2026-01-13 01:10Summary of Conference Call on Advanced Packaging Industry Industry Overview - The advanced packaging industry is experiencing price increases due to rising costs of upstream precious metals, commodities, and substrate prices, leading to gradual increases in packaging prices [1][2] - Domestic packaging companies are also facing similar cost pressures, with many manufacturers operating at near full capacity, indicating a positive outlook for Q1 2026 [1][3] Key Insights - Demand Growth: Strong demand for AI and high-performance computing (HPC) is driving an increase in packaging orders, with prices at ASE rising by 5% to 20%, exceeding previous expectations of 5% to 10% [2] - Capacity Utilization: ASE's capacity utilization is over 90%, with a focus on optimizing product mix to prioritize high-margin products [2] - Market Potential: Advanced packaging has significant growth potential in AI chip and HBM manufacturing, with the value of advanced packaging in AI chips approaching manufacturing costs [1][5] Market Growth Projections - The global multi-chip integration packaging market is expected to grow from 58.9 billion yuan in 2024 to 185.9 billion yuan by 2029, with a CAGR of 25.8% [8] - The Chinese market is projected to grow from 2.89 billion yuan to 17.68 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 43.7% [8] Company Developments - Major domestic packaging companies such as JCET, Tongfu Microelectronics, and Huatian Technology are actively expanding capacity through advanced manufacturing projects [3][6] - JCET's high-density fan-out packaging project is set to increase capacity by 24,000 pieces per year, with a total investment of nearly 10 billion yuan [6] - Tongfu Microelectronics is progressing with its 2.5D and 3D equipment injection project, while Huatian Technology is investing 2 billion yuan to establish a new advanced packaging company [6] Financial Performance - Shenghe Microelectronics reported a revenue of 3.17 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with significant contributions from multi-chip integration [10] - The company has a utilization rate of approximately 63%, indicating room for growth [10][11] Future Outlook - The advanced packaging industry is expected to thrive, driven by increasing orders from AI chip design companies and the upcoming IPO of Shenghe Microelectronics, which could enhance market interest [12] - The introduction of advanced technologies such as bonding, TSV, and RDL is expected to increase the value of equipment and materials, with a shift towards higher density I/O interfaces [12][13] - The demand for packaging is anticipated to rise sharply due to the growing number of AI chips, while the complexity of processes and rising costs will elevate the packaging value per chip [13] Investment Opportunities - Companies such as JCET, Tongfu Microelectronics, and Huatian Technology are recommended for investment, along with upstream supply chain opportunities [12] - The need for domestic alternatives in core equipment and materials, currently dominated by foreign suppliers, presents significant investment potential [13]