低空司最新统计分类政策解读及行业后市展望

Summary of Low Altitude Economy Conference Call Industry Overview - The low altitude economy is projected to experience a surge in business in 2024, with sales expected to match the total of the past decade, driven by government infrastructure investments and the construction of state-owned platform application devices, as well as a clearer understanding of low altitude economy and GDP data boundaries [1][2][3] Key Points and Arguments - New Policy Framework: The recent low altitude economy statistical classification policy clarifies the statistical scope of four major sectors: infrastructure (communications, navigation), hardware (general aviation aircraft, drones), operations, and services training, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" and annual economic work conference expectations [1][2][3] - Government Guidance: The State Council issued documents in June and November to guide state-owned enterprises in low altitude economy development and classify air traffic control platforms at provincial and municipal levels, providing clear guidance for social capital inflow and avoiding redundant construction [1][3] - Project Approval Process: Low altitude economy projects must connect with local government departments, such as transportation or water resources, and report to national ministries. The proportion of special bonds or treasury bonds in infrastructure projects has significantly increased, with notable projects like Shandong's 4 billion yuan tender for flying vehicles [4][5] - Investment Trends: In Zhejiang Province, low altitude projects are encroaching on traditional infrastructure project shares, indicating a trend where local governments aim to maintain special bond shares through low altitude economy development, expected to improve steadily over the next 3-5 years [5][6] Challenges and Opportunities - Local Government Challenges: Local governments face challenges in funding sources, attracting capable enterprises, and coordinating resources across departments. Collaborative efforts with major tech companies like Alibaba and Tencent are being made to support data collection and business model innovation [7] - Mature Applications: The application of cargo drones is relatively mature, with significant commercial scenarios in logistics, agricultural protection, and inspections. The agricultural protection sector alone sees annual sales of about 200,000 drones, with a penetration rate nearing double digits [8][9] - Cost Efficiency in Logistics: Drones demonstrate significant cost efficiency in logistics, with examples showing reduced transportation costs and time savings in specific scenarios, such as using hydrogen-powered drones for frozen goods delivery [9][10] Industry Leaders and Innovations - Prominent Companies: Key players in the low altitude economy's information technology sector include military state-owned enterprises like Lai Si, China Electronics, and Aerospace Science and Industry, which are expected to become industry leaders [11][12] - Regulatory Platform Development: The construction of provincial and municipal regulatory platforms is progressing, with companies like Zhongke Xingtou and Zhongke Yuntu showing strong performance in supporting application scenarios [12][13] Future Outlook - Investment Projections: Expected investment amounts for low altitude special bonds range from 2 to 4 billion yuan in Hubei and over 5 billion in Guangdong, with ongoing efforts to promote project implementation [15] - Infrastructure Needs: The development of low altitude economy is hindered by lagging infrastructure, necessitating government investment and policy support to facilitate technology innovation and application promotion [22][23] - Market Potential: The low altitude economy is anticipated to see explosive growth in infrastructure projects from 2024 to 2027, leading to significant procurement of drones and related equipment [17][19] Conclusion - The low altitude economy is positioned for substantial growth, driven by government policies, technological advancements, and increasing market demand. However, challenges related to infrastructure and regulatory frameworks must be addressed to fully realize its potential.