游戏板块年终总结及展望
2026-01-07 03:05

Summary of the Conference Call on the Gaming Sector Industry Overview - The Chinese gaming market is projected to reach a scale of 330 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 15%, and a fourth-quarter growth rate approaching 10%, indicating a significant recovery [1] - The user base continues to grow, with female players accounting for 48%, highlighting the potential of the female-oriented gaming market [1][3] - The female-oriented gaming market is expected to reach 8 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 120% [1][5] - The mini-program gaming market is also showing strong growth, with a projected year-on-year increase of over 30% in 2025 [1][6] Key Insights and Arguments - The performance of products like "Love and Deep Space" and the growth potential in simulation and casual competitive segments are driving new growth points in the market [1] - The overseas revenue growth for self-developed mobile games is expected to be 11% in 2024 and 13% in 2025, with global mobile game revenue projected to reach 81 billion USD by the end of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 7.5% [1][7][9] - The issuance of game licenses has reached a new high, promoting the supply of quality content and enhancing ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) [1][8] Notable Trends - The PC gaming market in China is expected to grow by 15%, while the console gaming market is projected to grow by over 80%, significantly outpacing global averages [3][10][11] - The rapid expansion of the Steam platform's simplified Chinese user base indicates a strong demand for PC and console games among Chinese players [10] - The integration of AI technology in gaming is driving the industry towards a new phase of intelligence, with expectations for blockbuster AI-enhanced games to emerge in 2026 [19][20] Emerging Products and Market Dynamics - New game launches in 2025 include titles from Kaiying Network and Perfect World, with several games expected to be released in the first half of the year [12][13] - Mid-tier developers are expected to have a rich product matrix in 2025, indicating strong growth demand [14] - The mini-program gaming market is transitioning from a focus on user acquisition to emphasizing development and operational capabilities, with product quality and gameplay becoming increasingly important [15] Policy Impacts - Policy incentives for mini-game developers include maintaining a 40% incentive ratio and increasing the cap from 2.4 million to 4 million, which is expected to enhance developer earnings and positively impact the mini-game market in 2026 [16] Future Outlook - The gaming industry in China is anticipated to remain vibrant in 2026, driven by content co-creation, emerging genres like simulation management and UGC (User Generated Content), and innovations from AI technology [21] - Investment opportunities are expected to arise from companies with strong revenue performance or significant upcoming catalysts, including Shanghai Huatuo, Giant Network, Kaiying Network, Perfect World, and 37 Interactive Entertainment, as well as Tencent Holdings and Xindong Company in the Hong Kong market [21]