The Cheesecake Factory(CAKE) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company provided guidance for FY 2026, expecting revenue growth of 4%-5%, supported by a low single-digit comp growth of 1%-2% and new unit contributions leading to approximately 5% net income growth [2][27] - The average check at Cheesecake Factory is approximately $30 for all occasions, with lunch checks being about 20%-30% less [44][46] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Flower Child, the fast casual brand, continues to show strength and is differentiated from traditional fast casual dining, contributing positively to the overall portfolio [7][12] - North Italia has been experiencing some volatility but maintains an average unit volume (AUV) of roughly $8 million, with new openings exceeding sales expectations [73] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has observed a stable consumer environment, with slightly slower spending but no significant pressure on any specific demographic cohort [7][8] - The industry has seen a pullback in alcoholic beverage sales, but total beverage rates have remained stable, indicating continued consumer interest in dining out [25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to open 26 new restaurants in FY 2026, continuing its growth trajectory across its portfolio [28] - The rewards program is a key focus, with efforts to drive guest engagement and increase visit frequency through personalized marketing [29][41] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current operating environment, citing strong P&L resiliency and predictability of sales [8] - The company believes that experiential dining will remain a priority for consumers, particularly among younger demographics [18] Other Important Information - The company is developing a new app to enhance guest experience, allowing for easier reservations and order placements, which is expected to launch in the first half of FY 2026 [30] - The international portfolio consists of 35 restaurants, with plans to open 3-5 additional locations annually, indicating a positive outlook for international growth [77] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the company positioned in the pricing debate versus food at home? - Management believes that their experiential dining model differentiates them from food at home, and they do not see significant trade-offs affecting their business [14][15] Question: What is the average frequency of visits for guests? - The average guest visits Cheesecake Factory four to six times a year, with the goal of increasing this through the rewards program [33] Question: How does the company plan to address the performance of North Italia? - Management is implementing a price-fixed lunch menu to attract more guests while maintaining the core concept [72] Question: What is the outlook for international growth? - The company anticipates opening 3-5 international restaurants per year, with strong performance from existing partners [77] Question: How does the company view its capital allocation strategy? - The company plans to maintain a CapEx range of $200 million-$210 million for FY 2026, balancing dividends and share repurchases while maintaining a strong cash flow [78]