Citi Trends(CTRN) - 2026 FY - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a holiday comparable store sales increase of 9.3%, building on last year's 7.1%, resulting in a two-year stack of 16.4% [5] - Year-to-date through December, comparable store sales increased by 9.8%, with a two-year stack year-to-date of 13.3% [5][23] - The company aims for total sales growth of $150 million, targeting approximately $900 million in fiscal 2027, with a gross profit rate expansion of about 400 basis points to 42% [25][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company operates 591 stores across 33 states, with annual sales of about $820 million in fiscal 2025 [7] - The company plans to open 25 new stores in 2026 and at least 40 stores per year from 2027 onward, aiming for approximately 650 stores by the end of 2027 [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has a strong market presence in the Southeast, focusing on African-American customers, which has created a loyal customer base [8][12] - The off-price retail sector has historically grown faster than traditional retail, and the company aims to align its market valuation with this sector [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a clear, disciplined growth plan designed to deliver sustainable value creation and strengthen its position as a leading neighborhood retailer for African-American families [4] - The strategy includes a three-tiered product assortment to appeal to all income levels, with a focus on style, price, and trends [10][12] - The company is investing in capital projects, primarily store remodels, new store openings, and technology infrastructure, with a total capital spend expected to be around $45 million in 2026 and 2027 [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's transformation strategy, highlighting consistent comparable store sales increases and a strong customer connection [30] - The company is positioned for growth with a debt-free balance sheet and projected cash balance of $65 million in the next three years [9][22] - Management acknowledged that while progress has been made, significant work remains ahead to refine processes and optimize categories [30] Other Important Information - The company has implemented an AI-based planning and allocation system to improve inventory management and reduce markdowns [27] - A marketing campaign titled "Joy Looks Good on You" has been launched, resonating well with the target demographic and achieving over 12 million viral views [15][16] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for future sales growth? - The company expects consistent total store sales growth of 6%-8% annually, resulting in sales of over $900 million in 2027 [26] Question: How is the company addressing inventory management? - The company is leveraging AI tools to analyze transaction data and improve inventory allocation, aiming for approximately 90% accuracy in sales prediction [20]