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Arthur J. Gallagher & (AJG) - 2022 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 16% growth in revenue for the combined Brokerage and Risk Management segments, with 11.7% organic growth. GAAP earnings per share were 0.83,whileadjustedearningspersharewere0.83, while adjusted earnings per share were 1.86, reflecting a 24% year-over-year increase. The reported net earnings margin was 9%, and the adjusted EBITDAC margin was 29.6%, up 120 basis points [4][5][16]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Brokerage segment, reported revenue growth was 16%, with organic growth at 11%. Acquisition rollover revenues were 107million,andtheadjustedEBITDACmarginwas31.3107 million, and the adjusted EBITDAC margin was 31.3%, up 120 basis points [5][6]. - The U.S. retail business posted 8% organic growth, while the U.K. businesses combined posted 17% organic growth, benefiting from strong new business production and retention [6][7]. - The Risk Management segment, Gallagher Bassett, achieved 15.6% organic growth in the fourth quarter, with an adjusted EBITDAC margin of 19.3% [15][21]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global fourth quarter renewal premiums were up more than 9%, consistent with previous quarters. The primary insurance market showed stability, with D&O rates remaining flat to slightly down [8][9]. - The reinsurance market experienced significant price increases, particularly in U.S. peak zone property cat reinsurance, with casualty prices up in the single to low double-digit range [10][11]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company completed 17 mergers in the fourth quarter, totaling over 140 million in estimated annual revenues, and announced an agreement to acquire Buck, expected to close in the second quarter [13][14]. - The company anticipates continued organic growth in the Brokerage segment in the range of 7% to 9% for 2023, supported by a favorable employment backdrop and wage growth [12][20]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism for 2023, citing strong client activity and no signs of price moderation from carriers. They expect continued price increases and cautious underwriting in the primary market [12][20]. - The company is well-positioned for another strong year, with a robust M&A pipeline and expected margin expansion opportunities [27][28]. Other Important Information - The company has approximately 325millioninavailablecashandestimatesaround325 million in available cash and estimates around 3 billion to fund potential M&A opportunities in 2023 [27]. - The quarterly dividend was increased by 0.04pershare,implyinganannualpayoutof0.04 per share, implying an annual payout of 2.20 per share, a 7.8% increase over 2022 [27]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on the reinsurance market growth - Management noted strong momentum in the reinsurance market but advised against expecting a significant jump in growth [30][31]. Question: Impact of compensation ratio changes - The compensation ratio dropped due to efficiency improvements and technology investments, with management indicating potential for further leverage in 2023 [32][33]. Question: Drivers of organic growth in 2022 - Management attributed organic growth to a mix of net new business, rate increases, and exposure unit growth, with expectations for similar drivers in 2023 [36][38]. Question: M&A market dynamics - Management observed a change in the competitive environment for M&A, with fewer bidders and more attentive sellers [51][52]. Question: Margin expansion guidance - Management confirmed that wage inflation is factored into margin expansion guidance, with expectations for continued growth across all business units [56][46].