Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Goldman Sachs 2023 Communacopia & Technology Conference (Transcript)

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported solid results for the recent quarter, with guidance exceeding market expectations [3] - The service business has shown record growth, achieving 16 consecutive quarters of year-over-year growth [37][38] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The ICAPS segment, which includes IoT, communication, auto, power, and sensors, is performing exceptionally well, contributing to the company's strong market position [4] - The company has gained 10 points of market share in the DRAM sector over the last decade, which is fueling near-term outperformance [4] - Advanced packaging is identified as a significant growth area, with the company holding over 50% market share and a current business valued at $1 billion, with potential to double in the coming years [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The semiconductor market is projected to reach $1 trillion by 2030, with the company expecting high single-digit growth in the ICAPS segment in line with overall semiconductor growth [9][30] - The company has a strong position in the leading-edge foundry logic market, which is increasingly focused on materials innovation [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is transitioning its service business from transactional to subscription agreements, enhancing stability during market downturns [8] - The formation of the Integrated Materials Solutions Group has strengthened customer relationships and positioned the company well for future innovations [10][28] - The EPIC Center, a multibillion-dollar R&D platform, aims to accelerate innovation and collaboration with customers, potentially reducing time to market by 30% [23][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic about the ICAPS market, particularly in China, despite geopolitical challenges and export controls impacting $1.5 billion to $2 billion in revenue [32] - The company is focused on improving supply chain efficiency and customer trust, learning from disruptions experienced during the pandemic [49] Other Important Information - The company has implemented price increases and is focused on cost reduction to improve gross margins, which currently sit in the mid to high 40% range [42][44] - The company has introduced 20 major new products in the ICAPS market over the last four years, with more expected in the coming years [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the current state of the business and market outlook? - The company is in a strong position in fast-growing market areas, particularly in ICAPS and advanced packaging, with expectations for continued growth [4][22] Question: How sustainable is the growth in the ICAPS segment? - The company anticipates stable growth in ICAPS for 2024, with a compound annual growth rate in the mid- to high single digits expected in the long term [30] Question: How has the geopolitical backdrop affected strategy? - Export controls have impacted revenue projections, but the company remains optimistic about opportunities in the ICAPS market, particularly in China [32] Question: What is the competitive landscape like, especially regarding local Chinese companies? - The company acknowledges competition but emphasizes the importance of innovation and breadth of technology as key competitive advantages [36] Question: What is the growth profile of the services business? - The services business is expected to grow at a double-digit rate, with significant opportunities for improvement in efficiency and customer value [41]