CenterPoint Energy(CNP) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a GAAP EPS of $1.60 for the full year 2025 and $0.40 for Q4 2025, with a non-GAAP EPS of $1.76 for the full year and $0.45 for Q4, reflecting a 9% growth compared to 2024 [2][14][15] - The company also achieved a 9% increase in dividend per share last year, maintaining a consistent execution track record [7][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Houston Electric business is forecasted to experience a peak load demand increase of 50% or an additional 10 GW by 2029, two years earlier than previously planned [5][8] - The company is adding $500 million to its 10-year capital investment plan, bringing the total to over $65 billion, to support this growth [6][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a 7% growth in industrial demand for the year, indicating a shift towards commercial and industrial growth within its overall base [92][94] - The company expects to keep customer charges nearly flat through 2028 due to the increased load from large projects [10][52] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing a disciplined capital investment strategy, with an emphasis on infrastructure improvements to support economic development in the Greater Houston region [12][20] - The company is committed to maintaining a long-term growth target of 7%-9% annually through 2035, reaffirming its 2026 non-GAAP earnings guidance of $1.89-$1.91 [8][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to meet future demand due to existing system capacity and manageable upgrades, despite the rapid acceleration of large load growth [10][51] - The company anticipates regulatory clarity through 2029 on approximately 80% of its rate base, which supports its growth plans [26] Other Important Information - The company is actively pursuing additional transmission projects to accommodate the accelerated load growth and has filed for a third 765 kV transmission line [11][12] - Recent regulatory changes regarding the corporate alternative minimum tax are expected to improve the company's cash tax profile significantly, potentially reducing annual cash tax liabilities to near zero through 2035 [22][23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on transmission planning study and timing - Management clarified that the $500 million for the 765 kV line is separate from the incremental transmission work needed for large loads, with updates expected in the second half of the year [30][32] Question: Impact of repairs adjustment on equity needs - Management indicated that the recent regulatory changes could unlock an additional $1 billion of CapEx without requiring incremental equity, benefiting the balance sheet [33][34] Question: Growth implications and CapEx timing - Management noted that existing capacity allows for rapid connections to large loads, with more intra-regional transmission capacity needed in the first five years of the plan [41][72] Question: ERCOT batching process and potential delays - Management expressed confidence that the batching process would be manageable and that they have not experienced the backlog seen in other regions [44][46] Question: Balance sheet capacity and future divestitures - Management stated that they remain open-minded about capital recycling and divestitures, depending on what makes the most sense for growth financing [86][87] Question: Electric volumes and throughput trends - Management confirmed that the modest decline in total throughput was due to a shift towards commercial and industrial growth, with confidence in long-term trends [92][94] Question: CapEx update and adjustments - Management explained that the increase in CapEx was primarily driven by the 765 kV line, with flexibility on the gas side allowing for adjustments based on execution needs [96][97]

CenterPoint Energy(CNP) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript - Reportify