能源、清洁技术与公用事业会议的宏观与微观要点-Investors Asking_ Macro and Micro Takeaways from the GS Energy, CleanTech, & Utilities Conference

Summary of Key Takeaways from the GS Energy, CleanTech, & Utilities Conference Industry Overview - The conference focused on the Energy, CleanTech, and Utilities sectors, highlighting macro and microeconomic factors affecting these industries. Key Companies Mentioned - E&P Companies: FANG, SU, VLO, KGS, SRE, FTI, CCJ - Utilities: Sempra (SRE), Vistra - Energy Services: FTI, Kodiak Gas (KGS) - Clean Technology: Cameco Corp. (CCJ), OKLO - Midstream: Energy Transfer (ET), WMB Core Insights and Arguments E&P Sector - Caution on near-term liquids pricing due to oversupply expected in 1H26, with a long-term price estimate of $70-$75/bbl for Brent [2] - FANG is highlighted for its favorable risk/reward profile, with a 22% upside to a 12-month price target of $179/share [2] - Concerns about natural gas pricing and potential oversupply in LNG by 2028-2029 [2] Integrated Oil & Refiners - Expectations for widening light-heavy differentials, particularly influenced by Venezuelan production [3] - Suncor (SU) shares have pulled back by 7%, but the integrated business model is seen as resilient [5] - Valero (VLO) is viewed positively due to Gulf Coast exposure and operational efficiency [5] Midstream Sector - Focus on capturing growth opportunities in natural gas pipeline capacity and behind-the-meter generation [6] - Kodiak Gas (KGS) is noted for its strong performance in natural gas compression and potential expansion into the BTM power market [6] Utilities - 2026 is expected to mark a transition from planning to execution, with more PPA announcements anticipated [7] - Affordability is a major concern for regulated utilities amid bill inflation [7] - Sempra (SRE) is seen as having attractive risk/reward, with a focus on EPS growth guidance of 7%-9% through 2029 [8] Energy Services - Anticipation of an international activity inflection in late 2026 into 2027, with FTI highlighted for strong order visibility [9] - FTI expects ~$10 billion in orders for 2026, with a focus on subsea services and capital returns [9] Clean Technology - Growing demand from AI data centers is driving interest in nuclear and utility-scale solar markets [10] - Cameco Corp. (CCJ) is noted for its favorable uranium pricing outlook and government support for nuclear projects [10] - OKLO's partnership with Meta is generating interest regarding its execution timeline and licensing [41] Additional Important Insights - Investor sentiment is cautious regarding Canadian oil equities due to potential Venezuelan oil flow resumption impacting pricing [29] - The outlook for U.S. supply growth in 2026 is debated, with EQT expecting growth from ~109 Bcf/d to ~114 Bcf/d [27] - Concerns about the IPP sector's weakness, particularly for Vistra, with mixed sentiment on fundamentals [35] - Offshore wind projects are under scrutiny, with Eversource and Dominion facing regulatory challenges [36] Conclusion The conference provided a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the Energy, CleanTech, and Utilities sectors, highlighting both opportunities and risks across various companies and sub-sectors. Investors are advised to remain selective and focus on companies with strong operational execution and favorable market positioning.