风电设备2026年展望

Summary of Wind Power Equipment Industry Outlook 2026 Industry Overview - The wind power equipment industry is expected to see a price increase for domestic onshore wind turbines starting from the end of 2024, driven by an optimized competitive landscape. This trend is projected to reflect in financial statements gradually from 2026 to 2027, with a cumulative gross margin increase of approximately 5 percentage points, enhancing industry profitability [1][5][6]. Key Trends and Insights 1. Profit Reversal from Price Increases: The price increase of domestic onshore wind turbines is anticipated to continue into 2026, with a full reflection of this price surge expected by 2027. The gross margin for domestic onshore wind turbines is projected to cumulatively increase by about 5 percentage points between 2026 and 2027 [2][5][6]. 2. Export Growth: The industry is expected to see significant growth in exports, particularly in wind turbine exports and European offshore wind products. Emerging markets in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, Central Asia, Africa, and South America are showing notable demand growth. The offshore wind equipment deliveries, especially to Europe, are expected to remain robust, although financing rates and supply chain issues need to be addressed for sustained long-term growth [2][4][7]. 3. Domestic Offshore Wind Potential: There is a potential for domestic offshore wind power to exceed expectations, with various supportive policies and abundant project resources. The investment willingness from project owners is increasing, indicating a peak construction period around the end of 2026 or early 2027, which will drive the development of the entire industry chain [2][9]. Demand and Installation Forecast - For 2025, despite initial pessimism regarding demand for new energy and wind power, actual demand has shown resilience and is being revised upwards. The installation capacity for 2025 is expected to slightly decline compared to 2024 but will still maintain a large scale. By the end of 2025, leading companies are projected to have total orders of 250-300 GW, including substantial overseas orders. The installation capacity for 2026 is forecasted to grow by over 10% compared to 2025 [3][7]. Market Dynamics - The overall performance of the wind power industry in 2026 is expected to remain positive, with rising prices for wind turbines and components driven by increased domestic and international demand. The export of wind turbines is projected to exceed 15 GW, potentially reaching 18 GW, primarily driven by companies like Goldwind and Envision Energy, with others like Yunda and SANY also showing growth trends [7][8]. Offshore Wind Development - The domestic offshore wind sector is showing favorable development conditions, supported by high-level policies and abundant project resources. Leading companies are already demonstrating good revenue and profit indicators. Although the industry is currently in a relatively quiet phase, a significant construction phase is expected to commence by late 2026 or early 2027, leading to substantial benefits for the entire industry chain [9]. Future Outlook - The wind power equipment and offshore supply chain are projected to have a very optimistic development outlook in the coming years. The wind power equipment industry is expected to improve profitability and accelerate growth in both domestic and international markets, with companies likely to grow into major players within the next two to five years [8].