Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital(US:HASI)2026-02-12 23:00Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company reported a record $4.3 billion in new transactions, an increase of 87% compared to 2024, with a growing pipeline exceeding $6.5 billion by year-end [4][5][9] - Adjusted EPS grew by 10.2% in 2025, reaching $2.70 per share, supported by increased investment volumes and profitability [5][16] - Adjusted ROE rose to 13.4%, reflecting a 70 basis point increase from 2024, driven by higher yields and growth in fees from managed assets [17][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company closed over $3 billion in new investments excluding the $1.2 billion SunZia project, demonstrating strong underlying demand [7][8] - The investment volume retained on the balance sheet increased by approximately 140% year-over-year, totaling $3.6 billion in 2025 [8] - The portfolio yield improved to 8.8%, contributing to the overall earnings power of the managed assets, which grew by 18% to $16.1 billion [18][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The renewables pipeline is projected to exceed $230 billion, with renewables accounting for 99% of projected capacity additions in 2026 [10] - The demand for power and cost-effectiveness in asset classes have created an attractive investing environment, with PPA rates increasing over 40% in the past three years [9][10] - The company’s grid-connected business is benefiting from significant growth in renewables, particularly solar and storage [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a payout ratio below 50% by 2028, focusing on capital recycling to enhance growth and profitability [15][81] - The strategy includes expanding equity commitments in the CCH1 vehicle and enhancing capital efficiency through new funding sources [19][22] - The company is investing in talent and technology to support further scale and efficiency, with a focus on diverse asset classes [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving profitability objectives, with a three-year guidance extending to 2028, expecting adjusted EPS in the range of $3.50-$3.60 [14][25] - The operating environment remains favorable, with no significant negative or positive trends anticipated for 2026 [31][32] - Management highlighted the resilience of the business model despite challenges such as inflation and supply chain issues, maintaining a consistent growth trajectory [11][12] Other Important Information - The company achieved a record of 1.7 million metric tons in avoided CO emissions from new investments in 2025, contributing to a total of 10 million metric tons avoided to date [24] - The company has made significant investments in its platform, particularly in technology and talent, to position itself for future growth [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for 2028 and growth above 10% CAGR - Management indicated that pathways to exceed 10% CAGR include increased volume, better yields, and lower debt costs [28][29] Question: 2026 outlook - Management noted that while they do not provide specific guidance for 2026, they expect meaningful growth based on the current pipeline [31][32] Question: Change in guidance strategy - The switch to nominal EPS guidance allows for more precise adjustments in future quarters, reflecting increased confidence in growth [38][39] Question: Investment opportunities and pipeline context - Management confirmed no structural change in the business, with larger investment opportunities emerging but no specific projects like SunZia currently in the pipeline [41][42] Question: Impact of PPA renegotiations on earnings - Positive renegotiations of PPAs are expected to enhance long-term cash flows and potentially accelerate EPS growth beyond current guidance [71][74]