanding loan balance at the end of the quarter was RMB 62.83 billion, up 37.3% from the previous year [10] - Approximately 3.48 million loans were facilitated, representing a 32% increase year-over-year, with an average loan size of RMB 9,654 [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The active borrower base was approximately 2.44 million, down 14.4% sequentially but up 24.2% year-over-year [10] - The regulatory environment remains stringent, with a focus on consumer protection and responsible lending practices [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is prioritizing asset quality and risk management over short-term volume expansion, reflecting a strategic shift in response to regulatory pressures [4][9] - There is a commitment to maintaining a compliance-first mindset and adapting to evolving regulatory standards [9][10] - The focus is on cost efficiency and disciplined execution to ensure long-term value preservation [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects challenges to persist in the coming quarters but remains confident in the company's ability to navigate these with prudence [18] - The outlook for Q4 2025 anticipates total loan facilitation in the range of RMB 21 billion to RMB 23 billion, reflecting a measured pace of origination [17] - Management acknowledges the potential for continued pressure on industry pricing and profitability due to regulatory changes [9][10] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately $67.9 million in shares under its buyback program, with about $48 million remaining under the existing plan [16][26] - The balance sheet remains strong, with total assets at RMB 14.69 billion, up 26.4% year-over-year [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the expected take rate for Q4 given the current risk situation? - Management indicated that the new regulatory regime will likely have a material negative impact on volume, margin, and profitability, making it premature to discuss specific take rates [24][25] Question: Is the company considering returning more capital to shareholders? - Management confirmed that capital return remains a key strategy, with ongoing share repurchases and a commitment to maintaining dividends despite industry pressures [26][27] Question: How does management view the regulatory environment going into early 2026? - Management expressed uncertainty about future regulatory actions but emphasized a focus on compliance and consumer protection [32] Question: Can management provide more details on the uptick in delinquencies? - Management acknowledged the increase in delinquencies due to broader economic challenges and indicated that they expect the delinquency rate to continue climbing in the short term [33][34]