信达生物：与礼来（LLY）达成 88.5 亿美元合作协议，深化长期伙伴关系

Summary of Innovent Biologics Conference Call Company Overview - Company: Innovent Biologics (1801.HK) - Industry: Biopharmaceuticals, focusing on oncology and immunology Key Points from the Conference Call Strategic Collaboration with Eli Lilly - Innovent announced a strategic collaboration with Eli Lilly on February 8, 2026, to advance early-stage oncology and immunology programs - The deal includes: - Upfront Payment: US$350 million - Milestone Payments: Up to US$8.5 billion - Sales Royalties: Tiered royalties from net sales outside of China - This collaboration marks the seventh agreement between Innovent and Eli Lilly, which began in 2015 with a three-mAb oncology deal [1][6] Roles and Responsibilities - Innovent will retain rights in China and lead the programs from concept to clinical proof of concept (POC) - Eli Lilly will manage late-stage global development and hold rights outside of China [1][2] Industry Trends - There is a growing trend of out-licensing deals from Chinese biopharma companies, indicating recognition from global partners of the potential in differentiated pipelines and fast POC delivery [1] Financial Outlook - Innovent is considered undervalued at current levels, with a market-implied weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 12% reflecting only de-risked indications [1] - The company has a deep pipeline of over 30 assets, including commercialized products like sintilimab, a leading PD-1 inhibitor [1][6] Risks - Key risks identified include: - Intensifying competition in the PD-1/L1 market in China - Uncertain approval timelines for key candidates - Potential restrictions on off-label use due to safety issues - Failure of R&D projects [1][7] Financial Projections - Market Capitalization: HK$128.9 billion / US$16.5 billion - Revenue Projections: - 2024: Rmb 9,421.9 million - 2025: Rmb 12,783.0 million - 2026: Rmb 17,291.0 million - 2027: Rmb 20,681.3 million - EBITDA Projections: - 2024: (462.5) million - 2025: 1,274.8 million - 2026: 3,531.6 million - 2027: 5,106.1 million - Price Target: HK$102.85, representing a 29.4% upside from the current price of HK$79.50 [8] Conclusion - Innovent Biologics is positioned to maintain its leading role in the Chinese biotech sector, supported by a robust pipeline and strategic collaborations, particularly with Eli Lilly. The company faces significant risks but also presents a compelling investment opportunity given its growth potential and current valuation [1][8]