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TSMC (2330.TW)_ Solid fundamentals amid the political uncertainties
MCR嘉世咨询· 2024-10-31 02:40
Flash | 28 Oct 2024 07:46:05 ET │ 11 pages TSMC (2330.TW) Solid fundamentals amid the political uncertainties CITI'S TAKE US presidential candidate Donald Trump has recently emphasized again the importance of reducing US dependency on overseas semiconductor manufacturing. Trump has argued that the US should pursue policies that strengthen its chip manufacturing capabilities, to reduce dependency on other countries, especially Taiwan. He also mentioned that, if re-elected, he would review the CHIPS Act on fo ...
China IMF_ Birth stimulus measures_ more comprehensive than expected but subsidy plan below expectation
Bitfinder· 2024-10-31 02:40
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the recent measures taken by the Chinese government to support childbearing, which are part of a broader initiative to create a childbearing-friendly society. The measures are seen as comprehensive but the maternity subsidy plan is less favorable than expected [1][2]. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Childbearing Subsidy System**: The government plans to establish a childbearing subsidy system, with guidelines for local governments to implement the policy effectively. This includes enhancing personal income tax deductions for childcare and education [2][3]. 2. **Full Spectrum of Support Policies**: The measures include: - Strengthening maternity insurance and parental leave policies - Developing childcare services and improving pediatric standards - Expanding educational, housing, and employment support - Promoting a childbearing-friendly social environment [3]. 3. **Implications for Feihe**: The maternity subsidy plan is viewed as not straightforwardly positive for Feihe. However, the company is expected to perform well due to: - Stricter regulations on infant formula (IMF) that may accelerate industry consolidation - A solid outlook for the second half of 2024, driven by channel stock replenishment and online growth - Attractive dividends supported by a strong balance sheet [4]. Additional Important Content - The maternity subsidy plan's reliance on local governments raises concerns about the sufficiency of funds to effectively boost fertility intentions [1]. - The overall sentiment towards Feihe remains bullish despite the mixed implications of the new policies, highlighting the company's resilience and growth potential in a consolidating market [4].
H World (1179.HK)_ Expiring Upside 30-Day Catalyst Watch
-· 2024-10-31 02:40
Action | 28 Oct 2024 04:29:02 ET │ 10 pages H World (1179.HK) Expiring Upside 30-Day Catalyst Watch View original report on this Catalyst Watch This Upside Catalyst Watch call, added on 27-Sep-2024, has expired effective immediately and should no longer be relied upon. | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------|-----------------------| | | | | Buy | | | Price (25 Oct 2024 16:00:00) | HK$29.55 | | Target price | HK$42.00 | | | | | Expected share price return Expected dividend yiel ...
Airbus SE (EADSF) Nine Months 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
2024-10-31 00:09
Airbus SE Nine Months 2024 Earnings Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Airbus SE - **Date of Call**: October 30, 2024 - **Participants**: Guillaume Faury (CEO), Thomas Toepfer (CFO), Helene Le Gorgeu (Head of Investor Relations) Key Points Industry Context - The aerospace industry is facing a complex and fast-changing environment due to geopolitical uncertainties and supply chain challenges [9][10] - Airbus is focused on ramping up production in commercial aircraft and transforming its Defense and Space divisions [9] Leadership Changes - The Board of Directors proposed the renewal of Guillaume Faury's mandate as CEO at the next AGM [6] - Lars Wagner, CEO of MTU Aero Engines, will join Airbus in 2026 to succeed Christian Scherer as CEO of Commercial Aircraft [7][8] Financial Performance - **Revenue**: €44.5 billion, up 5% year-on-year, driven by commercial aircraft deliveries and Air Power business [24] - **EBIT Adjusted**: Decreased to €2.8 billion from €3.6 billion year-on-year, impacted by charges in the space business [26] - **Free Cash Flow**: Negative €4.8 billion, reflecting inventory buildup for Q4 deliveries [12] - **Net Income**: €1.8 billion, with earnings per share of €2.29 [32] Commercial Aircraft - Delivered 497 commercial aircraft year-to-date, compared to 488 last year [11] - Strong demand with 667 gross orders booked, including 457 for the A320 family [13] - Backlog for the A320 family stands at 7,253 aircraft, with over two-thirds for the A321 [13] Defense and Space - Order intake for Defense and Space reached €11 billion, with €4.5 billion in Q3 [17] - The space business is undergoing a transformation due to competitive pressures and the need for consolidation [19][21] Challenges and Risks - The company is facing challenges in the supply chain, particularly with engines from Pratt & Whitney and CFM [80][81] - Inflation is expected to have a negative effect of a couple of hundred million euros in 2024 [72] - The ongoing Boeing strike may indirectly impact Airbus suppliers [82] Future Guidance - Airbus targets around 770 commercial aircraft deliveries in 2024, with EBIT adjusted of around €5.5 billion and free cash flow before customer financing of around €3.5 billion [48] - The company is focused on operational efficiency and prioritizing activities that drive performance [50] Additional Insights - Airbus is implementing a lead initiative to refocus on ramp-up and operational efficiency, counterbalancing negatives such as high staffing levels and inflation [60] - The company is exploring ways to strengthen the European space sector and improve competitiveness [21][63] Conclusion - Airbus remains committed to its priorities in commercial aircraft ramp-up and Defense and Space transformation, while navigating a challenging operating environment [49]
Vera Therapeutics (VERA) Update / Briefing Transcript
2024-10-28 13:02
Vera Therapeutics (VERA) Update / Briefing October 28, 2024 08:00 AM ET Speaker0 Good morning, and welcome to the Vera Therapeutics Virtual Investor Event. As a reminder, this call is being recorded and a replay will be made available on the Vera site following the conclusion of the event. I'd now like to turn the call over to your host, Marshall Fordyce, Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Vera Therapeutics. Please go ahead, Marshall. Speaker1 Thank you, Tara. Good morning and welcome to Vera's virtual ...
Global Economic Briefing_ MSSCI_ Slight improvement amidst weaker demand
standard chartered· 2024-10-23 16:34
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China_Hong Kong Consumer_ China Retail Sales – Sep 2024_ Slight Improvement
umwelt bundesamt· 2024-10-23 16:34
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Retail Sector - **Date**: October 18, 2024 - **Source**: Morgan Stanley Research Core Insights 1. **Retail Sales Growth**: - China's retail sales growth in September 2024 improved to **3.2% YoY**, up from **2.1% in August**, exceeding expectations [1] - Recovery pace compared to 2019 levels increased to **119%** from **114%** in the previous months [1] 2. **Category Performance**: - **Electronics & Appliances**: Recorded the highest YoY growth at **21%**, attributed to trade-in subsidies [2] - **Home Furnishing**: Showed a slight positive growth of **0.4%** YoY in September [2] - **Food & Beverage (F&B)**: Experienced slight growth deceleration, with Alcohol & Tobacco and Soft Drinks returning to negative growth YoY [2] - **Restaurant & Dining**: Growth weakened slightly as the summer holiday ended, with a YoY growth of **3.1%** [3] 3. **Comparison to 2019 Levels**: - Overall retail sales momentum improved to **119%** of 2019 levels, with notable recoveries in categories like Alcohol & Tobacco (**158%**) and Electronics & Appliances (**115%**) [3] - Cosmetics recovery remained volatile, declining to **129%** in September after a peak of **138%** in August [3] 4. **Detailed Category Analysis**: - **Apparel, Shoes, and Textile**: Showed a decline of **-0.4%** YoY [3] - **Gold & Jewelry**: Experienced a decline of **-7.8%** YoY despite rising gold prices [3] - **Cosmetics**: Declined by **-4.5%** YoY [3] - **Food, Grain, and Oil**: Maintained steady growth [2] 5. **Online Retail Sales**: - Online retail sales growth was reported at **6.4%** YoY, indicating a recovery trend [5] Additional Important Insights - **Consumer Sentiment**: The improvement in retail sales growth suggests a potential recovery in consumer sentiment, which may continue into October, supported by National Day holiday data [1] - **Economic Indicators**: The data reflects broader economic conditions in China, with implications for various sectors including consumer goods and services [1][2] - **Analyst Insights**: Analysts from Morgan Stanley express a cautious but optimistic view on the retail sector's recovery trajectory, highlighting the importance of consumer spending patterns [4] This summary encapsulates the key findings and insights from the conference call regarding the current state and outlook of the retail sector in China, providing a comprehensive overview for stakeholders and investors.
China Property_ Property Market Remained Lukewarm in September
informs· 2024-10-23 16:34
Summary of the Conference Call on China Property Market Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Property - **Date**: October 18, 2024 - **Context**: The property market in China remains lukewarm, with ongoing challenges in sales and construction activities Key Points Property Sales Performance - Property sales in September showed a slight decline, with national sales volume dropping by **11.0% year-on-year (y-y)** and sales value decreasing by **16.3% y-y**. This is an improvement compared to August's declines of **12.6%** and **17.2%** respectively [1] - The cumulative decline for the first nine months of 2024 (9M24) stands at **17.1% for volume** and **22.7% for value** y-y [1] Home Prices - The NBS 70-city home prices continued to decline, with primary sales down **0.7% month-on-month (m-m)** and secondary sales down **0.9% m-m** in September, consistent with August's performance [1] Construction Activity - Construction activities remain weak, with completions falling **31.4% y-y** in September, slightly better than August's **36.6%** decline. The 9M24 decline in completions is now **24.4% y-y** [2] - New construction starts decreased by **19.9% y-y**, with a cumulative decline of **22.2% y-y** for 9M24 [2] - Real estate investment (REI) declined by **9.4% y-y** in September, with a **10.1% y-y** decline for 9M24 [2] Market Outlook - The Politburo's recent tone change regarding the housing market has improved sentiment slightly, with expectations for better sales in Q4 due to seasonal factors and policy support [3] - Strong home sales were observed during the Golden Week and into October, indicating potential for notable quarter-on-quarter improvement in Q4 [3] - However, the sustainability of this sales improvement into 2025 remains uncertain due to unclear funding and timelines for inventory buyback and urban redevelopment [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining a focus on defensive state-owned enterprises (SOEs) as a strategy amidst the current market conditions [1] Additional Data - Total sales value for 9M24 was **Rmb 6,888 billion**, down **22.7%** y-y, with residential sales value at **Rmb 6,024 billion**, down **24.0%** y-y [3] - Total gross floor area (GFA) sold was **703 million sqm**, down **17.1%** y-y, with residential GFA sold at **588 million sqm**, down **19.2%** y-y [3] Important but Overlooked Content - The prolonged sluggish land sales, with CREIS 300-city land sales volume falling **25.4% y-y** in 9M24, indicate ongoing challenges for developers [2] - The report emphasizes the need for concerted policy implementation and macroeconomic recovery to support a turnaround in resident sentiment and sustainable improvement in sales and housing prices [3]
China Traditional Chinese Medicine_ Deal Breaks; Our Rationale for the Bear Case
ray dalio· 2024-10-23 16:34
October 18, 2024 04:52 PM GMT M Update | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
The Guardian-22.10.2024
Thoughtworks· 2024-10-22 16:27
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Company/Industry Involved - The conference call primarily discusses the case involving the Metropolitan Police and the shooting of Chris Kaba by firearms officer Martyn Blake, which has broader implications for policing and public trust in law enforcement in the UK. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Acquittal of Officer**: Sgt Martyn Blake was acquitted of murder after shooting unarmed driver Chris Kaba, which has sparked significant public and police reaction, highlighting tensions between law enforcement and community trust [1][2][11]. 2. **Public Reaction**: Kaba's family expressed devastation over the verdict, stating it reflects a system that allows police to act with impunity, while supporters of Kaba's family called for justice and accountability [2][11]. 3. **Police Perspective**: The Metropolitan Police Commissioner, Mark Rowley, defended Blake's actions as a split-second decision made under pressure, emphasizing the need for officers to feel supported in their roles [11][12]. 4. **Community Tensions**: The case has exacerbated existing tensions between police and Black communities, with calls for reform in how police use lethal force and how they are held accountable for their actions [11][12]. 5. **Historical Context**: The incident is part of a broader pattern of fatal police shootings in the UK, particularly involving unarmed Black individuals, raising questions about systemic issues within law enforcement [11][12]. 6. **Legal and Policy Implications**: The outcome of the trial may influence future policies regarding police conduct and the legal protections afforded to officers in the line of duty, with discussions ongoing about potential reforms [12][13]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Psychological Factors**: During the trial, Blake's defense included claims of "perceptual distortion," suggesting that high-stress situations can lead to errors in memory and decision-making, a point that has been met with skepticism [11][12]. 2. **Public Safety Concerns**: The case has raised concerns about public safety and the implications of police officers feeling unsupported, which could affect their ability to perform their duties effectively [12][13]. 3. **Historical Precedents**: The case is compared to previous incidents involving police shootings, indicating a pattern of similar outcomes and community responses, which may inform future legal and social discussions [11][12]. This summary encapsulates the critical aspects of the conference call, focusing on the implications of the Kaba shooting case for policing, community relations, and potential reforms in the UK.