美国经济展望_美国月度通胀_消除 CPI 偏差-US Economic Perspectives_ US Inflation Monthly_ Unbiasing the CPI

Economics Americas ab Global Research 29 December 2025 US Economic Perspectives US Inflation Monthly: Unbiasing the CPI Published core CPI dropped to 2.63%; ex-shutdown we estimate 3.00% Strong monthly increases as November bias reverses: December core CPI 0.44% Core PCE inflation: 2.8% in 2025E, 3.0% in 2026E, 2.4% in 2027E, 2.0% in 2028E Alan Detmeister Economist alan.detmeister@ubs.com +1-212-713 1222 Jonathan Pingle Economist jonathan.pingle@ubs.com +1-212-713 2225 Abigail Watt Economist abigail.watt@ub ...