阿里巴巴:2026 财年第二季度初步解读-云业务与资本支出超预期,电商符合预期,即时零售成焦点;买入
2025-11-26 14:15

Summary of Alibaba Group (BABA) 2QFY26 Earnings Call Company Overview - Company: Alibaba Group (BABA) - Quarter: 2QFY26 Key Highlights Industry and Company Performance - Cloud Revenue Growth: Alibaba reported a 34% year-over-year (yoy) increase in cloud revenue, with 29% growth from external customers, surpassing Goldman Sachs estimates of 31% [1][2] - AI Capital Expenditure: Capital expenditure (CapEx) rose by 80% yoy to Rmb32 billion (approximately US$4.4 billion), exceeding Goldman Sachs estimates of Rmb27 billion [1][2] - eCommerce Performance: Customer management revenue (CMR) grew by 10% yoy, aligning with estimates but with a 2% higher absolute number due to restated figures [2] - Group EBITA Decline: Group EBITA decreased by 78% yoy, attributed to significant investments in quick commerce [1][2] Financial Metrics - Total Revenues: Reached Rmb247.795 billion, a 5% yoy increase, and 3% above estimates [10] - Adjusted EBITA: Reported at Rmb9.073 billion, which is 78% lower yoy and 11% above estimates [10] - Non-GAAP EPS: Declined by 71% yoy to Rmb4.36, falling short of estimates by 22% [2][10] Strategic Insights - Quick Commerce Business: The company noted improvements in unit economics within its quick commerce segment, with expectations of narrowing losses to Rmb-19 billion in the December quarter [1] - AI Infrastructure Development: Management emphasized the importance of building a 'Super AI' infrastructure, targeting a 10X power consumption increase by 2032 [3] - AI Monetization: Discussion on the revenue potential of Alibaba's Tongyi AI model family, including closed-source models, was highlighted [3] Shareholder Returns - Share Repurchase: The company repurchased US$253 million worth of shares in the September quarter, down from US$815 million in the June quarter [2] Risks and Outlook - Investment Risks: Key risks include slower GMV growth, lower monetization rates, and increased competition in the eCommerce space [8] - Market Reaction: Initial positive share price reaction (+4% pre-market) attributed to strong performance in AI and cloud segments, reinforcing the AI-driven narrative for Alibaba [1] Conclusion - Alibaba Group demonstrated solid growth in its cloud segment and significant investments in AI, despite challenges in its eCommerce and overall profitability. The focus on quick commerce and AI infrastructure development positions the company for potential future growth, although risks remain in the competitive landscape.