MSCI(MSCI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company achieved organic revenue growth of over 10%, adjusted EBITDA growth of over 13%, and adjusted EPS growth of almost 12% for the quarter and nearly 14% for the full year [4][5] - The company has delivered 11 consecutive years of double-digit adjusted EPS growth [5] - The total run rate reached over $3.3 billion, growing 13%, with total asset-based fees (ABF) run rate of $852 million, growing 26%, and recurring subscription run rate of over $2.4 billion, growing over 9% [6][8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The index business had its best quarter ever for new recurring subscription sales, with a growth rate of 18% [6][8] - In analytics, the company posted its second-best Q4 on record for new subscription sales [8] - Private Capital Solutions saw recurring sales growth of 86%, supported by innovative new products [8][11] - Wealth managers achieved nearly 11% subscription run rate growth, including 15% recurring sales growth [11] - Active asset managers experienced recurring net new sales growth of 13%, primarily driven by index products [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total ETF and non-ETF AUM linked to MSCI indices reached approximately $7 trillion, driven by record inflows into clients' ETF products linked to MSCI indices, particularly in Europe [8] - Equity ETFs linked to MSCI indexes captured a record $67 billion of inflows during Q4, totaling $204 billion for the full year [15] - The company noted significant uptick in activity in Europe and EMEA, with subscription run rates in EMEA now higher than in the Americas [40] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging AI to enhance its capabilities across various product lines, including analytics and custom index creation [10][31] - MSCI aims to have a fully integrated company where each product line benefits from and contributes to every other product line, amplifying financial growth [20][22] - The company is committed to delivering long-term targets of low double-digit revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA growth of low to mid-teens [21][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to capitalize on favorable long-term trends and the resilience of its all-weather franchise [4][5] - The company is optimistic about the recovery in international flows and the potential for pricing power in the future [39][40] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to emerging risks and opportunities beyond traditional ESG factors, including AI and supply chain disruptions [9][68] Other Important Information - The company repurchased nearly $958 million of its shares in Q4 at an average price of about $560 per share, reflecting strong conviction in its prospects [5] - The company is undergoing a technology-powered transformation with a total embrace of AI, which is expected to enhance the value of its tools for clients [10][34] Q&A Session Summary Question: AI Adoption and Growth Impact - Management discussed the extensive use of AI in operations and product development, highlighting its potential to enhance client insights and operational efficiency [29][30][31][34] Question: International Flows and Pricing Opportunities - Management confirmed that there has been a significant uptick in activity in Europe and EMEA, with positive implications for new sales and pricing strategies [39][40] Question: Private Assets Growth and Trends - Management noted strong sales in Private Capital Solutions and emphasized the ongoing investment in innovative products to capture market opportunities [46][49] Question: Free Cash Flow Dynamics - Management explained the expected increase in cash taxes and interest expenses impacting free cash flow, while projecting strong double-digit collection growth [51][53][56] Question: ESG Market Recovery - Management indicated that recovery in Europe is underway, albeit slower than desired, and highlighted the shift towards analyzing emerging non-traditional risks [64][66][68]