Sasol(SSL) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The overall financial performance showed a decline in Adjusted EBITDA year-on-year, reflecting weaker macro conditions, with a positive free cash flow generated despite challenges [9][16][23] - Net debt ended at $3.8 billion, with a focus on cash generation and resilience in the balance sheet [7][22] - Gross margin declined by 6%, impacted by a 17% lower Rand oil price and continued pressure in chemicals pricing [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the mining segment, EBITDA was lower due to the phaseout of export coal sales, but additional income was realized from leasing coal terminal capacity [26] - Fuels EBITDA increased, supported by higher refining margins and improved operational performance at Secunda and Natref [27] - Chemicals EBITDA generation remains under pressure due to lower prices and soft demand in global markets, with a notable decline in both Africa and America [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Brent crude oil price decreased by 14% year-on-year, contributing to a 17% decline in the Rand oil price [16] - The oil market remains in surplus, with supply growth outpacing demand, leading to expected volatility in oil prices [17] - Chemicals faced challenges from global overcapacity and tariff uncertainties, impacting pricing and margins [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company follows a two-pillar strategy: strengthening the foundation business and positioning for long-term growth and transformation [2][4] - Progress in renewable energy includes securing over 1.2 GW in South Africa, with a target of 2 GW by 2030 [30][31] - The focus on decarbonization is pragmatic, aiming to reduce emissions while ensuring energy security and affordability [30][33] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management acknowledged the volatile business environment and emphasized the importance of execution and delivery against commitments [4][5] - There is cautious optimism for recovery in selective end markets, although the pace of decline in chemicals is slowing [18] - The company remains committed to reducing net debt and improving cash generation despite macroeconomic uncertainties [22][28] Other Important Information - The company invested approximately ZAR 200 million in social programs over the past six months, reflecting its commitment to community upliftment [14] - The company has made significant progress in safety measures, with improvements in leading indicators despite a tragic fatality [8] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Synfuels volumes and guidance for the next financial year - Management noted that the annualized run rate in the second quarter was about 7.6 million tons, with maintenance scheduled next year [39][42] Question: Carbon tax suspension proposal - Management emphasized the importance of a carbon tax for protecting South Africa's interests and proposed a recycling mechanism for the tax [40][44] Question: MRG pricing submission and its impact on revenue - Management confirmed that the submitted pricing would be slightly more expensive than current gas, with CapEx included in the overall profile [41][46] Question: De-gearing guidance and CapEx concerns - Management reiterated the commitment to reduce net debt below $3.7 billion by year-end, despite challenges in the second half [55][61] Question: Medium-term notes repayment strategy - Management explained the decision to repay medium-term notes was part of a proactive approach to capital structure management [56][64]