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福莱特(601865)2025年半年报点评:9月光伏玻璃涨价 有望促进盈利修复
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 00:34
Group 1: Company Performance - The photovoltaic glass industry is under pressure, with the company's performance declining year-on-year in the first half of 2025, reporting revenue of 7.737 billion yuan, a decrease of 27.66% [1] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 261 million yuan, down 82.58% year-on-year, and a net profit of 227 million yuan after deducting non-recurring items, down 84.64% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.658 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 26.41%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 155 million yuan, down 79.02% [1] Group 2: Industry Position and Market Dynamics - The company has established long-term, stable partnerships with leading photovoltaic component manufacturers, transitioning from reliance on imports to domestic procurement due to cost advantages [2] - The company holds a leading market share in the photovoltaic glass industry, with a CR2 exceeding 50%, and is positioned to benefit from potential price increases in photovoltaic glass [3] - As smaller, less efficient competitors exit the market, the company is expected to strengthen its leading position due to its scale, resources, and technological advantages [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company is expected to see a recovery in profitability as photovoltaic glass prices rise, with projected EPS for 2025-2027 being 0.27 yuan, 0.54 yuan, and 0.87 yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of approximately 67x, 33x, and 21x [4] - The demand for glass from domestic components is increasing, and the overall inventory of glass companies has rapidly decreased, supporting both demand and supply [3]
福莱特(601865):2025年半年报点评:9月光伏玻璃涨价,有望促进盈利修复
Dongguan Securities· 2025-09-02 07:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market index by more than 15% in the next six months [8]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the recent price increase in photovoltaic glass, which is anticipated to aid in profit recovery [4]. - The photovoltaic glass industry is currently under pressure, with the company's performance in the first half of 2025 showing a significant year-on-year decline in revenue and net profit due to oversupply and price drops across the industry [4]. - The company has established long-term, stable relationships with leading photovoltaic module manufacturers, which enhances its market position and customer resource quality [4]. - The company holds a leading market share in the photovoltaic glass sector, with a CR2 exceeding 50%, positioning it well to benefit from industry consolidation as smaller, less efficient competitors exit the market [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 7,737 million yuan, down 27.66% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 261 million yuan, down 82.58% year-on-year [4]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 3,658 million yuan, a decrease of 26.41% year-on-year, with a net profit of 155 million yuan, down 79.02% year-on-year [4]. Market Position - The company has a strong market presence, being among the top two in the photovoltaic glass industry, which allows it to maintain a competitive edge over smaller firms [4]. - The company has successfully transitioned from relying on imported glass to domestic procurement, establishing solid partnerships with major photovoltaic component manufacturers [4]. Future Projections - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) of 0.27 yuan, 0.54 yuan, and 0.87 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of approximately 67, 33, and 21 [5].
福莱特(601865):2025年半年报点评:盈利短期承压,9月玻璃有望涨价促进盈利修复
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-31 08:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company experienced significant revenue and profit declines in H1 2025, with revenue at 7.737 billion yuan, down 27.66% year-on-year, and net profit at 261 million yuan, down 82.58% year-on-year [1] - The photovoltaic glass industry is facing a temporary oversupply, leading to lower prices and profitability pressures. The average price of 2.0mm photovoltaic glass in H1 2025 was 12.88 yuan per square meter, a decrease of 26.25% year-on-year [2] - A price increase in photovoltaic glass is expected in September 2025, which may help restore profitability as production cuts and reduced inventory improve supply-demand dynamics [2] - The company has advantages that may help it navigate through the cycle, including a current production capacity of 16,400 tons per day and plans for new projects in Indonesia [3] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 15.347 billion yuan, 18.384 billion yuan, and 23.542 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of -17.9%, 19.8%, and 28.1% [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 7.737 billion yuan, a decline of 27.66% year-on-year, and a net profit of 261 million yuan, down 82.58% year-on-year [1] - For Q2 2025, revenue was 3.658 billion yuan, a decrease of 26.41% year-on-year and 10.33% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 155 million yuan, down 79.02% year-on-year [1] Industry Analysis - The photovoltaic glass market is currently experiencing a phase of oversupply, leading to price declines and profitability challenges for companies in the sector [2] - The average price of photovoltaic glass has decreased significantly, impacting revenue and profit margins [2] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in profitability due to expected price increases in the photovoltaic glass market starting in September 2025 [2] - The company is strategically positioned with a strong market share and plans for international expansion, which may enhance its competitive advantage [3] - Forecasted revenues for 2025-2027 indicate a potential recovery, with significant growth expected in 2026 and 2027 [3][4]
福莱特(601865):国内市场涨价预期充足 海外持续贡献高额利润
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-30 03:15
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 1H25, but there are signs of recovery in Q2, driven by strong overseas demand and expected price increases in the glass market [1][2]. Financial Performance - 1H25 revenue was 7.737 billion yuan, down 28% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was 261 million yuan, down 83%, with earnings per share at 0.11 yuan [1]. - Q2 revenue reached 3.658 billion yuan, down 26% year-on-year and down 10% quarter-on-quarter; net profit was 155 million yuan, down 79% year-on-year but up 46% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Industry Trends - The decline in revenue was primarily due to falling glass prices, while overseas sales contributed significantly to profits, with overseas revenue accounting for 30.07% of total sales in 1H25 [1]. - The company has reduced production capacity by conducting cold repairs on three glass furnaces, resulting in a current production capacity of 16,400 tons per day, which is a year-on-year decrease [1]. - The gross margin for Q2 was 16.65%, down 9.8 percentage points year-on-year but up 4.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating a recovery trend [1]. Market Outlook - The industry is expected to reach a supply-demand balance in the second half of the year, with price increases anticipated in September, benefiting leading companies [2]. - The glass industry has seen a short-term supply-demand imbalance due to production ramp-up in March and April, but leading companies have begun to reduce production, leading to a downward trend in capacity [2]. - A rapid decrease in glass inventory days is expected to drive up glass prices, with a forecasted increase of 2 yuan per square meter for photovoltaic glass in September [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with a target price of 18.51 yuan for A-shares, representing a 12% upside potential based on a P/B ratio of 2/1.9x for 2025/2026 [2]. - The target price for H-shares remains at 13.3 HKD, indicating a 31% upside potential based on a P/B ratio of 1.3/1.2x for 2025/2026 [2].
福莱特(601865):光伏玻璃收入及盈利阶段性承压,在产日产能为1.64万吨
EBSCN· 2025-08-29 08:52
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook despite current challenges [3]. Core Views - The company's revenue and profitability in the photovoltaic glass segment are under pressure, with a significant decline in both revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year [1][2]. - The company has adjusted its strategic deployment to reduce production capacity in response to supply-demand imbalances and declining prices, maintaining a leading cost control capability in the industry [3]. - Despite the short-term challenges, the company is expected to continue expanding its production capacity, ensuring sustained shipment growth and maintaining its leading profitability in the industry [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 77.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 27.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.61 billion yuan, down 82.58% [1]. - The photovoltaic glass business saw a revenue decline of 28.10% to 69.45 billion yuan, with a gross margin decrease of 12.39 percentage points to 12.31% [2]. - Other business segments showed mixed results, with engineering glass revenue increasing by 2.13% to 243 million yuan, while home glass revenue decreased by 15.89% to 122 million yuan [2]. Capacity and Cost Control - As of August 2025, the company has reduced its operational capacity to 16,400 tons per day by cold repairing three photovoltaic glass furnaces [3]. - The company’s large furnaces, which have a higher proportion in its existing capacity, are expected to further lower unit costs and enhance product yield [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised downwards, with expected net profits of 647 million yuan, 1.22 billion yuan, and 1.61 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a significant reduction in previous estimates [3][4]. - The report provides a detailed financial outlook, including revenue and profit projections, indicating a challenging environment ahead but with potential for recovery in the medium term [4][10].
里昂:升福莱特玻璃目标价至12港元 重申跑赢大市评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 08:27
里昂发布研报称,下调福莱特(601865)玻璃(06865)2025至27年的净利润预测55.3%、39.8%及22.6%, 以反映产能扩张步伐放缓及太阳能玻璃售价降低,但目标价由10港元调升至12港元,重申跑赢大市评 级。 福莱特玻璃上半年业绩符合早前公布的盈利预告。该行估计公司上半年单位净利润约为每平方米0.5元 人民币,其越南工厂或因美国需求而出现巨大价格溢价。另外,很多行业公司开始对其熔炉进行冷修和 维护,并推迟产能扩张,这有助行业库存在8月底回落至约24日。该行预计,太阳能玻璃每平方米价格 将上升1.5至2元人民币。 ...
里昂:升福莱特玻璃(06865)目标价至12港元 重申跑赢大市评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 08:21
Core Viewpoint - Citi has downgraded the net profit forecast for Fuyao Glass (06865) for the years 2025 to 2027 by 55.3%, 39.8%, and 22.6% respectively, due to a slowdown in capacity expansion and a decrease in solar glass prices, while raising the target price from HKD 10 to HKD 12 and maintaining an outperform rating [1] Group 1 - The company's first-half performance aligns with earlier profit forecasts, with estimated unit net profit around RMB 0.5 per square meter [1] - The company's Vietnam plant may experience significant price premiums due to demand from the U.S. market [1] - Many industry players are beginning to conduct cold repairs and maintenance on their furnaces, delaying capacity expansion, which has contributed to a reduction in industry inventory to approximately 24 days by the end of August [1] Group 2 - The company expects the price of solar glass to increase by RMB 1.5 to 2 per square meter [1]
福莱特净利骤降83% 实控人领衔11名股东拟减持4998万股
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-08-29 08:21
长江商报记者 沈右荣 福莱特对未来较为乐观。公司认为,新增供给逐步走向理性,落后产能逐步淘汰出清,光伏行业在短期 波动和阵痛之后,将再次焕发新的活力。 福莱特的底气是,作为行业龙头,公司具备技术优势、先发优势、客户资源优势等。公司是通过自主研 发成为国内第一家打破国际巨头对光伏玻璃的技术和市场垄断的企业,成功实现了光伏玻璃的国产化。 出人意料的是,福莱特的实际控制人领衔,11名股东拟合计减持所持公司约4998万股股份。 时隔2年净利再度下降 押注光伏领域,福莱特因此遭周期反噬,业绩承压。 深耕光伏玻璃领域的福莱特(601865.SH)遭遇光伏行业周期,经营业绩大幅调整。 8月27日晚,福莱特披露了2025年半年度业绩报告。上半年,公司实现营业收入约77亿元,同比下降幅 度接近28%;归母净利润为2.61亿元,同比下降幅度近83%。 福莱特是国内领先的玻璃制造企业,光伏玻璃是公司核心产品。近三年,光伏玻璃为公司贡献90%左右 的营业收入。 2025年上半年,光伏产业链仍处于深度调整阶段,受光伏行业周期影响,福莱特的主要产品量减价跌, 业绩承压不可避免。 2022年、2023年和2024年,公司光伏玻璃的收入贡献 ...
9月光伏玻璃新单报价拟上调?福莱特: 正在和客户商议报价
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-29 04:38
Group 1 - The core point of the article indicates that some photovoltaic glass companies have started to adjust their pricing for new orders in September, with the benchmark price for 2.0mm single-layer coated glass panels raised to 13 yuan per square meter, an increase of 2 yuan per square meter compared to the new order price in July [1] - The leading photovoltaic glass company, Fuyao Glass, stated that the pricing for photovoltaic glass is generally negotiated on a monthly basis, and discussions for the September new order pricing are still ongoing with customers [1]
光伏股盘中走高 9月光伏玻璃新单报价拟上调 市场关注上游涨价传导情况
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 03:43
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic stocks are experiencing an upward trend, with notable increases in share prices for companies such as Xinyi Solar, GCL-Poly, and Flat Glass Technology, driven by new pricing strategies in the photovoltaic glass market [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Xinyi Solar (00968) shares rose by 5.03%, reaching HKD 3.34 [1] - GCL-Poly (03800) shares increased by 2.52%, reaching HKD 1.22 [1] - New Energy (01799) shares grew by 1.34%, reaching HKD 6.8 [1] - Flat Glass Technology (601865) shares rose by 0.87%, reaching HKD 10.47 [1] Group 2: Pricing Developments - Some photovoltaic glass companies have begun adjusting their new order quotes for September, with the benchmark price for 2.0mm single-layer coated glass rising to RMB 13 per square meter, an increase of RMB 2 per square meter from July [1] - Flat Glass Technology indicated that pricing discussions for September orders are ongoing with clients [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - A meeting was held by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments to discuss the regulation of competition within the photovoltaic industry, focusing on capacity, pricing, and quality [1] - Market expectations from the meeting include potential price increases for components that could transmit upstream price hikes, with recent bidding prices from China Resources (3GW) and Huadian (20GW) exceeding previous market prices [1] - Despite these developments, the overall price increase in downstream segments remains weak, and the industry currently holds approximately 500,000 tons of silicon material in inventory, which is still accumulating [1]