Workflow
Amplify Energy (AMPY)
icon
Search documents
Amplify Energy (AMPY) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2024-11-06 21:14
[Executive Summary](index=1&type=section&id=Executive%20Summary) [Key Highlights](index=1&type=section&id=Key%20Highlights) Amplify Energy reported strong Q3 2024 operating and financial results, with Beta development exceeding projections and increased liquidity - Achieved average total production of **19.0 MBoepd** in Q3 2024[1](index=1&type=chunk) - Drilled and completed the C59 development well at Beta, achieving an IP30 oil rate of approximately **590 Bopd (gross)**, exceeding Company projections[1](index=1&type=chunk) - Completed semi-annual borrowing base redetermination, increasing liquidity by **$10.0 million** to **$145.0 million**[1](index=1&type=chunk) Q3 2024 Key Financial Highlights | Metric | Q3 2024 (Millions) | | :---------------------------------- | :------------------ | | Net cash provided by operating activities | $15.7 | | Net income | $22.7 | | Adjusted EBITDA | $25.5 | | Free cash flow | $3.6 | [CEO Commentary](index=1&type=section&id=CEO%20Commentary) Martyn Willsher highlighted strong operating and financial performance, particularly the successful Beta development program, expressing confidence in future inventory and retaining Wyoming assets - The C59 well's 30-day IP rate of **590 gross barrels of oil per day** exceeded projections, with an expected payout in **six to nine months**[1](index=1&type=chunk) - Company is in the process of completing the C48 well at Beta, expected online in **mid-November**[1](index=1&type=chunk) - Decision to retain Wyoming assets to maximize shareholder value in the current commodity price environment, despite evaluating monetization proposals[1](index=1&type=chunk) - Expressed confidence in the future inventory and development plan for the Beta field, based on successful drilling from both Ellen and Eureka platforms[1](index=1&type=chunk) [Financial Performance Overview](index=2&type=section&id=Financial%20Performance%20Overview) [Key Financial Results](index=2&type=section&id=Key%20Financial%20Results) Net income significantly increased due to a non-cash unrealized gain on commodity derivatives, while Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow decreased Key Financial Results (QoQ Comparison) | Metric | Q3 2024 ($ Millions) | Q2 2024 ($ Millions) | Change ($ Millions) | Change (%) | | :------------------ | :------------------- | :------------------- | :------------------ | :--------- | | Net Income | $22.7 | $7.1 | $15.6 | 219.7% | | Adjusted EBITDA | $25.5 | $30.7 | -$5.2 | -16.9% | | Free Cash Flow | $3.6 | $9.2 | -$5.6 | -60.9% | - Increase in net income primarily attributable to a **non-cash unrealized gain on commodity derivatives** in Q3 2024 compared to an unrealized loss in Q2 2024[2](index=2&type=chunk) - Q2 Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow benefited from a **one-time $7.0 million accounting adjustment** related to the release of suspense from prior quarters[2](index=2&type=chunk) - Amplify has generated **positive free cash flow in 17 of the last 18 fiscal quarters**[2](index=2&type=chunk) [Revolving Credit Facility Update](index=2&type=section&id=Revolving%20Credit%20Facility%20Update) Borrowing base redetermination increased elected commitments to $145.0 million, improving net debt to LTM Adjusted EBITDA to 1.1x - Borrowing base and elected commitments under the revolving credit facility increased to **$145.0 million**[3](index=3&type=chunk) - As of September 30, 2024, Amplify had **$120.0 million outstanding** under its revolving credit facility[3](index=3&type=chunk) - Net Debt to LTM Adjusted EBITDA improved to **1.1x** from **1.2x** quarter-over-quarter[3](index=3&type=chunk) [Corporate Production and Pricing](index=2&type=section&id=Corporate%20Production%20and%20Pricing) Average daily production slightly decreased in Q3 2024 due to a prior-period adjustment and planned shut-in, with consistent product mix Corporate Production Volumes (QoQ) | Metric | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Change | | :-------------------------- | :------ | :------ | :----- | | Average daily production (MBoepd) | 19.0 | 20.3 | -1.3 | | Total - MBoe | 1,752 | 1,843 | -91 | | % - Liquids | 60% | 60% | 0% | - Q2 production benefited from a **one-time, prior-period accounting adjustment of approximately 1.2 Mboepd**[5](index=5&type=chunk) - Third quarter production was relatively flat compared to the prior quarter when adjusted for the one-time benefit, despite a **planned multi-day shut-in at Beta**[5](index=5&type=chunk) - Product mix for Q3 2024 was **43% crude oil, 17% NGLs, and 40% natural gas**[5](index=5&type=chunk) - Total oil, natural gas and NGL revenues for Q3 2024 were approximately **$68.1 million** before derivatives, with a net gain on commodity derivatives of **$6.4 million**[7](index=7&type=chunk) [Production Volumes by Asset](index=3&type=section&id=Production%20Volumes%20by%20Asset) Beta field production increased significantly quarter-over-quarter, while other assets like Oklahoma and East Texas/North Louisiana saw decreases Production Volumes by Asset (MBOE) | Asset | Q3 2024 (MBOE) | Q2 2024 (MBOE) | Change (MBOE) | | :------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | :------------ | | Bairoil | 294 | 301 | -7 | | Beta | 304 | 277 | 27 | | Oklahoma | 454 | 492 | -38 | | East Texas / North Louisiana | 638 | 709 | -71 | | Eagle Ford (Non-op) | 62 | 64 | -2 | | Total | 1,752 | 1,843 | -91 | [Average Sales Prices](index=3&type=section&id=Average%20Sales%20Prices) Average realized sales prices for crude oil decreased, while NGLs and natural gas prices saw slight increases quarter-over-quarter Average Sales Price (Exclusive of Realized Derivatives) | Product | Q3 2024 Price | Q2 2024 Price | Change | | :--------- | :------------ | :------------ | :----- | | Crude Oil | $71.74/Bbl | $76.51/Bbl | -$4.77 | | NGLs | $21.63/Bbl | $20.05/Bbl | $1.58 | | Natural Gas| $1.84/Mcf | $1.78/Mcf | $0.06 | [Costs and Expenses](index=3&type=section&id=Costs%20and%20Expenses) Total lease operating expenses decreased due to reclassification and optimization, while severance and ad valorem taxes increased Key Costs and Expenses (QoQ) | Expense Category | Q3 2024 ($ Millions) | Q2 2024 ($ Millions) | Change ($ Millions) | | :----------------------------------- | :------------------- | :------------------- | :------------------ | | Lease operating expenses | $33.3 | $36.3 | -$3.0 | | Severance and ad valorem taxes | $6.0 | $4.6 | $1.4 | | Gathering, processing & transportation | $4.3 | $4.9 | -$0.6 | | Cash G&A expenses | $6.2 | $6.6 | -$0.4 | | Depreciation, depletion & amortization | $8.1 | $7.8 | $0.3 | | Net interest expense | $3.8 | $3.6 | $0.2 | | Current income tax expense | $0.4 | $0.6 | -$0.2 | - Approximately **$1.2 million** of the decrease in lease operating expenses was due to a reclassification of certain expenses to taxes other than income[9](index=9&type=chunk) - Severance and ad valorem taxes as a percentage of revenue increased to **8.8%** from **6.4%** due to the reclassification[9](index=9&type=chunk) - Cash G&A expenses decreased primarily due to lower legal fees and are expected to remain at similar levels in Q4[10](index=10&type=chunk) [Capital Investments](index=4&type=section&id=Capital%20Investments) Q3 2024 cash capital investment was $18.2 million, with 66% allocated to Beta development, potentially exceeding annual guidance Q3 2024 Capital Investments by Asset | Asset | Q3 2024 Capital ($ MM) | | :------------------------- | :--------------------- | | Bairoil | $1.2 | | Beta | $12.0 | | Oklahoma | $1.5 | | East Texas / North Louisiana | $2.3 | | Eagle Ford (Non-op) | $1.2 | | Magnify Energy Services | $0.0 | | Total Capital Invested | $18.2 | - Approximately **66%** of Q3 2024 capital allocation was for Beta development drilling and facility projects[11](index=11&type=chunk) - Q4 2024 capital investments are expected to be allocated primarily to the drilling of the C48 development well and non-operated drilling opportunities[11](index=11&type=chunk) - Total capital for 2024 is expected to be at or slightly above the high end of the current annual guidance range of **$60 to $65 million** due to accelerated non-operated development costs[11](index=11&type=chunk) [Hedging Strategy and Positions](index=5&type=section&id=Hedging%20Strategy%20and%20Positions) Amplify added crude oil hedges for 2025 and 2026 and monetized in-the-money gas hedges to maintain credit facility compliance - Executed crude oil swaps for 2025 and 2026 at weighted-average prices of **$69.39 per barrel** and **$68.12 per barrel**, respectively[14](index=14&type=chunk) - Monetized a small portion of in-the-money gas hedges to comply with the revolving credit facility[14](index=14&type=chunk) Commodity Derivative Contracts (as of Nov 6, 2024) | Contract Type | Metric | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | | :------------ | :---------------------- | :-------- | :-------- | :-------- | | Natural Gas Swaps | Avg Monthly Volume (MMBtu) | 660,000 | 585,000 | 500,000 | | | Wtd Avg Fixed Price ($) | $3.74 | $3.75 | $3.79 | | Natural Gas Collars | Avg Monthly Volume (MMBtu) | 500,000 | 500,000 | 500,000 | | | Wtd Avg Ceiling Price ($) | $3.97 | $3.90 | $4.06 | | | Wtd Avg Floor Price ($) | $3.50 | $3.50 | $3.55 | | Oil Swaps | Avg Monthly Volume (Bbls) | 83,000 | 118,167 | 47,750 | | | Wtd Avg Fixed Price ($) | $74.34 | $71.09 | $69.76 | | Oil Collars | Avg Monthly Volume (Bbls) | 102,000 | 59,500 | | | | Wtd Avg Ceiling Price ($) | $80.20 | $80.20 | | | | Wtd Avg Floor Price ($) | $70.00 | $70.00 | | [Operational Updates](index=1&type=section&id=Operational%20Updates) [Beta Development and Facility Upgrade](index=4&type=section&id=Beta%20Development%20and%20Facility%20Upgrade) Amplify successfully drilled the C59 well at Beta, exceeding projections, with the C48 well expected online soon and electrification project completing in Q4 - Successfully drilled the C59 well from the Eureka platform, brought online in early October, achieving an IP-30 oil rate of approximately **590 Bopd**[12](index=12&type=chunk) - The C48 well is in the process of being completed and is expected to come online in **mid-November**[12](index=12&type=chunk) - The company is refining its long-term development plans at Beta based on initial successes and anticipates communicating these plans in **Q1 2025**[12](index=12&type=chunk) - The final phase of the electrification and emissions reduction project at Beta, involving selective catalytic reducers, is scheduled for completion in **Q4 2024**[12](index=12&type=chunk) [Wyoming Assets Monetization Evaluation](index=1&type=section&id=Wyoming%20Assets%20Monetization%20Evaluation) Amplify evaluated proposals for monetizing its Wyoming assets but decided to retain them to maximize shareholder value in the current commodity price environment - Evaluated several proposals regarding the monetization of Wyoming assets[1](index=1&type=chunk) - Decided to retain the assets and continue to benefit from their cash flows, believing this maximizes shareholder value in the current commodity price environment[1](index=1&type=chunk) - Remains open to exploring future monetization opportunities as they develop[1](index=1&type=chunk) [Corporate Information & Disclosures](index=2&type=section&id=Corporate%20Information%20%26%20Disclosures) [Sustainability Report](index=2&type=section&id=Sustainability%20Report) Amplify Energy issued its second annual sustainability report, providing updated information on its ESG initiatives, practices, and related metrics - Issued its second annual sustainability report, available on www.amplifyenergy.com under the 'Sustainability' tab[4](index=4&type=chunk) - The report provides updated information about Amplify's environmental, social and governance (\"ESG\") initiatives, practices and related metrics[4](index=4&type=chunk) [About Amplify Energy](index=5&type=section&id=About%20Amplify%20Energy) Amplify Energy Corp. is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on acquisition, development, exploitation, and production across multiple regions - Amplify Energy Corp. is an independent oil and natural gas company[17](index=17&type=chunk) - Operations are focused in Oklahoma, the Rockies (Bairoil), federal waters offshore Southern California (Beta), East Texas / North Louisiana, and the Eagle Ford (Non-op)[17](index=17&type=chunk) [Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q Filing](index=5&type=section&id=Quarterly%20Report%20on%20Form%2010-Q%20Filing) Amplify's detailed financial statements for Q3 2024 will be available in its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, expected to be filed with the SEC on November 6, 2024 - Amplify's financial statements and related footnotes will be available in its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2024[16](index=16&type=chunk) - The Form 10-Q is expected to be filed with the SEC on **November 6, 2024**[16](index=16&type=chunk) [Conference Call Details](index=5&type=section&id=Conference%20Call%20Details) Amplify hosted an investor teleconference on November 7, 2024, to discuss Q3 2024 results, with replays available - Amplify hosted an investor teleconference on **November 7, 2024, at 10 a.m. Central Time**[18](index=18&type=chunk) - A telephonic replay will be available for **fourteen days**, and a transcript and recorded replay will be available on the company's website[18](index=18&type=chunk) [Forward-Looking Statements](index=5&type=section&id=Forward-Looking%20Statements) This press release contains forward-looking statements subject to various risks and uncertainties, including those related to the Southern California oil incident and commodity price volatility - Statements in the press release that address future activities, events, or developments are forward-looking statements[19](index=19&type=chunk) - These statements involve risks and uncertainties, including the impact of the Southern California oil incident, strategic alternatives, borrowing base redetermination, debt obligations, and commodity price volatility[19](index=19&type=chunk) - Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these statements and are advised to review the 'Risk Factors' in the Company's SEC filings[19](index=19&type=chunk) [Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures](index=6&type=section&id=Use%20of%20Non-GAAP%20Financial%20Measures) The report includes non-GAAP financial measures like Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, used by management and external users to assess performance - Non-GAAP financial measures used include Adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, net debt, and cash G&A[20](index=20&type=chunk) - These measures are used by management and external users to assess operating performance, cash generation, and capital structure[21](index=21&type=chunk) - Reconciliations to GAAP measures are provided, and non-GAAP measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies[20](index=20&type=chunk)[21](index=21&type=chunk) [Adjusted EBITDA Definition](index=6&type=section&id=Adjusted%20EBITDA%20Definition) Adjusted EBITDA is defined as net income adjusted for various non-cash and non-recurring items, used to assess operating performance and cash generation - Adjusted EBITDA is defined as net income (loss) plus various non-cash and non-recurring items, including interest expense, income tax, DD&A, and commodity derivative adjustments[21](index=21&type=chunk) - It is used to assess operating performance, ability to generate cash for debt, and viability of projects[21](index=21&type=chunk) [Free Cash Flow Definition](index=8&type=section&id=Free%20Cash%20Flow%20Definition) Free cash flow is defined as Adjusted EBITDA less cash interest expense and capital expenditures, indicating success in providing cash return on investment - Free cash flow is defined as Adjusted EBITDA, less cash interest expense and capital expenditures[22](index=22&type=chunk) - It is an important non-GAAP measure for investors, indicating the company's success in providing a cash return on investment[22](index=22&type=chunk) [Net Debt Definition](index=8&type=section&id=Net%20Debt%20Definition) Net debt is defined as the total principal drawn on the revolving credit facility less cash, used to evaluate capital structure and financial leverage - Net debt is defined as the total principal amount drawn on the revolving credit facility less cash and cash equivalents[22](index=22&type=chunk) - This measure provides useful additional information to investors to evaluate the Company's capital structure and financial leverage[22](index=22&type=chunk) [Cash G&A Definition](index=8&type=section&id=Cash%20G%26A%20Definition) Cash G&A is defined as general and administrative expense, excluding share-based compensation and other non-recurring items, for G&A spend analysis - Cash G&A is defined as general and administrative expense, less share-based compensation expense, acquisition and divestiture costs, bad debt expense, and severance payments[22](index=22&type=chunk) - It allows for analysis of G&A spend without regard to share-based compensation and other non-recurring expenses[22](index=22&type=chunk) [Detailed Financial and Operating Data (Tables)](index=9&type=section&id=Detailed%20Financial%20and%20Operating%20Data%20(Tables)) [Statements of Operations Data](index=9&type=section&id=Statements%20of%20Operations%20Data) Statements of Operations show a significant increase in net income for Q3 2024, driven by an unrealized gain on commodity derivatives Statements of Operations Data (QoQ) | Metric (Amounts in $000s) | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | | :------------------------ | :------ | :------ | | Total Revenues | $69,858 | $79,503 | | Total Costs and Expenses | $37,258 | $65,951 | | Operating Income (loss) | $32,600 | $13,552 | | Net Income (loss) | $22,652 | $7,119 | | Basic and diluted EPS | $0.54 | $0.17 | - Unrealized gain on commodity derivatives was **$(18,672) thousand** in Q3 2024, compared to **$4,905 thousand** in Q2 2024, significantly impacting net income[24](index=24&type=chunk) - Lease operating expense decreased from **$36,311 thousand** in Q2 to **$33,255 thousand** in Q3[24](index=24&type=chunk) [Operating Statistics](index=10&type=section&id=Operating%20Statistics) Operating statistics show decreased total oil and natural gas sales and production volumes, with varied changes in average sales prices and unit costs Operating Statistics Summary (QoQ) | Metric | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | | :-------------------------------------- | :---------- | :---------- | | Total oil and natural gas sales - Unhedged | $68,135 | $72,346 | | Total Production - MBoe | 1,752 | 1,843 | | Total Production - MBoe/d | 19.0 | 20.3 | | Average sales price (Oil - per Bbl) | $71.74 | $76.51 | | Average sales price (NGL - per Bbl) | $20.29 | $18.99 | | Average sales price (Natural gas - per Mcf) | $1.85 | $1.79 | | Lease operating expense - per Boe | $18.98 | $19.70 | | Gathering, processing and transportation - per Boe | $2.45 | $2.66 | [Asset Operating Statistics](index=11&type=section&id=Asset%20Operating%20Statistics) Beta asset showed increased production and decreased lease operating expenses, while other assets generally saw production decreases Production Volumes by Asset (MBOE) (QoQ) | Asset | Q3 2024 (MBOE) | Q2 2024 (MBOE) | | :------------------------- | :------------- | :------------- | | Bairoil | 294 | 301 | | Beta | 304 | 277 | | Oklahoma | 454 | 492 | | East Texas / North Louisiana | 638 | 709 | | Eagle Ford (Non-op) | 62 | 64 | | Total | 1,752 | 1,843 | Lease Operating Expense by Asset ($M) (QoQ) | Asset | Q3 2024 ($M) | Q2 2024 ($M) | | :------------------------- | :----------- | :----------- | | Bairoil | $13,164 | $13,423 | | Beta | $9,520 | $11,889 | | Oklahoma | $3,644 | $3,896 | | East Texas / North Louisiana | $5,592 | $5,386 | | Eagle Ford (Non-op) | $1,335 | $1,717 | | Total | $33,255 | $36,311 | Capital Expenditures by Asset ($M) (QoQ) | Asset | Q3 2024 ($M) | Q2 2024 ($M) | | :------------------------- | :----------- | :----------- | | Bairoil | $1,224 | $3 | | Beta | $12,047 | $15,991 | | Oklahoma | $1,449 | $788 | | East Texas / North Louisiana | $2,303 | $472 | | Eagle Ford (Non-op) | $1,157 | $436 | | Magnify Energy Services | $44 | $314 | | Total | $18,224 | $18,004 | [Balance Sheet Data](index=12&type=section&id=Balance%20Sheet%20Data) The balance sheet shows increased total assets and shareholders' equity, with cash and cash equivalents decreasing to zero and long-term debt slightly increasing Balance Sheet Data (QoQ) | Metric (Amounts in $000s) | Sep 30, 2024 | Jun 30, 2024 | | :------------------------ | :----------- | :----------- | | Cash and Cash Equivalents | $0 | $502 | | Total Current Assets | $70,157 | $62,018 | | Total Assets | $739,216 | $720,375 | | Total Current Liabilities | $66,168 | $73,516 | | Long-term Debt | $120,000 | $118,000 | | Total Liabilities | $324,546 | $330,086 | | Total Shareholders' Equity| $414,670 | $390,289 | [Statements of Cash Flows Data](index=12&type=section&id=Statements%20of%20Cash%20Flows%20Data) Net cash provided by operating activities slightly increased in Q3 2024, while net cash used in investing and provided by financing activities decreased Statements of Cash Flows Data (QoQ) | Metric (Amounts in $000s) | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | | :------------------------ | :--------- | :--------- | | Net cash provided by operating activities | $15,737 | $15,389 | | Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities | $(18,078) | $(20,853) | | Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities | $1,839 | $2,977 | [Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures](index=13&type=section&id=Reconciliation%20of%20Non-GAAP%20Financial%20Measures) Detailed reconciliations are provided for Adjusted EBITDA, Free Cash Flow, and Cash G&A, along with a table for Revenue Payables in Suspense Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow Reconciliation (from Operating Activities) | Metric (Amounts in $000s) | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | | :------------------------ | :------ | :------ | | Net cash provided by operating activities | $15,737 | $15,389 | | Adjusted EBITDA | $25,544 | $30,749 | | Free Cash Flow | $3,599 | $9,151 | Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow Reconciliation (from Net Income) | Metric (Amounts in $000s) | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | | :------------------------ | :------ | :------ | | Net income (loss) | $22,652 | $7,119 | | Adjusted EBITDA | $25,544 | $30,749 | | Free Cash Flow | $3,599 | $9,151 | Cash General and Administrative Expense Reconciliation | Metric (Amounts in $000s) | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | | :------------------------ | :------ | :------ | | General and administrative expense | $8,251 | $8,358 | | Less: Share-based compensation expense | $1,815 | $1,767 | | Less: Acquisition and divestiture costs | $186 | $9 | | Less: Bad debt expense | $26 | $0 | | Total Cash General and Administrative Expense | $6,224 | $6,582 | Revenue Payables in Suspense (Nine Months Ended Sep 30, 2024) | Metric (Amounts in $000s) | Nine Months Ended Sep 30, 2024 | | :------------------------ | :----------------------------- | | Oil and natural gas sales | $4,023 | | Other revenues | $4,829 | | Severance tax and other deducts | $(433) | | Total net revenue | $8,419 | | Total Production (Mboe) | 138 |
Amplify Energy Schedules Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Release and Conference Call
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2024-10-23 20:05
HOUSTON, Oct. 23, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Amplify Energy Corp. (“Amplify” or the “Company”) (NYSE: AMPY) announced today that it will report third quarter 2024 financial and operating results after the U.S. financial markets close on November 6, 2024. Management will host a conference call at 10:00 a.m. CT on November 7, 2024 to discuss the Company’s results. Interested parties are invited to participate in the conference call by dialing (877) 550-1707 (Conference ID: AEC3Q24) at least 15 minutes prior to ...
Amplify Energy Stock Up 12% This Year: Will Trend Hold?
ZACKS· 2024-10-02 20:01
Core Viewpoint - Amplify Energy (AMPY) has shown strong stock performance in 2024, with a 12.3% increase, outperforming its sector and peers [1] Group 1: Well Performance - The A50 Beta well has exceeded expectations in production and cost, completed at $4.2 million, below the $5-$6 million budget, with a payback period of just over four months [3] - This well's strong performance has positively influenced Amplify's outlook and stock performance, despite declining oil prices due to slower economic growth in China [3] Group 2: Future Cash Flow - Amplify's strategy to invest in high-return non-operated wells in East Texas and the Eagle Ford is expected to enhance cash flow by early 2025, with plans for 14 new development wells and expansions in the Haynesville Shale [4] Group 3: Asset Sale Potential - The potential sale or partial monetization of Amplify's Bairoil assets could de-risk its balance sheet and unlock shareholder value, providing liquidity without significantly affecting the company's credit facility borrowing base [5] Group 4: Earnings History - Despite recent successes, Amplify has struggled with earnings, surpassing estimates only once in the last four quarters, with a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of -27.5% [6] Group 5: Oil Price Vulnerability - Amplify is vulnerable to oil price fluctuations, with recent crude prices dipping below $70, which could impact earnings if prices remain low, compounded by China's economic struggles affecting global oil demand [7] Group 6: Stock Valuation - From a valuation perspective, Amplify appears attractive relative to the industry but is trading above its 5-year median EV/EBITDA multiple of 4.72 compared to 4.66, which may not be justified given oil price volatility [8] Group 7: Investment Outlook - While caution is advised due to volatility, a long-term perspective may benefit AMPY investors, with the company currently holding a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [9]
Amplify Energy: Strong Early Results From The A50 Beta Well
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-27 03:31
We are currently offering a free two-week trial to Distressed Value Investing . Join our community to receive exclusive research about various companies and other opportunities along with full access to my portfolio of historic research that now includes over 1,000 reports on over 100 companies. Amplify Energy (NYSE: AMPY ) reported good Q2 2024 results , which included strong early production from its A50 Beta well. It continues to look at Bairoil monetization options and has received bids, although it may ...
Amplify Energy to Participate in the 2024 Citadel Securities Energy Investor Days
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2024-09-13 15:21
Group 1 - Amplify Energy Corp. will participate in the Citadel Securities Energy Investor Days in New York City on October 1st, 2024 [1] - The management of Amplify will engage in one-on-one meetings with investors on the same day [1] Group 2 - Amplify Energy is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploitation, and production of oil and natural gas properties [2] - The company's operations are concentrated in Oklahoma, the Rockies (Bairoil), federal waters offshore Southern California (Beta), East Texas/North Louisiana, and the Eagle Ford (Non-op) [2]
Amplify Energy Falls 5.4% in August: Here's How to Play the Stock
ZACKS· 2024-08-27 14:55
Company Overview - Amplify Energy, founded in 2011, operates in Oklahoma, Southern California, and Texas, with diversified operations across five U.S. basins, which helps mitigate pricing and operational disruptions [4] - The company has long-life, long-production assets that generate sustainable cash flows [4] Recent Performance - Amplify Energy's stock has dropped 5.4% in August 2024, underperforming both the sector and the S&P 500 [1] - The company reported a second-quarter 2024 earnings miss, with earnings of 17 cents per share compared to the expected 31 cents, marking a 45% miss against the Zacks Consensus Estimate [5] - The earnings outlook for 2024 has been revised down by 19%, from $1.28 to $1.16 per share, indicating a 9.4% drop in annual profits [6] Operational Challenges - Production was significantly impacted by flooding in East Texas, which curtailed operations for over 100 days, highlighting the vulnerability to natural events [6] - The company plans to allocate $60 million to $65 million in capital expenditures for 2024, primarily focused on the Beta project and non-operated drilling, raising concerns about free cash flow strain [7] - Amplify Energy's net debt stands at approximately $117.5 million, with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.2X, suggesting limited financial flexibility [7] Environmental and Regulatory Issues - The company has a history of environmental incidents, including a $96.5 million settlement from a 2021 oil spill, which continues to impact its operations [8] - Ongoing regulatory scrutiny and potential future environmental risks could lead to further liabilities or operational restrictions [8] Industry Context - Amplify Energy is part of the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry, which ranks in the bottom 17% of over 250 Zacks Ranked Industries, indicating expected underperformance in the near term [8] Positive Developments - Despite recent challenges, the successful development of the A50 well in the Beta field exceeded production expectations, showcasing untapped potential [9] - The company's strategic participation in high-return non-operated wells in East Texas and the Eagle Ford is expected to enhance cash flow in early 2025 [9] - Continued focus on reducing lease operating expenses is anticipated to improve profitability [9] Valuation Perspective - From a valuation standpoint, Amplify Energy appears attractive relative to the industry but is trading above its 5-year median price/earnings ratio of 4.93 compared to 4.65 [10] - The current premium may not be justified due to unexpected production disruptions and elevated capital allocation [10] Conclusion - Amplify Energy may seem cheap but could be a value trap as its EPS outlook weakens, compounded by being part of a poorly performing industry group [12] - The stock is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) [12]
What to Expect From the U.S. Upstream Oil & Gas Industry
ZACKS· 2024-08-14 16:51
The Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry is facing several bearish trends that could put pressure on overall performance. A sluggish economic outlook coupled with China's decelerating growth has led the EIA to revise down its global crude consumption forecast for 2025. Moreover, the accelerating shift toward renewable energy and electric vehicles (EVs) is likely to further dampen traditional oil demand. Despite these challenges, U.S. upstream operators are adapting by prio ...
Recent Price Trend in Amplify Energy (AMPY) is Your Friend, Here's Why
ZACKS· 2024-08-09 13:50
While "the trend is your friend" when it comes to short-term investing or trading, timing entries into the trend is a key determinant of success. And increasing the odds of success by making sure the sustainability of a trend isn't easy.The trend often reverses before exiting the trade, leading to a short-term capital loss for investors. So, for a profitable trade, one should confirm factors such as sound fundamentals, positive earnings estimate revisions, etc. that could keep the momentum in the stock aliv ...
Amplify Energy (AMPY) - 2024 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-08-08 20:56
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $30.7 million and free cash flow of $9.2 million for Q2 2024, both exceeding expectations [8][20] - Net income for the quarter was approximately $7.1 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $9.4 million in the prior quarter, primarily due to lower noncash unrealized losses on commodity derivatives [20] - Lease operating expenses (LOE) were approximately $36.3 million, a decrease of $2 million from the first quarter [14][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total production averaged approximately 20,300 Boe per day, benefiting from a one-time prior period adjustment of approximately 1,200 Boe per day [13] - The production commodity mix for the quarter was 41% oil, 19% NGLs, and 40% natural gas [14] - Magnify, a wholly-owned subsidiary, generated approximately $900,000 of adjusted EBITDA through various services [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects to participate in 14 gross new development wells in the Eagle Ford and 4 gross wells in East Texas, targeting the Haynesville and Cotton Valley formations [16] - The forecasted proved developed producing crude oil production is approximately 70% to 75% hedged for the second half of 2024 [25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on optimizing future cash flow generation through strategic initiatives at Bairoil and Beta, as well as non-operated investment opportunities [12] - The successful drilling of the A50 Well has led to increased expectations for undeveloped well productivity, with plans to drill additional wells in the Beta field [10][11] - The company is committed to maximizing shareholder value through potential asset monetization and evaluating capital return options [9][40] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the potential for increased cash flow and long-term value from the Beta asset and non-operated development opportunities [27] - The company anticipates that the fourth quarter will significantly enhance cash flow generation due to ongoing projects and operational improvements [27] Other Important Information - The company has updated its annual guidance based on strong Q2 performance and participation in high-return non-operated development wells [9][26] - Capital investment for the second half of 2024 will focus on development and facility enhancements at Beta and non-operated drilling projects [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Constraints on accelerating well development in 2025 - Management indicated they will evaluate the potential for more wells in 2025 based on ongoing results and capital considerations [30] Question: Assessment of well cost repeatability - Management expressed confidence that future wells could be drilled for less than the initial $5 million to $6 million estimate based on efficiencies gained [32] Question: Long-term capital allocation in East Texas - Management noted that participation in non-operated wells is both a learning opportunity and a potential long-term strategy, especially in the Haynesville area [34] Question: Preference for capital returns from Bairoil sale - Management stated that both stock buybacks and dividends are on the table, but decisions will depend on market conditions and cash flow generation [40] Question: Expectations for LOE reduction post-electrification project - Management expects significant reductions in LOE once the electrification project is completed, which will lower diesel usage and NOx emissions costs [50]
Amplify Energy (AMPY) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-08-07 22:25
Amplify Energy (AMPY) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.17 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.31 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.24 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -45.16%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this oil and gas company would post earnings of $0.23 per share when it actually produced a loss of $0.24, delivering a surprise of -204.35%.Over the last four quarters, ...