Essent .(ESNT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, the company reported net income of $155 million or $1.60 per diluted share, compared to $1.67 in the previous quarter and $1.58 in Q4 2024 [4][11] - For the full year 2025, net income was $690 million or $6.90 per diluted share, with a return on average equity of 12% [4][10] - Book value per share increased by 13% year-over-year to $60.31 as of December 31 [5][10] - The company generated operating cash flow of $856 million for the full year 2025 [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The mortgage insurance in force was $248 billion, a 2% increase year-over-year, but a decrease of $452 million from the previous quarter [5][12] - Persistency for the mortgage insurance portfolio was 86% as of December 31, reflecting a slight decrease from 86% in the previous quarter [5][12] - The average base premium rate for the mortgage insurance portfolio remained stable at 41 basis points, while the average net premium rate decreased by 1 basis point to 34 basis points [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The portfolio default rate increased modestly to 2.5%, up 21 basis points from the previous quarter [13] - The weighted average FICO score for the insurance in force was 747, with a weighted average original loan-to-value (LTV) of 93% [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a disciplined capital management strategy, returning nearly $700 million to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and share repurchases [10] - The company has entered the Lloyd's market to expand its reinsurance capabilities, viewing it as a strategic opportunity rather than a new line of business [20][22] - The company aims to optimize unit economics rather than prioritize market share, focusing on long-term growth in book value per share [56] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the current housing market presents challenges, with modest growth expected in insurance in force due to high mortgage rates and limited supply [41] - The company believes that the embedded home equity in its portfolio will help mitigate future claims [6] - Management expressed confidence in the strength of the balance sheet and the ability to return capital to shareholders while maintaining a cautious outlook on credit [59] Other Important Information - The company repurchased nearly 10% of its shares outstanding at the end of 2024 and approved a 13% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.35 per share starting in Q1 2026 [10][16] - The consolidated cash and investments totaled $6.6 billion, with an aggregate yield of 3.9% for the year [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: Why enter the Lloyd's market now? - Management indicated that the decision was part of a long-term strategy to expand and leverage existing assets, with a focus on capital efficiency and diversification [20][22] Question: Is the decrease in insurance in force a strategic decision? - Management clarified that the decrease should not be over-interpreted, as it reflects market dynamics rather than a specific strategic pullback [30] Question: What is the outlook for insurance in force growth? - Management expects modest growth in insurance in force, with potential for a spike when younger demographics enter the homeownership market [41] Question: How does the company view credit risk? - Management stated that credit quality remains benign, and they are not currently making significant changes based on credit concerns [46][58]