2026-01-20 02:10Key Points Summary Industry Overview - The report focuses on the power equipment sector, specifically highlighting the recovery in domestic and international demand for electric meters and the significant contributions from distribution and renewable energy sectors [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. Valuation Concerns: - Current low valuation levels are attributed to concerns over the cyclical nature of electric meters and the absence of AIDC product labels, leading to reliance on traditional business valuations [1]. 2. Business Development Outlook for 2026/2027: - The domestic electric meter market experienced its lowest point in five years in 2025, with only 50 million units sold and prices dropping approximately 20% compared to 2024. A significant recovery is expected in 2026, with a projected 20%+ increase in volume and a 30%+ increase in new meter prices [1]. 3. International Demand Recovery: - Demand in Southeast Asia and Europe for electric meters is anticipated to gradually recover [2]. Distribution Sector Insights 1. New Orders and Growth: - Samsung's new domestic distribution orders in 2025 increased by nearly 20%, demonstrating resilience. The company is expected to see a doubling of overseas distribution orders, with the overseas share projected to rise from over 10% to 20-30% [3]. 2. Haixing's Performance: - Haixing achieved a breakthrough in overseas distribution, renewable energy, and water meter businesses in 2025, with new business revenue exceeding 300 million, doubling year-on-year and accounting for 15-16% of total revenue. The company anticipates further doubling of overseas new business revenue in 2026, increasing its revenue share to over 20% [3]. Investment Recommendations - Both Samsung and Haixing are positioned well due to their extensive overseas factory layouts (Haixing with 9 factories and Samsung with 6) and superior overseas channel capabilities compared to other domestic companies. This positions them for long-term growth through regional expansion, market share increase, and product diversification [3]. - Profit projections for 2026 are 2.5 billion for Samsung (target market cap of 50 billion at 20X) and 1.2 billion for Haixing (target market cap of 24 billion at 20X, with 70% of profits from overseas) [3].