Valued at a market cap of $20.4 billion, Amcor plc (AMCR) is a packaging company based in Zurich, Switzerland. It designs and manufactures flexible and rigid packaging products for food and beverage, healthcare, personal care, and other consumer goods markets. This packaging company has considerably underperformed the broader market over the past 52 weeks. Shares of AMCR have declined 10% over this time frame, while the broader S&P 500 Index ($SPX) has gained 15.4%. However, on a YTD basis, the stock is u ...

Core Viewpoint - Amcor plc will announce its fiscal 2026 second quarter and half year results on February 3, 2026, after the US market closes [1] Group 1: Financial Results Announcement - The results will cover the three and six month periods ended December 31, 2025 [1] - A conference call and webcast to discuss the results will take place at 5:30 PM US Eastern Standard Time on February 3, 2026 [2] - Access to the webcast and supporting materials will be available via the Investors section of Amcor's website [2] Group 2: Company Overview - Amcor is a global leader in responsible consumer packaging and dispensing solutions across various materials for nutrition, health, beauty, and wellness categories [3] - The company generates $23 billion in annualized sales from operations across over 400 locations in more than 40 countries, supported by a workforce of over 75,000 people [3] - Amcor focuses on product innovation and sustainability to address packaging challenges globally, producing flexible packaging, rigid packaging, cartons, and closures [3]

Core Viewpoint - Amcor plc has successfully completed a 1-for-5 reverse stock split, which was approved by shareholders at the annual general meeting held on November 6, 2025 [1] Company Summary - Amcor plc is recognized as a global leader in developing and producing responsible packaging solutions [1]

Core Viewpoint - Amcor PLC has executed a reverse stock split to enhance shareholder value while demonstrating strong financial performance and consistent dividend growth, making it an attractive investment opportunity for income and growth investors [1][5]. Financial Performance - Amcor's revenue has grown from $4 billion in fiscal year 2017 to $15 billion in fiscal year 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 15.8% [2][5]. - The company is recognized as a dividend aristocrat, having increased its dividend for seven consecutive years, indicating reliability in providing consistent returns to shareholders [2]. Stock Performance - The current stock price for AMCR is $8.82, with a recent change of $0.07, or 0.8%, from the previous trading session [3]. - Over the past year, AMCR has experienced significant volatility, with a high of $52.25 and a low of $8.80 [3]. Trading Activity - Today's trading volume for AMCR is 15.31 million shares, indicating active investor interest despite the recent reverse stock split [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - Amcor PLC is a leading player in the global packaging industry, demonstrating strong financial performance and commitment to shareholder value through consistent dividend increases and strategic moves like a reverse stock split [1][2][5]. Financial Performance - Amcor's revenue has grown significantly from $4 billion in fiscal year 2017 to $15 billion in fiscal year 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 15.8% [3][5]. - The recent merger with Berry has positioned Amcor as the largest consumer packaging company globally, enhancing its economies of scale [3]. Stock Performance - Currently, Amcor's stock is trading at $8.65, with a slight decrease of 0.17% today, and has fluctuated between $8.61 and $8.67 [4]. - The stock has a 52-week high of $10.45 and a low of $7.67, indicating some volatility in the market [4]. - Amcor appears undervalued, trading at 10 times its projected free cash flow for fiscal year 2026, suggesting an attractive valuation for investors [4][5]. Corporate Actions - On January 15, 2026, Amcor will implement a reverse stock split, exchanging 1 share for every 5 shares, aimed at increasing the stock price by reducing the number of shares outstanding [2][5]. - The company has increased its dividend for seven consecutive years, appealing to income growth investors [2].

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Core Insights - The article discusses the appeal of dividend stocks, particularly those with high yields, while cautioning that unusually high yields may indicate underlying issues with the stock price [1][4] - It emphasizes the benefits of dividend growth investing, which focuses on future income potential rather than immediate high yields [2][3] Dividend Stock Performance - Historical data indicates that high-dividend stocks have outperformed the broader market during periods of high inflation from 1940 to 2021, suggesting a strong performance in certain economic environments [4] - Research from July 1928 to June 2019 shows that high-dividend yield portfolios outperformed low-yield and zero-yield portfolios by 199 basis points and 330 basis points, respectively [5] Methodology for Stock Selection - The article outlines a methodology for selecting dividend stocks, focusing on companies with market caps of at least $2 billion and dividend yields above 6% as of January 9 [7] Company Highlights - **Amcor plc (NYSE:AMCR)**: - Dividend Yield as of January 9: 6.01% - Analyst upgrades indicate strong earnings growth potential through fiscal 2027, driven by synergies and debt reduction [10] - The company is moving forward with a 1-for-5 reverse stock split, expected to take effect on January 15, 2026 [11][12] - **United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS)**: - Dividend Yield as of January 9: 6.07% - Analyst raises price target and reassures that dividend concerns are overblown, with expectations for margin improvement and growth in higher-return markets [13] - Despite a nearly 20% drop in shares in 2025, UPS maintains a strong commitment to its dividend, having consistently increased it since going public in 1999 [14][15]

Core Insights - Product packaging is crucial in the global economy for the distribution of food, medicines, and consumer goods [1] Group 1: Investment Focus - The current investment strategy emphasizes identifying high-quality, shareholder-oriented companies that are undervalued due to short-term factors or irrational investor behavior [1] - There is a particular interest in legacy businesses in sectors like remittances, ATMs, and tobacco, which are perceived to be in secular decline [1] - Cash-generative, high-yield stocks in these sectors often exhibit under-appreciated revenue and earnings growth, making them attractive investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Geographic Focus - While the primary focus is on U.S. stocks, there is also an interest in attractive investment opportunities within the UK and globally [1]

Company Overview - Amcor plc (AMCR) is a global leader in responsible packaging solutions, serving various markets including consumer goods, food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, medical, and personal care [1] - The company is headquartered in Switzerland and operates through two primary segments: Flexibles and Rigid Packaging, offering a broad portfolio that includes films, pouches, cartons, closures, and specialty containers [1] - Amcor has a market capitalization of $19.4 billion [1] Earnings Expectations - Analysts expect Amcor to report a profit of $0.17 per share on a diluted basis for fiscal 2026 second-quarter earnings, which represents a 6.3% increase from $0.16 per share in the same quarter last year [2] - For the current fiscal year, analysts project an EPS of $0.80, up 12.7% from $0.71 in fiscal 2025, and an EPS of $0.89 in fiscal 2027, reflecting an 11.3% year-over-year increase [3] Stock Performance - Amcor's stock has decreased by 9.1% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 Index's 16.2% gains and the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund's 6.8% gains during the same period [4] Corporate Actions - On December 11, Amcor shares rose by 1.6% following the announcement of a 1-for-5 reverse stock split, which was approved by shareholders on November 6, 2025 [5] - The reverse stock split is set to take effect after the close of trading on January 14, 2026, with shares beginning to trade on a split-adjusted basis on January 15, 2026 [5] Analyst Ratings - The consensus opinion on AMCR stock is reasonably bullish, with a "Moderate Buy" rating overall; out of 16 analysts, 10 recommend a "Strong Buy," one suggests a "Moderate Buy," and five give a "Hold" [6] - The average analyst price target for AMCR is $10.40, indicating a potential upside of 21.4% from current levels [6]

Core Insights - Baupost Group's latest 13F filing reveals a highly selective and concentrated portfolio, focusing on durable businesses with long-term cash generation potential [1][2] Investment Moves - **Restaurant Brands International (QSR)**: Increased by 4,203,300 shares to 8,252,862 shares, representing a $529.3 million position (11.05% of the portfolio). This is now Baupost's largest equity holding, indicating a belief in significant mispricing relative to its stable franchise model and cash flows [3][4] - **Elevance Health (ELV)**: Increased by 703,000 shares to 1,319,000 shares, totaling a $426.2 million position (8.90%). The increase suggests confidence in the company's predictable cash flows and resilience in a politically noisy sector [5][6] - **Union Pacific (UNP)**: Newly established position with 1,496,204 shares, valued at $353.7 million (7.38%). The railroad's high barriers to entry and pricing power align with Baupost's focus on downside protection [7][8] - **Alphabet (GOOG)**: Reduced by 775,850 shares to 1,858,138 shares, now a $452.6 million position (9.45%). The reduction reflects portfolio risk management rather than a loss of conviction [9] - **CRH plc (CRH)**: Trimmed by 442,000 shares to 3,383,395 shares, valued at $405.7 million (8.47%). The trim indicates a disciplined approach to valuation, despite the long-term thesis remaining intact [10] - **Full Exits**: Baupost exited several positions entirely, including Viasat, Liberty Broadband, ICON plc, and Amcor, signaling a shift in risk-reward balance [11][12] Strategic Focus - The quarter was characterized by conviction-driven capital redeployment into high-confidence ideas, particularly in sectors like restaurants, railroads, healthcare, and materials [13][14] - Trimming positions like GOOG and CRH reflects a focus on risk management and valuation discipline rather than a bearish outlook [15] - The top 10 positions account for over 75% of disclosed assets, emphasizing Baupost's belief in concentration as a strategy against ignorance [16] - The portfolio prioritizes downside protection, with upside driven by business durability rather than macroeconomic bets [17]