Cameco (NYSE:CCJ) FY Conference Transcript

Summary of Cameco (NYSE:CCJ) FY Conference Call - January 22, 2026 Industry Overview - The nuclear industry fundamentals are reported to be stronger than ever, with increasing demand for uranium driven by the revival of nuclear reactors and new constructions globally [2][10] - There are over 60 gigawatt-scale reactors currently under construction worldwide, with significant potential for further developments in 2026 [3][4] Demand Insights - Nuclear demand is projected to rise due to the reactivation and extension of existing reactors, as well as the construction of new reactors [3][4] - The base case demand for uranium is believed to be understated, as it does not account for several significant projects, including a recent $80 billion initiative to build 10 reactors in the U.S. [4][5] - The demand for uranium is also expected to increase from naval propulsion and potential applications in AI and hyperscalers, which are not included in current demand forecasts [5] Supply Dynamics - The supply of uranium is considered overstated, with many projects not operating at full capacity due to insufficient uranium prices [6][9] - The secondary supply, historically significant, is now limited, particularly due to the absence of Russian supply in the Western market [7][8] - The planned production line is also overstated, as preliminary economic assessments are often not realized within the projected timelines [8] Contracting and Pricing Strategy - The uncovered requirements for utilities have never been larger, indicating a strong future demand for uranium [9][10] - The long-term price of uranium is currently at $86 per pound, which is seen as insufficient to convert more resources into reserves [12][19] - The market is shifting towards higher price expectations, with indications that the midpoint of market-related contracts is around $115 per pound [14][16] Strategic Positioning - Cameco is maintaining a disciplined production strategy, not running all assets at full capacity to capture demand at favorable terms [15][19] - The company is focusing on off-market contracts and has significant sovereign demand, indicating a robust pipeline of future contracts [17][19] - Cameco's vertical integration from reactor construction to fuel supply allows for early engagement in the supply chain, enhancing its strategic position [30] Enrichment Strategy - Cameco is exploring opportunities in the enrichment space, particularly with Global Laser Enrichment, while being cautious about trade policies and the potential return of Russian enrichment to the market [31][34] - The company is focused on a project to re-enrich depleted UF6 tails, which could yield significant uranium supply without competing directly in the enrichment market [33] Conclusion - The overall sentiment is optimistic regarding the nuclear industry's revival, with Cameco well-positioned to capitalize on the anticipated demand surge and favorable market conditions [20][31]