反内卷后光伏产业链涨价-盈利修复带动光伏行情回归

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The solar industry is currently experiencing a reversal of "involution," aimed at avoiding price competition and achieving reasonable profitability, which is driving a comprehensive price recovery across the industry chain [1][2] - Despite a potential temporary decline in global solar installations in 2026, multiple factors such as AI and IDC electricity demand, overseas power shortages, and domestic policy expectations may support overall demand, potentially exceeding market expectations [1][3] Core Insights and Arguments - Recent price increases in the solar sector are primarily driven by the reversal of involution, which is expected to gradually expand profitability across various segments of the industry [2] - The sixth round of power transmission and distribution bidding is progressing steadily, with a total bid amount of approximately 13 billion RMB, indicating ongoing development in ultra-high voltage distribution network renovations [3][10] - The solar industry chain's value recovery presents certain investment opportunities, with the main industry chain's price-to-book ratio currently at a low level, indicating potential for systematic value reconstruction [4] Key Companies to Watch - Recommended companies in the solar sector include Tongwei Co., GCL-Poly Energy, LONGi Green Energy, Tianhe Energy, JA Solar, JinkoSolar, Daqo New Energy, and GCL New Energy, all of which possess strong competitiveness and growth potential within the main industry chain [5] Data Center Developments - The recent release of H200 chip supply is expected to significantly drive domestic AIGC (Artificial Intelligence Generated Content) construction, supported by government policies aimed at enhancing computing power [6] - Companies such as Zhongheng Electric, Shenghong Co., Magpow and Oulu Tong are highlighted for their advantageous positions in HVDC and server power supply sectors [6] Lithium Battery Materials - The lithium battery materials segment is experiencing price recovery due to supply-demand dynamics, with advancements in solid-state battery materials and new equipment such as sulfide electrolytes and voltage devices [7] - Companies to focus on include Xiapu New Energy, Zhongyi Technology, and equipment providers like Lacnor and Xian Dao Intelligent, as well as traditional material companies like Enjie [7] Energy Storage Sector - There is a high and reasonable market expectation for future large-scale energy storage demand, particularly for AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) applications, which can enhance power supply stability and emergency response [8] - Companies such as Sungrow Power, Canadian Solar, and De Ye Co. are noted for their strong development potential in the energy storage field [8] Wind Power Industry - The wind power sector saw a 110% year-on-year increase in installations in November, benefiting from strong installation expectations as the 14th Five-Year Plan concludes [9] - Companies to watch include Goldwind Technology, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Yunda Co., with additional opportunities in overseas markets for companies like Dayin Heavy Industry and Zhenjiang Co. [9] Grid Investment Dynamics - The ongoing sixth round of power transmission and distribution bidding, with a total bid amount of approximately 13 billion RMB, indicates a steady development trajectory for ultra-high voltage distribution network renovations [10]