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Yuyue· 2025-08-25 21:03
Market Sentiment & Risk Aversion - The market exhibits risk aversion, prioritizing loss prevention over potential gains [1] - The market avoids chasing "fish tail" opportunities (late-stage rallies) due to the high risk of subsequent significant declines [1] Altcoin Season Analysis - "Fish tail" rallies often indicate potential altcoin season or late-stage rallies [1] - Altcoin rallies are followed by substantial corrections, with some experiencing near 50% declines [1] Historical Performance - A previous altcoin rally around December 9th experienced a downturn, leading to near 50% losses by December 20th [1] - The cycle concluded with a "Trump coin" event approximately one month later [1]
X @Yuyue
Yuyue· 2025-08-25 12:56
Market Analysis - The $1 billion (1B) buy order for SOL may be insufficient to cover potential insider trading related to rumored cryptocurrency and stock market activities [1] - The most pressing issue is the on-chain ecosystem's liquidity [1] Liquidity & Ecosystem - Resolving exchange liquidity is crucial for the ecosystem to thrive [1]