VEICHI(SH:688698)2026-01-21 02:00Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the humanoid robot industry, specifically developments related to Weichuang Electric (688698.SS) and its supply chain involvement with U.S. humanoid robot manufacturers [1][1]. Company Insights - Weichuang Electric is a supplier of variable frequency drives, servo motors, and programmable logic controllers (PLCs) [1][1]. - The company has recently supplied various components such as rotary joint modules, coreless motors, frameless motors, and dexterous hand components to Chinese humanoid robot manufacturers [1][1]. - Weichuang Electric has successfully entered the supply chain of leading U.S. humanoid robot manufacturers by providing micro motors for dexterous hands [1][1]. Management's Key Points - Management expressed greater confidence in the mass production progress of U.S. humanoid robot manufacturers compared to Chinese clients, citing a more rigorous product development process [1][1]. - The capacity demand from the U.S. client is expected to increase tenfold by 2027, from 1,000 units per week in 2026 [1][1]. Strategic Partnerships - Weichuang Electric is collaborating with Rongtai Electric (603119.SS) to develop dexterous hand solutions for U.S. clients [4][4]. - Due to client requirements for all components to be produced outside of China, Weichuang announced plans to establish a joint venture with Rongtai in Thailand [5][5]. Production Requirements - The latest version of the humanoid robot requires each hand to have 22 degrees of freedom (DoF), totaling 44 micro motors for both hands [5][5]. - The U.S. client has requested that Weichuang prepare production capacity by the first half of 2026, aligning with recent industry research findings [5][5]. - Initial production targets are set to support the manufacturing of 1,000 humanoid robots per week, with potential demand increasing to 10,000 units per week by 2027 [5][5]. Valuation Insights - The target price for Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SS) is set at 135.0 CNY, based on a 52x expected P/E ratio for 2026, which is 2.0 standard deviations above its average P/E since 2021 [5][5]. - The target price for Railway Drive (688017.SS) is set at 233 CNY, based on a 233x expected P/E ratio for 2026, reflecting a stronger-than-expected profit recovery and increasing exposure to the humanoid robot business [8][8]. Risks - Key downside risks for Hengli Hydraulic include weak demand for excavator and non-excavator components, reduced profitability due to diminished economies of scale at the ball screw and Mexico plant, and lower-than-expected gross margin improvements from favorable product mix changes [6][6][7]. - For Railway Drive, risks include a slowdown in automation market growth, intensified competition from both domestic and international brands due to industry consolidation, rising raw material costs eroding gross margins, and lower-than-expected contributions from humanoid robots and other emerging applications [9][9].