BillionToOne(BLLN) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
BillionToOneBillionToOne(US:BLLN)2025-12-09 22:30

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue in Q3 2025 was $83.5 million, representing a 117% increase compared to $38 million in Q3 2024 [19][20] - Gross margins reached 70%, a 17 percentage point increase from 53% in Q3 2024 [18][20] - The company achieved positive GAAP operating margin of 11.5% in Q3 2025, marking the first quarter of positive GAAP operating income [22][23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Prenatal revenues were $74.1 million, growing over 100% year-over-year, while oncology revenues increased 664% to $8.7 million [15][19] - Total test volume grew 51% year-over-year to 163,000 tests in Q3 2025 [12] - Average selling prices (ASVs) increased by 44% year-over-year to $501 in Q4 2025 [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has approximately 235 million contracted lives, indicating expanded payer coverage [16] - The oncology business is growing faster than the prenatal business, contributing significantly to revenue growth [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The long-term goal is to build a category-defining generational company and become a member of the S&P 500 [8] - The company plans to invest more heavily in electronic medical records (EMR) to facilitate adoption in large health systems [13][35] - The focus is on maintaining capital and operational efficiency while achieving profitability [7][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued growth and profitability, with expectations for positive GAAP operating income in Q4 and for the full year of 2025 [26] - The company anticipates a total revenue of $293 million to $299 million for 2025, representing a growth of 92% to 96% compared to 2024 [24][25] - Management noted that competitive product launches have not impacted business growth so far [12][50] Other Important Information - The company completed a successful IPO, raising $314 million in gross proceeds [4] - Recent publications validate the clinical utility of the company's products, enhancing credibility in the market [10][11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Future GAAP net income expectations - Management aims to continue growing profitably and expects to maintain positive GAAP net income in 2026 [28][29] Question: Timing for oncology test reimbursements - The first Medicare coverage for Northstar Response is expected before the end of 2026 [30] Question: Guidance process as a public company - The company has been operating close to a public company for the last few years and has been conservative in its projections [31][32] Question: Impact of EMR investment - Investing in EMR is expected to significantly accelerate adoption in large health systems [34][35] Question: Clinical spending compared to competitors - Management recognizes the importance of investing in clinical studies but aims to focus on studies that address specific physician needs [38] Question: Mix between monitoring and therapy selection tests - The company sees a two-to-one ratio for Response tests to Select tests, with most providers using both together [41] Question: Sales force expansion plans - The company plans to add 8 to 10 net reps per quarter for prenatal and 4 to 6 for oncology [42][43] Question: Contribution of Medicaid coverage to ASP growth - The integration of Medicaid coverage for the Unity Carrier panel is expected to have a significant long-term impact on ASPs [44] Question: Future gross margin expectations - Management expects to maintain gross margins in the high 60s% for the next several quarters [46][47] Question: MRD timelines and competitive landscape - The company plans to launch MRD tests towards the end of 2026, focusing on tumor-naive MRD [49][50]