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每日市场观察
Caida Securities· 2024-04-24 06:30
Market Overview - The market showed a significant divergence on April 16, with coal and home appliance sectors performing relatively well, while technology sectors like artificial intelligence and consumer electronics saw substantial declines [3][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.65%, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 2.29%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.97% [4] - Over 5,000 stocks in the market declined, with more than 700 hitting the daily limit down, indicating a bearish market sentiment [15] Economic Data - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that China's GDP for Q1 reached 29.63 trillion yuan, growing by 5.3% year-on-year and 1.6% quarter-on-quarter [6][18] - The industrial value added for Q1 showed a growth of 6.1% year-on-year, with significant contributions from high-tech manufacturing sectors such as charging piles and 3D printing equipment, which saw production increases of approximately 40% [9][19] Industry Dynamics - Canalys reported a 11% year-on-year increase in global smartphone shipments in Q1 2024, with Samsung leading the market at 20% share, followed by Apple at 16% and Xiaomi at 14% [10][20] - The civil aviation sector experienced record passenger and cargo transport volumes in Q1 2024, with domestic routes completing 1.6 billion passenger trips, a 14.3% increase compared to 2019 [21] Fund Strategies - Major public funds are focusing on high dividend strategies and expect the A-share market to maintain a volatile trend in the short term, with better opportunities anticipated in the medium term [23] - The new "National Nine Articles" policy aims to cultivate a long-term investment ecosystem, enhancing the role of public funds in the equity market [12][23] Long-term Outlook - The report suggests that in the next 5-10 years, China's export industry structure may shift from downstream to midstream and upstream cyclical industries, potentially leading to a change in investment paradigms in the domestic equity market [24]
财达证券晨会纪要
Caida Securities· 2024-04-24 03:31
晨会纪要 2024-04-24 | --- | --- | |------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | 2024 年 04 月 24 日 星期三 | | 【摘要】 | | | 【今日要闻】 | 据称日本央行不急于进一步加息(第一财经) | | | 加拿大投资银行集团:维持Vizsla Silver(VZLA.US)评级,由Speculative Buy调整至Speculative Buy评级, 目标价 | | 由4.00美元调整至4.75美元(智通财经) | | | | 美国财政部拍卖690亿美元两年期国债,得标利率4.898%,投标倍数2.66(第一财经) | | | 美联储在固定利率逆回购操作中总计接纳了71个对手方的4358.80亿美元(第一财经) | | | 有市场消息称,美国一些大型银行面临美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)对掉期和清算业务中的非披露协议 ...
每日市场观察
Caida Securities· 2024-04-23 06:00
Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations on April 19, with the ChiNext index leading the decline while the Shanghai Composite Index remained relatively strong. The low-altitude economy and shipping sectors showed notable activity, while the semiconductor sector faced adjustments. Overall, more than 3,500 stocks declined across the market [4][5]. Sector Performance - The low-altitude economy and shipping sectors saw significant gains, while sectors such as BC batteries, semiconductors, consumer electronics, and CPO faced declines. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.29%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.04%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.76% [5]. Agricultural Sector Insights - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs indicated that agricultural product prices are expected to stabilize and gradually recover, supported by measures such as capacity adjustments and increased reserve purchases. Recent price stabilization has been observed in commodities like corn and pork, with expectations for improved demand as macroeconomic policies take effect [6]. Economic Indicators - In the first quarter, Hebei Province's industrial added value grew by 8.1% year-on-year, with all three major industrial sectors showing growth. The service sector is also recovering, and fixed asset investment remains stable, driven by significant projects [7][28]. E-commerce Growth - The Ministry of Commerce reported that cross-border e-commerce imports and exports reached 577.6 billion yuan in the first quarter, marking a 9.6% increase. The development of "Silk Road e-commerce" partnerships has contributed to this growth [9]. Fund Market Dynamics - As of the end of March 2024, the total scale of public funds in China remained stable at approximately 29 trillion yuan. Despite a slight decrease from February, the total scale increased by 1.6 trillion yuan compared to the end of last year, reflecting a growth rate of 5.79% [11][33]. Consumer Spending - In the first quarter, the retail sales of consumer goods grew by 4.7%, with significant increases in categories such as sports and entertainment products (14.2%) and communication equipment (13.2%). Consumer demand for high-quality and experiential consumption continues to rise [19][30]. Banking Sector Outlook - The banking sector's performance is closely linked to the macroeconomic recovery. With GDP growth exceeding market expectations, the banking sector is likely to benefit from improved performance and valuation recovery [25][34].
每日市场观察
Caida Securities· 2024-04-23 03:30
板块方面,前期强势的周期板块出现回调,科技成长方向虽然下挫但 仍有企稳迹象。4 月进入下旬将迎来一季度业绩集中释放窗口,业绩落 地后科技板块有望获得一定修复。但仍需注意规避业绩不佳或是基本 面有瑕疵的标的。 【市场回顾】 北向资金:4 月 22 日,全天净买入 13.89 亿,其中沪股通净买入 9.08 亿元,深股通净买入 4.81 亿元。 的变化,LPR 仍有可能进行相应调整,以更好地服务实体经济和推动经 济高质量发展。 | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------| | | | | | 财政部国库司司长李先忠 22 日在国新办新闻发布会上表示,为了进一 | | 步满足投资者购债需求,下一步,我们将采取以下四项措施:一是密 | | 切关注储蓄国债的供需关系变化和销售情况,研究适当增加发行规模。 | | 一债难求"核心就是需求旺盛,供给相对不足,所以我们下一步要研 | | 究适当增加发行规模。二是研究进一步调降单人购买限额,使储蓄国 | | | 1.水利部:一季度全国实施水利项目 2.35 万个 比去年同期增 ...
财达证券晨会纪要
Caida Securities· 2024-04-23 03:01
晨会纪要 2024-04-23 ————————————————————————————————————————————— 敬请阅读末页的条款 第1页 116029 H凯迪2-4 2024-04-23(凯迪2优4于2019年6月10日开始停牌) 116030 H凯迪2-5 2024-04-23(凯迪2优5于2019年6月10日开始停牌) 117016 16华泰01 2024-04-23(16华泰01将从2019年2月22日上午开市起停牌) 117022 16配投01 2024-04-23(16配投01将自2018年6月12日开市起停牌) 117027 16配投02 2024-04-23(16配投02将自2018年6月12日开市起停牌) 117034 16配投03 2024-04-23(16配投03将自2018年6月12日开市起停牌) 117039 16飞投01 2024-04-23(16飞投01(117039)自2018年8月20日开市起停牌并暂停换股) 117043 16飞投02 2024-04-23(16飞投02(117043)自2018年8月20日开市起停牌并暂停换股) 117044 16飞投03 20 ...
财达证券晨会纪要
Caida Securities· 2024-04-22 03:31
晨会纪要 2024-04-22 | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------| | | | 2024 年 04 月 22 日 星期一 | | 【摘要】 | | | | 【今日要闻】 | | | | | 昨夜今晨重大事件汇总(第一财经) | | | | 看好中国经济 外资机构积极布局人民币资产(经济参考报) | | | | A股限售股解禁一览:540.03亿元市值限售股今日解禁(第一财经) | | | | 华泰证券:A股策略多因素角力下聚焦红利和高胜率景气(第一财经) | | | | 华泰证券:宏微观双重挑战 引发市场对AI芯片需求不及预期的担忧(第一财经) | | | | 中信建投:关注业绩/股息品种,看好一季报后传媒反弹(第一财经) | | | | 中信建投:PCS是国内大储高增态势下最受益的环 ...
财达证券晨会纪要
Caida Securities· 2024-04-19 05:31
| --- | --- | --- | |--------------------|----------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | 2024 年 04 月 19 日 星期五 | | 【摘要】 | | | | 【今日要闻】 | | | | | 博斯蒂克:美联储可以保持耐心,年底前不太可能降息(第一财经) | | | | | 有市场消息称,软件开发公司宾特利系统 (Bentley Systems)正探索各种选择,其中包括出售(第一财经) | | | | 阿拉斯加航空高管表示,预计2024年波音公司将交付10-20架737 Max飞机,此前预期为23架(第一财经) | | | 美国30年期抵押贷款利率今年以来首次升至7.1%(第一财经) | | | | | Meta Platforms(META.O)发布了AI大型语言模型LLAM ...
每日市场观察
Caida Securities· 2024-04-19 05:30
每日市场观察 【今日关注】 沪指周三大幅上涨对周二的阴线形成一定反包,指数一举突破多条均 线压制收于 3071 点,技术面得到了较大修复。但目前 5 日均线尚未跟 进"金叉"10 日均线,10 日均线目前仍在下行趋势,短期指数或有一 定盘整的需求。 【市场回顾】 融基础设施以及其他双方关心的金融政策议题进行了专业、务实、坦 诚和建设性的沟通。会议还听取了双方技术专家组关于两国金融监管 框架的汇报。双方同意继续保持沟通。 2.2024 中关村论坛 4 月 25 日起举行 将举办近 120 场活动 3.一汽汽车金融全面调整汽车贷款首付比例 推出 0 首付金融产品 点评:大力度的营销策略有望对消费者产生较大吸引力,从而推动汽 车产销量的增长。1 至 3 月,我国汽车产销量分别达 660.6 万辆和 672 万辆,同比分别增长 6.4%和 10.6%。一季度,汽车行业经济运行起步 平稳,实现良好开局。 1.九部门:用 3 年左右时间 扎实开展数字人才育、引、留、用等专项 行动 2.四川:探索氢能源汽车通行高速公路费用全免 将对氢能产业采取超 常规最大力度支持 3.自贸港建设带动海南单季度进出口首次突破 600 亿元 ...
每日市场观察
Caida Securities· 2024-04-19 05:30
【资金面】 3.工信部:加快围绕创新链布局低空经济发展的产业链 加速低空智联 技术攻关和模式创新 每日市场观察 央行 18 日发文称,近年来,人民银行注重实施好稳健的货币政策,保 持货币信贷总量稳定增长。2023 年末,社会融资规模存量同比增长 9.5%, 广义货币(M2)余额同比增长 9.7%,人民币贷款余额同比增长 10.6%, 均明显高于名义经济增速,对实体经济的支持充分有力。 点评:全年人民币贷款增加 22.75 万亿元,同比多增 1.31 万亿元。分 部门看,住户贷款增加 4.33 万亿元,其中,短期贷款增加 1.78 万亿 元,中长期贷款增加 2.55 万亿元。稳健的货币增速,能为市场提供宽 松的流动性环境。 (今日关注撰写者:财达证券蒋卓晓,注册投顾执业编号:S0400620090004) (消息面点评撰写者:财达证券任燕楠,证券分析师资格编号:S0400523020001) 2024 年 4 月 19 日 板块方面,黄金、金融等板块盘中表现强势,高成长板块的弱势一定 程度上对市场人气构成一定影响。目前行业板块轮动较快,量能能否 持续仍需要时间验证。4 月进入一季报集中披露期,短期关注具有基本 ...
财达证券晨会纪要
Caida Securities· 2024-04-14 16:00
Summary of Key Points Core Insights - The report highlights significant market movements, including Brent crude oil futures rising to $91.05 per barrel following attacks on Israel by Iran [1] - The report also notes the unlocking of restricted shares in the A-share market, with a total market value of 19.24 billion yuan being released [1] - Additionally, it mentions stock buybacks by five companies and ongoing fundraising activities by three companies in the A-share market [1] Market Movements - Brent crude oil futures increased to $91.05 per barrel due to geopolitical tensions [1] - A-share market saw the release of restricted shares valued at 19.24 billion yuan [1] - Stock buybacks were reported by five companies, indicating a trend of companies returning capital to shareholders [1] Company Activities - Three companies disclosed progress on their fundraising activities, reflecting ongoing capital market activities [1] - The report includes a list of companies undergoing special trading suspensions due to various corporate actions, such as asset acquisitions and stock issuance [1] International Market Reactions - Japanese and South Korean stock markets opened lower, with the Nikkei 225 index dropping over 1% [1] - The report notes that sanctions on Russian metals by the UK and the US have led to a surge in non-ferrous metal futures on the London Metal Exchange [1]