未知机构：AI载板重视存储和AI超级周期驱动下的载板投资机会2026年载板价格-20260120

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - Focus on the investment opportunities in the substrate industry driven by storage and AI supercycle, with significant price increases expected for substrates by 2026 [1][2] Key Companies Mentioned - Shennan Circuit: Projected revenue of approximately 4 billion CNY in 2025, with a potential profit elasticity of 2 billion CNY if prices increase by 50%. Long-term target value exceeds 8 billion CNY, currently valued at 160 billion CNY [3] - Xinxing Technology: Expected revenue of around 1.5 billion CNY in 2025, with a profit elasticity of 3 billion CNY if prices rise by 50%. Potential AI PCB revenue could reach approximately 10 billion CNY if overseas clients are secured, currently valued at 40 billion CNY [3] - Honghe Technology: Positioned to dominate the T-glass market by 2026, with a current production capacity of 210 million square meters per year, expected to expand to 36 million square meters per year for high-performance electronic cloth. Projected net profit of 400-500 million CNY in 2026, with significant profit increases possible based on price adjustments [3] Core Insights and Arguments - ABF Substrate: - Supply: No new production capacity planned by Taiwanese manufacturers for 2026 [2] - Demand: Surge in GPU and CPU demand expected [2] - Anticipated supply-demand gap of at least 10-20% in 2026 [2] - BT Substrate: - Supply: Severe limitations due to raw material shortages, particularly T-glass, which is driving up production costs [2] - Demand: Benefiting from the storage supercycle [2] - Expected severe supply-demand imbalance from 2026 to 2028 [2] Price Projections - Both BT and ABF substrates are expected to see price increases of at least 5-10% each quarter in 2026 [1] Additional Important Points - The overall market for substrates is experiencing significant growth due to the increasing demand for high-end computing chips and storage solutions [1][2] - The current market valuations of the mentioned companies are considered undervalued relative to their potential growth and profit elasticity [3]