Group 1 - The majority of equities and all funds in the June monthly pay collection successfully provided annual dividends from a $1K investment that exceeded their single share price [1] - The MoPay batch includes affordable yet volatile investment options [1] Group 2 - A live video series on Facebook highlights potential portfolio candidates every NYSE trading day at 10 AM EST [2] - The series encourages audience engagement by inviting comments on favorite or curious stock tickers for future reports [2]

Group 1 - The article discusses the risks associated with high-yield investments, particularly those yielding over 9%, which often lead to dividend cuts and declining prices [1] - The focus is on baby bonds, which are preferred for their ease of trading and ability to generate strong yields with less volatility compared to regular bonds [2] - PennyMac Mortgage Trust (PMT) has announced a new baby bond, PMTW, which has a 9% coupon rate, similar to PMTV, with minor differences in ex-dividend dates and pricing [3][4] Group 2 - PMTW has seen high trading volume since its recent launch, with a goal of issuing $100 million, potentially increasing to $115 million with over-allotment [6] - The issuance of around 4 million shares is expected, with the anticipation of sellers closing positions before the weekend [7] - The yield to maturity for PMTW is approximately 9.49%, with a maturity date about five years out, providing a reasonable income stream [12] Group 3 - PMTW shares are currently within the target price range, with a calculated yield to maturity of 9.35% at a price of $25.05 [13] - The article emphasizes the importance of not using market orders due to potential price jumps and the strategy of placing bids instead [8][11] - The company plans to actively trade this position based on yield changes and the spread between these bonds and similar duration Treasuries [12]

Group 1 - The article promotes a portfolio strategy that generates income without the need for selling assets, aiming to simplify retirement investing [1][2] - It emphasizes community and education, suggesting that investors should not navigate the investment landscape alone [2] - The service offers features such as model portfolios, buy/sell alerts, and regular market updates to support investors [2][4] Group 2 - The article mentions that the service philosophy includes a focus on strong returns and reducing stress associated with retirement investing [1][2] - It highlights the importance of monitoring positions and providing exclusive alerts to members [4]

Core Viewpoint - AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) and Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (ABR) present distinct investment opportunities for income-focused investors, with AGNC being the more prudent choice due to its risk management and dividend sustainability [1]. Group 1: AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) - AGNC follows an active portfolio-management strategy, adjusting its portfolio and hedging against market volatility [2]. - As of March 31, 2025, AGNC has a significant hedge position covering 91% of its outstanding balance, which enhances cash flow stability and long-term growth prospects [3]. - The company holds $77.9 billion in Agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), benefiting from government guarantees, which positions it for attractive risk-adjusted returns [4]. - AGNC's current dividend yield is 15.47%, significantly higher than the industry average of 11.98%, with a payout ratio of 81% [5]. - As of March 31, 2025, AGNC's liquidity stands at $6 billion, with a modest leverage of 7.5X, indicating a sustainable capital distribution plan [6]. - AGNC shares have appreciated by 11.7% over the past year, while it trades at a forward P/E of 5.70X, which is a discount compared to the industry average of 7.96X [11][14][17]. Group 2: Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (ABR) - Arbor Realty focuses on loans for multi-family and commercial real estate, with expectations of improved mortgage originations as rates decline [7]. - ABR's current dividend yield is 11.37%, but it has a concerning payout ratio of 115% and recently cut its dividend by 30.3% [8]. - As of March 31, 2025, ABR's liquidity is weak, with only $508 million in cash against long-term debt of $4.8 billion, raising concerns about its capital distribution sustainability [8]. - ABR has significant exposure to underperforming multi-family loans, having foreclosed on seven non-performing loans totaling $196.7 million in Q1 2025 [10]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings decline of 32.2% for ABR in 2025, with downward revisions suggesting a cautious outlook [19][21]. - ABR shares have declined by 16.2% over the past year and trade at a forward P/E of 8.47X, which is at a premium compared to its five-year median [11][14][17]. Group 3: Comparative Analysis - AGNC's robust interest rate hedging and strong liquidity provide stability amid market volatility, while ABR's elevated payout ratio and recent dividend cut raise concerns [22][23]. - For investors seeking stable income with lower risk, AGNC is currently the more favorable investment option compared to ABR [23].

Core Insights - AGNC Investment Corp. is adopting a proactive and defensive portfolio management strategy aimed at long-term growth by frequently adjusting asset allocations and hedging strategies to mitigate risks while seizing yield opportunities [1] Portfolio Management - The company has maintained a robust hedge position, covering 91% of its Investment Securities Repo, TBA positions, and other debt as of March 31, 2025, indicating a strong focus on protecting against interest rate volatility [2] - AGNC has strategically reduced its exposure to more volatile non-agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and shifted towards higher-coupon Agency MBS, which enhances prepayment probability and supports better cash flow visibility [3] Market Positioning - With spreads between Agency MBS and benchmarks reaching near-pandemic highs in early April 2025, AGNC's $77.9 billion Agency MBS portfolio is well-positioned for compelling forward returns, particularly on a leveraged basis, as these securities are backed by Government-Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) [4] - Despite potential fluctuations in short-term earnings due to market volatility, AGNC's disciplined active management and defensive positioning provide a solid foundation for long-term growth [5] Competitive Landscape - AGNC competes with Annaly Capital Management (NLY) and Starwood Property Trust (STWD) within the mortgage REITs industry, with differing investment approaches among the companies [6] - Annaly pursues a diversified strategy combining traditional Agency MBS with non-agency and credit-sensitive assets, focusing on acquiring newly originated mortgage servicing rights (MSRs) to enhance returns [7] - Starwood focuses primarily on commercial real estate, including commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) and real estate debt investments, maintaining steady income through principal repayments and targeted acquisitions [8] Performance Metrics - AGNC shares have gained 6.4% year to date, outperforming the industry's growth of 2.8% [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-tangible book ratio of 1.08X, above the industry's average of 0.96X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AGNC's 2025 and 2026 earnings implies year-over-year declines of 11.2% and 3.9%, respectively, with estimates remaining unchanged over the past 30 days [15]

Group 1 - The focus is on growth and dividend income as a strategy for retirement planning [1] - The portfolio is structured to generate monthly dividend income that increases through reinvestment and annual raises [1] Group 2 - The article expresses personal opinions and is not intended as investment advice [2][3] - It emphasizes the importance of conducting individual research before making investment decisions [2]

Core Viewpoint - Mortgage REITs offer a double-digit yield, making them appealing to income investors, while the broader REIT sector has faced challenges in recent years [1] Group 1 - Mortgage REITs are traditionally attractive to income investors due to their ability to generate high yields [1] - The REIT sector has been largely inactive in recent years, indicating potential challenges or shifts in market dynamics [1]

Core Insights - After experiencing significant losses in 2022, most mortgage REITs (mREITs) have remained within a trading range over the past two years, with the iShares Mortgage Real Estate Capped ETF (REM) fluctuating between $20 [1] Group 1 - The performance of mortgage REITs has been stable following a tumultuous year in 2022, indicating a potential recovery phase in the sector [1] - The iShares Mortgage Real Estate Capped ETF (REM) has shown a consistent trading range, suggesting limited volatility and investor caution [1]

Core Insights - AGNC Investment Inc. (AGNC) is significantly impacted by mortgage rates, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage decreasing to 6.81% as of June 18, 2025, from 6.84% the previous week and 6.87% a year ago, leading to a net interest income (NII) of $159 million in Q1 2025, a recovery from a $30 million loss in the same period last year [1][9] Group 1: Mortgage Rate Impact - The consistent decline in mortgage rates is enhancing housing affordability, which is expected to boost mortgage originations and refinancing activities, thereby alleviating operational and financial challenges for mREITs like AGNC Investment [2] - AGNC's peers, such as Annaly Capital Management (NLY) and Arbor Realty Trust (ABR), are also affected by mortgage rates, with Annaly showing a strong recovery in NII to $264.6 million from a $6.45 million loss a year ago [3][4] Group 2: Peer Performance - Arbor Realty's NII decreased by 27.2% to $75.4 million in Q1 2025, but the decline in mortgage rates is anticipated to improve net interest spreads, easing earnings pressure due to rising funding costs [5] Group 3: Valuation and Estimates - AGNC shares have declined by 5% over the past year, which is better than the industry's decline of 7.5% [6] - The company trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5.67X, below the industry average of 7.89X, despite a 5.4% stock decline [10][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AGNC's earnings in 2025 and 2026 indicates a year-over-year decline of 11.2% and 3.9%, respectively, with estimates remaining unchanged over the past 30 days [12]

I analyze securities based on value investing, an owner's mindset, and a long-term horizon. I don't write sell articles as those are considered short theses, and I never recommend shorting.Former advisory representative at Fidelity. I do my own investing now and share my research here.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expres ...