SAIC(US:SAIC)2026-02-11 22:22Summary of Science Applications International (SAIC) FY Conference Call Company Overview - Company: Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) - Ticker: NasdaqGS:SAIC - Date of Call: February 11, 2026 Key Points Industry and Market Context - The company operates in the defense and technology services sector, focusing on enterprise IT and mission-oriented engineering solutions [4][113]. - The macro environment is described as confusing, with uneven funding and slow contract execution impacting revenue growth [10][12]. Financial Performance and Guidance - SAIC initially projected revenue growth of flat to +3% for FY 2027 but revised guidance downwards due to contract losses, specifically: - Loss of the Army Corps of Engineers recompete (3% of revenue) - Loss of Cloud One recompete (1% of revenue) - The revised guidance indicates a nominal growth of approximately -1% for FY 2027 [4][22][24]. - Q4 revenue was reported to be light by about 2%, attributed to several factors including shutdown-related disruptions and delays in material availability [13][21]. Revenue Impact and Projections - The total impact from the two major contract losses is estimated at $275 million, with $200 million from CastleNet and $75 million from Cloud One [32][38]. - On-contract growth is expected to stabilize between 1% and 3% throughout the year, which is lower than historical averages [49][51]. - The company anticipates potential tailwinds from new contracts won, including: - Air Force TENCAP ($1 billion) - Navy ATSO ($350 million over 5 years) - Army OSINT ($75 million) [53][56]. Strategic Focus and Challenges - SAIC is focusing on being selective in bidding for contracts, particularly in the commoditized enterprise IT market, where margins are lower [113][120]. - The company aims to pivot towards fixed-price contracts and mission-oriented work, which have shown higher win rates [135][143]. - The backlog remains healthy, with expectations to finish FY 2026 with a book-to-bill ratio north of 1.0 [70][74]. Future Opportunities - The defense budget is projected to exceed $1 trillion, with SAIC focusing on mission data, cloud-based command and control, and modernization of legacy systems as key growth areas [184][191]. - The company is exploring M&A opportunities, particularly in data-focused AI and intelligence sectors, while being cautious about capital allocation due to stock valuation concerns [240][241]. Leadership and Culture - The search for a permanent CEO is ongoing, with a focus on finding an execution-oriented leader who can create shareholder value [276][280]. - The company is investing in employee training and development to retain top talent during its transformation process [302][310]. Risks and Considerations - The company faces risks related to recompete contracts, with approximately 1% of revenue up for recompete in the next 12 months [98][100]. - The procurement environment has shown signs of unpredictability, impacting submit volumes and contract negotiations [105][106]. Conclusion - SAIC is navigating a challenging environment with a focus on strategic growth areas and operational efficiency. The company is committed to transforming its portfolio and enhancing its competitive position in the defense sector while managing risks associated with contract recompetes and market dynamics [292][295].