We are in the early stage of Bear marketBTC already down 15% since my top callEveryone knows my first target of 90k ...

Everything I’ve said in the last 2–3 months is playing out with PERFECTION. Every move, every warning, every prediction! I called the REPO crisis before anyone even whispered about it. And now it’s exactly as I said. The Big Short is playing out! ...

Macroeconomic Analysis - The Federal Reserve's Quantitative Tightening (QT) is distinct from Quantitative Easing (QE), with QT involving the reduction of liquidity by allowing bonds to mature without reinvestment, while QE involves expanding the balance sheet through asset purchases [1] - QT is scheduled to officially end on December 1, 2025, and the Fed continues to reduce liquidity until then [1] - Historically, the Fed initiates QE following a liquidity crisis, a pattern observed in 2008, the 2019 repo crisis, and the 2020 Covid crash [1] Liquidity and Repo Market Dynamics - A $50 billion liquidity operation through the Fed's Standing Repo Facility (SRF) is a short-term overnight loan, not a permanent injection of cash or money printing [2] - The SRF allows banks to borrow cash directly from the Fed, up to $500 billion per day, serving as a backstop introduced after the 2019 repo market collapse [3] - SRF usage of $50 billion in a single day signals market stress, as normal usage is around $0-5 billion per day, indicating that liquidity in the private repo market has dried up [4] - The reverse repo pool has been drained from approximately $2.2 trillion to about $14 billion, suggesting a lack of excess liquidity [4] Historical Context and Future Outlook - The Federal Reserve first conducted QT in 2017, which ended in the 2019 repo market collapse, followed by the COVID crash, and the current situation mirrors this setup [6] - The previous QT ran from October 2017 to September 2019, with a massive QE program launched six months later in March 2020 after the COVID market collapse [6] - The system is showing signs of cracking again, with liquidity drying up, suggesting that the real crisis has not yet started [7]

Liquidity & Monetary Policy - End of Quantitative Tightening (QT), industry anticipates the timing of Quantitative Easing (QE) [1] - Discussion of the current REPO crisis and its implications [1] - Examination of liquidity issues and associated risks for banks [1] - Addressing misinformation surrounding Quantitative Easing (QE) [1] Market Impact - Analysis of the implications for Bitcoin (BTC) and stocks [1]

Funny how the first analysts start to understand the Repo liquidity crisis we are currently facing. I was one of the first mentioning this point back in August to keep an eye on. One of the main reasons why I turned bearish on the entire market! ...

Market Analysis - Industry suggests the Bitcoin market is in the early stage of a bear market [1] - Early realization of the bear market allows for better profit-taking or exit strategies [1] Trading Strategy - The author claims to have sold and shorted Bitcoin at its peak [1] - The author claims to have accurately timed the market in the past, selling at the top in 2021 and buying at $16,000 in 2022 [1]

Nothing stinks more than emotional and greedy bull money! It’s full in the market, and it stinks miles and miles away! I can smell the profits waiting for me, the stinky money of the delusional bulls! I can smell the stupidity and greed, it’s calling me! ...

Shorting BIG since two monthsAverage entry of $119,000Also BIG shorts in stocksDrinking tea, CRASH coming! ...

Powell gives a slap in the face for all the bulls by saying that December rate cut is not guaranteed! On top of that he confirms my critical observations towards the REPO market. Something bulls like to ignore! ...

Told you many times, 125k is topHow many doubted me back thenSuch a good time to be a bear ...