舜宇光学-管理层电话会：AIAR 眼镜受益于需求增长与规格升级；2026 年智能手机市场稳健

Summary of Sunny Optical Management Call Company Overview - Company: Sunny Optical (2382.HK) - Industry: Optical components and technology, focusing on AI/AR glasses and smartphone cameras Key Points AI / AR Glasses Market Outlook - Management is optimistic about the growth of AI / AR glasses in 2026, driven by increasing demand and specification upgrades [1][3] - The company is a major supplier of camera lenses and modules for leading global AI / AR glasses brands, as well as local brands [1] - AI / AR glasses are expected to become a new interface for digital interaction, enhancing hands-free communication and AI assistant interaction [1] - Specification upgrades in AI / AR glasses will attract more consumers, with expectations of more camera integration from one to over ten cameras to improve user experience [3] XR Business Performance - The XR revenue outlook for 2026 is positive, with anticipated new product launches and specification upgrades [3] - Revenue for 2025 is expected to remain flat due to a lack of new VR headset launches, but growth is expected in 2026 with new models [3] Competitive Advantages of AI / AR Glasses - AI / AR glasses offer several advantages over VR headsets, including: 1. Easier first-person perspective photography [4] 2. Enhanced human-machine interaction through Gen-AI features [4] 3. Ability to maintain connection with surroundings, making them more practical for daily use [4] 4. Improved wearing experience with lighter materials and better specifications [4] 5. Competitive pricing, exemplified by Meta's AI glasses co-branded with Ray-Ban at US$299 [4] Smartphone Camera Market Outlook - Management expects the global smartphone market to remain flat in 2026 due to saturation and rising memory costs affecting product pipelines [9] - Despite this, there is a positive trend in smartphone camera specification upgrades, which will help brands differentiate their products [9] - Sunny Optical anticipates a revenue growth target of 5-10% year-over-year for smartphone cameras, with a double-digit increase in average selling price (ASP) due to product mix upgrades [9] Financial Projections - The company has set a 12-month target price of HK$91.1 based on a P/E ratio of 21.6x for 2026E, which aligns with its historical trading range [10] - Current market cap is HK$70.2 billion, with projected revenues increasing from Rmb 38.3 billion in 2024 to Rmb 56.8 billion by 2027 [12] Risks and Considerations - Potential risks include competition in the handset lens market, shipment growth variability in camera modules, and fluctuations in operational expenses [11] - Currency fluctuations, particularly the appreciation or depreciation of the RMB, could also impact financial performance [11] Conclusion Sunny Optical is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI / AR glasses and smartphone camera upgrades, with a solid outlook for 2026. The company’s strategic focus on product innovation and market share expansion in high-end segments is expected to drive growth, despite potential risks in a competitive landscape.