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Ansem 🧸💸· 2025-10-03 16:56
Market Cycles & Trading Strategy - The industry suggests shifting focus to shorter, 4-month cycles instead of 4-year cycles to enhance trading intentionality and selection of outperformers [1] - The industry observes that even within a 4-year cycle, altcoins typically exhibit aggressive outperformance only for 3-4 months [1] - The industry emphasizes the importance of regular profit-taking into momentum to avoid bagholding, highlighting Bitcoin as the only non-disruptable tech in crypto [1] Historical Performance & Future Trends - The industry notes specific altcoins and sectors that have outperformed in the past, such as Injective, CFX, and AI-related projects from January 2023 to March 2023, and Solana, TAO, HNT, and memecoins like BONK/WIF from October 2023 to March 2024 [1] - The industry anticipates potential outperformers from August 2024 to January 2025, including SUI, XRP, Dinos, SPX, and "fartcoin" [1] - The industry speculates on a potential "hype" cycle starting in April 2025 [1] Current Market Analysis & Uncertainties - The industry acknowledges uncertainty regarding current trend leaders, pointing to pumpdotfun and Binance cartels as potential influences [1] - The industry anticipates numerous new launches in the coming months, making it challenging to identify leading memecoins [1]