存储器追踪 -1 月价格 parabolic 式上涨延续-MEMORY TRACKER (Jan) Parabolic price hike continues
2026-02-10 03:24

Summary of Global Memory Market Analysis Industry Overview - The analysis focuses on the memory market, specifically DRAM and NAND segments, highlighting significant price increases in January 2026 compared to previous quarters [1][2][3][4][5][6]. Key Insights on DRAM Prices - DRAM Contract Prices: - January 2026 contract prices surged by 86% compared to 4QCY25, with a 50%+ month-over-month increase [2][3][6]. - Specific increases included 98% for PC DRAM, 90% for Server DRAM, 89% for Mobile DRAM, and 60% for Consumer DRAM [3]. - The demand from Cloud Service Providers (CSP) is a primary driver, while PC and smartphone demand is expected to weaken later in 2026 [3][6]. - Spot Prices: - PC DRAM spot prices increased by 27% month-over-month in January for both DDR4 and DDR5, with Server DDR5 experiencing a 110% spike [2][3][6]. - The overall trend indicates a robust demand despite potential future contractions in PC and smartphone markets [3][6]. Key Insights on NAND Prices - NAND Contract Prices: - January 2026 contracts indicated a 74% quarter-over-quarter increase for 1QCY26 [4][20]. - The average NAND wafer contract price rose by approximately 30% month-over-month and 75% compared to 4QCY25 [5][20]. - Mobile NAND prices are expected to rise by 60% quarter-over-quarter in 1QCY26 due to supply shortages [5][20]. - Spot Prices: - NAND wafer spot prices increased by 17-25% month-over-month, indicating strong demand despite some hesitance from module customers [4][22]. Investment Ratings and Price Targets - Samsung Electronics: Rated Outperform with a price target of KRW 140,000 [8]. - SK hynix: Rated Outperform with a price target of KRW 750,000 [9]. - Micron: Rated Outperform with a price target of US$ 330.00 [10]. - KIOXIA: Rated Underperform with a price target of JPY 7,000.00 [11]. - SanDisk: Rated Outperform with a price target of US$ 1,000.00 [12]. Additional Considerations - The analysis suggests that while prices are expected to remain elevated due to CSP demand, a moderation in price increases is anticipated as PC and smartphone demand contracts significantly [6][14]. - The overall memory price trajectory is projected to level off towards the end of 2026, with potential declines starting in 2027 [6][20]. Conclusion - The memory market is experiencing unprecedented price hikes driven by strong demand from CSPs and lean inventories in the PC and mobile sectors. However, caution is advised as demand may weaken later in the year, impacting future pricing trends [6][20].

存储器追踪 -1 月价格 parabolic 式上涨延续-MEMORY TRACKER (Jan) Parabolic price hike continues - Reportify