Kroger(KR) - 2026 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
KrogerKroger(US:KR)2025-12-04 16:02

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Identical sales without fuel grew 2.6% year-over-year, with a two-year stack increase of 4.9% [13][20] - Adjusted EPS was $1.05, reflecting a 7% growth compared to last year [24] - FIFO gross margin rate, excluding rent, depreciation, and amortization, increased by 49 basis points year-over-year [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - E-commerce sales grew 17%, driven by delivery, with significant improvements in profitability [15][25] - Pharmacy business continued strong growth, contributing positively to overall operating profit despite impacting margin rates [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Spending from higher-income households remained strong, while middle-income customers faced increased pressure, leading to smaller, more frequent shopping trips [11][12] - Food inflation increased moderately, particularly in beef, impacting overall sales dynamics [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is evolving its hybrid fulfillment model to improve operational efficiency and profitability, expecting $400 million in e-commerce profitability improvements in 2026 [10][26] - Plans to accelerate capital investment in new stores beyond 2025, focusing on high-potential geographies and improving return on invested capital [16][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted macroeconomic uncertainty influencing customer behavior, with a focus on delivering value through lower prices and promotions [12][19] - The company expects to narrow its range for identical sales without fuel growth to 2.8%-3% and raise the lower end of adjusted EPS guidance to $4.75-$4.80 [31][32] Other Important Information - The company announced the closure of three automated fulfillment centers by January 2026, which are not meeting operational and financial expectations [8][26] - The CEO search is ongoing, with expectations to appoint a new CEO in the first quarter of 2026 [34][35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the accelerated sourcing program and potential store exits? - Management expressed excitement about new store investments, indicating plans to increase new store builds by 30% in 2026 and explore acquisition opportunities [39][40] Question: What are you looking for in the new CEO? - The board is seeking a candidate with a deep understanding of retail transformation, customer focus, and cultural fit with Kroger [42][43] Question: How do you feel about the current grocery ID trend and competition? - Management acknowledged increased caution among consumers and competitive pressures but emphasized ongoing price investments and promotional strategies [48][52] Question: Can you discuss the impact of pharmacy on the quarter? - Pharmacy performance remained stable, with slight market share improvements, while discretionary categories faced challenges due to inflation [70] Question: What are the expectations for e-commerce profitability next year? - E-commerce is expected to be profitable in 2026, driven by improved operational efficiency and new partnerships [80][81]