美国经济：我们预计 2026 年将充满波动-US Economics Weekly _We expect a bumpy 2026_ Pingle_ We expect a bumpy 2026

ab Global Research 2 January 2026 US Economics Weekly We expect a bumpy 2026 Economic Comment: another volatile year for macro In this week's economic comment we updated our outlook for the federal funds rate for 2026, pushing back expected rate cuts, based on our projection for the December employment report and the inflation data we expect to see in the first half of the year. We also take stock of the expansion's fragility. It's hard to get too bearish expecting a bumper tax refund season thanks to OBBBA ...