PSEG(PEG) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - PSEG reported net income of $0.63 per share for Q4 2025 and $4.22 per share for the full year, compared to $0.57 and $3.54 per share in 2024, respectively [20] - Non-GAAP operating earnings were $0.72 per share for Q4 2025 and $4.05 per share for the full year, compared to $0.84 and $3.68 per share in 2024 [20] - The company announced a dividend declaration for Q1 2026 at an annual rate of $2.68 per share, a 6% increase from the previous year [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - PSE&G reported Q4 2025 net income and non-GAAP operating earnings of $352 million, down from $378 million in Q4 2024, but full-year earnings increased to $1.75 billion from $1.55 billion [21] - PSEG Power and Other reported a net loss of $37 million for Q4 2025, an improvement from a net loss of $92 million in Q4 2024, while full-year net income rose to $366 million from $225 million [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average monthly bill for PSEG residential electric customers will decrease by 1.8% starting June 1, 2026, due to the results of the Basic Generation Service auction [11] - PSEG's cumulative progress from methane reduction programs has achieved over a 30% reduction in emissions from 2018 levels [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - PSEG updated its capital program to $24 billion-$28 billion for the 2026-2030 period, with over 90% focused on regulated investments [16] - The company aims for a long-term non-GAAP earnings growth outlook of 6%-8% through 2030, supported by utility operations and infrastructure modernization [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving a non-GAAP operating earnings guidance of $4.28 to $4.40 per share for 2026, reflecting a 7% increase at the midpoint over 2025 results [15] - The company is focused on stringent cost control and continuous improvement to support affordability for customers [15] Other Important Information - PSEG Nuclear achieved a capacity factor of 91.2% for the full year, producing approximately 30.9 terawatt hours of carbon-free power [14] - The company received the 2025 ReliabilityOne Awards for outstanding system resiliency and customer engagement [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the timing of the new gas bill and the IRP process? - Management indicated that various legislative variables are still being worked through, including air permits and turbine backlogs [38] Question: What level of hedges and upside versus the PTC is embedded in the 6%-8% CAGR? - Management stated that the current year is about 95% hedged, with less certainty in the out years, and they will adjust based on market conditions [43][44] Question: Can you comment on the breakdown of the 2026 guidance between regulated utility and power? - Management noted that while they are largely hedged for 2026, the situation for 2027 and beyond remains more subject to market forces [77] Question: What types of incremental regulated capital investments are being considered? - Management mentioned investments in transmission and distribution systems to support solar and battery integration, as well as opportunities in generation depending on policy developments [86][87]