电力设备：配网招标回暖，特高压陆续核准，海外需求高景气

Summary of Conference Call on Power Equipment Industry Industry Overview - The power equipment industry is experiencing a recovery in bidding for distribution networks, with significant approvals for ultra-high voltage (UHV) projects and strong overseas demand [1][2] Key Points and Arguments Price and Profitability Trends - The second batch of regional joint procurement bidding results show a month-on-month increase in prices: 10 kV transformers up by 5.5%, integrated ring network boxes up by 0.2%, and pole-mounted circuit breakers up by 3.8% [3] - Expected recovery in gross margins: 10 kV transformers' gross margin is projected to rise from 15% to 19%-20%, and integrated equipment's gross margin from 20% to 25% [3] Future Investment Trends - From 2027, significant acceleration in grid investment is anticipated, focusing on upgrading distribution networks, enhancing low-voltage interconnections, and improving distributed photovoltaic capacity [4] Ultra-High Voltage (UHV) Construction - The approval process for UHV lines is speeding up, with expectations to approve 3 direct current and 4 alternating current UHV lines in 2025, and a preliminary plan for 20 direct and 20-25 alternating current UHV lines during the 14th Five-Year Plan [5] Company Performance Expectations Major Companies in the UHV Sector - China XD Electric expects UHV revenue to exceed 3.1 billion yuan in 2025, with a doubling growth rate and holding approximately 8.5 billion yuan in UHV orders [9] - Pinggao Electric anticipates a net profit growth of around 20% with a current valuation of over 17 times [7] - State Grid NARI's net profit growth is expected to be around 10% with a valuation of about 20 times [10] Performance of Other Key Players - Synchronous Electric: Net profit growth of approximately 15% with a valuation of around 19 times [11] - China XD Electric: Overall net profit growth of about 15% with a valuation of 32 times [11] North American Market Demand - The North American market shows strong demand for power equipment, particularly in data centers, with Eaton reporting a 70% year-on-year increase in new orders and a 40% revenue growth [12] - There is a significant supply-demand gap, with demand for transformers above 110 kV exceeding supply by 30% and for 10 kV and 35 kV distribution transformers exceeding supply by 10% [12] Opportunities in Overseas Markets - Overseas markets, including North America, Latin America, Saudi Arabia, Europe, and Africa, present substantial opportunities for Chinese companies due to high demand for transformers and grid upgrades [13] - Companies like Siyi Electric and Huaming Equipment are capitalizing on these opportunities, with significant contracts won in various regions [14][15] Valuation of Major Chinese Companies - Valuations of key companies targeting overseas markets are as follows: Siyi Electric at approximately 29 times, Samsung Medical at 17-18 times, Huaming Equipment at 27 times, and others showing potential for significant performance growth [16]