Core Viewpoint - Arcos Dorados is positioned as a leading player in the Latin American QSR industry, benefiting from a growing market and economic strength in the region, which supports its expansion opportunities [1][2]. Company Performance - Arcos Dorados reported a 6.7% top-line growth, significantly outperforming its parent company McDonald's by over 670 basis points and exceeding analyst consensus estimates by 470 basis points [3][4]. - The systemwide comparable sales increased by 40.8%, with a 10.2% growth when adjusted for inflation in Argentina, driven by digital channels that accounted for 57% of revenue [4]. - Despite the growth, net income decreased compared to the previous year, and earnings per share remained flat due to one-off costs, although the company maintained a strong cash flow to support its balance sheet [4]. Market Position and Valuation - Arcos Dorados trades at a P/E ratio of 12.40, which is significantly lower than McDonald's, providing a value opportunity for investors [5]. - The company has a dividend yield of 2.39% and pays out less than 30% of its earnings, compared to McDonald's 55%, indicating a potentially robust distribution growth outlook [5]. Technical Outlook - The stock is currently in an uptrend, but there is a risk of a deeper correction if it fails to break through resistance at the 150-day EMA, with potential support levels at $9.00 and $7.50 [6]. - The expectation is that the stock will continue its upward trajectory, possibly reaching new highs in early 2025 [6].

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) Q2 2024 Earnings Conference Call August 14, 2024 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Dan Schleiniger - Investor Relations Marcelo Rabach - Chief Executive Officer Luis Raganato - Chief Operating Officer Mariano Tannenbaum - Chief Financial Officer Dan Schleiniger Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Webcast. With us today are Marcelo Rabach, our Chief Executive Officer; Luis Raganato, our Chief Operating Officer; and Mariano ...

Arcos Dorados 2 nd Quarter 2024 Results August 14, 2024 ARCO LISTED NYSE Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that represent our beliefs, projections and predictions about future events or our future performance. Forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as "may," "will," "would," "could," "should," "expect," "intend," "plan," "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "potential," "continue" or the negative of these terms or other similar expressions ...

[Financial Performance and Position](index=5&type=section&id=Financial%20Performance%20and%20Position) [Consolidated Statements of Income](index=5&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Income) Arcos Dorados' H1 2024 revenues increased 7.9% to $2.19 billion, but net income decreased 16.2% to $55.1 million, with diluted EPS of $0.26 | Financial Metric | H1 2024 (in thousands USD) | H1 2023 (in thousands USD) | Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total Revenues** | **2,192,257** | **2,031,313** | **+7.9%** | | Company-operated restaurants | 2,092,131 | 1,940,884 | +7.8% | | Franchised restaurants | 100,126 | 90,429 | +10.7% | | **Operating Income** | **141,770** | **141,177** | **+0.4%** | | **Net Income Attributable to Company** | **55,141** | **65,775** | **-16.2%** | | Earnings Per Share | H1 2024 | H1 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Basic EPS | $0.26 | $0.31 | | Diluted EPS | $0.26 | $0.31 | [Consolidated Balance Sheets](index=7&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheets) As of June 30, 2024, total assets decreased to $2.90 billion, primarily due to reduced cash, leading to a 9.0% decline in equity to $470.5 million | Balance Sheet Item | June 30, 2024 (in thousands USD) | Dec 31, 2023 (in thousands USD) | Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Cash and cash equivalents | 104,216 | 196,661 | -47.0% | | **Total Current Assets** | **513,133** | **605,278** | **-15.2%** | | **Total Assets** | **2,896,023** | **3,019,238** | **-4.1%** | | **Total Current Liabilities** | **816,618** | **841,670** | **-3.0%** | | **Total Liabilities** | **2,425,495** | **2,502,399** | **-3.1%** | | **Total Equity** | **470,528** | **516,839** | **-9.0%** | [Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows](index=8&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Cash%20Flows) H1 2024 operating cash flow decreased to $63.7 million, while investing activities used $134.0 million, resulting in a $92.4 million net decrease in cash | Cash Flow Activity (H1) | 2024 (in thousands USD) | 2023 (in thousands USD) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net cash provided by operating activities | 63,707 | 84,256 | | Net cash used in investing activities | (134,031) | (109,032) | | Net cash used in financing activities | (17,566) | (27,871) | | **Decrease in cash and cash equivalents** | **(92,445)** | **(65,445)** | | **Cash and cash equivalents at end of period** | **104,216** | **201,492** | - Property and equipment expenditures increased to **$148.9 million** in H1 2024 from **$123.1 million** in H1 2023[13](index=13&type=chunk) - Dividend payments to shareholders increased to **$25.3 million** in H1 2024 from **$21.1 million** in H1 2023[13](index=13&type=chunk) [Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements](index=11&type=section&id=Notes%20to%20the%20Condensed%20Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements) [Business Overview and Accounting Policies](index=11&type=section&id=Business%20Overview%20and%20Accounting%20Policies) Arcos Dorados operates McDonald's in 20 Latin American territories under MFAs through 2027, remeasuring financials for hyperinflationary economies - The company's rights to operate McDonald's-branded restaurants in Latin America and the Caribbean derive from Master Franchise Agreements (MFAs) with McDonald's Corporation, which are effective through **2027**[24](index=24&type=chunk) - The company operates in **twenty territories**, including major markets like Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina[25](index=25&type=chunk) - Due to being considered highly inflationary economies, the financial statements of the Argentinian (since July 2018) and Venezuelan (since Jan 2010) subsidiaries are remeasured using the **US dollar** as the functional currency[33](index=33&type=chunk) - The company is assessing the impact of new accounting standards, ASU 2023-07 (Segment Reporting) and ASU 2023-09 (Income Tax Disclosures), which will be effective for future fiscal years[39](index=39&type=chunk) [Debt and Financing](index=14&type=section&id=Debt%20and%20Financing) The company's debt structure includes $38.6 million in short-term debt and $715.8 million in long-term debt, with compliance across all covenants [Short-term Debt](index=14&type=section&id=Short-term%20Debt) Short-term debt increased to $38.6 million, supported by two $25 million revolving credit facilities, with the company in compliance with debt covenants | Debt Component | June 30, 2024 (in thousands USD) | Dec 31, 2023 (in thousands USD) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Short-term bank loans | 37,581 | 29,502 | | Bank overdrafts | 1,042 | 31 | | **Total** | **38,623** | **29,533** | - The company renewed its **$25 million** revolving credit facility with J.P. Morgan, maturing in **Feb 2026**, and signed a new **$25 million** facility with Itaú Unibanco, maturing in **April 2025**[46](index=46&type=chunk) - The company was in compliance with its consolidated net indebtedness to EBITDA ratio covenant, which was **1.18x** as of June 30, 2024, well below the required maximum of **3.00x**[48](index=48&type=chunk) [Long-term Debt](index=16&type=section&id=Long-term%20Debt) Total long-term debt remained stable at $715.8 million, primarily comprising 5.875% Senior Notes due 2027 and 6.125% Senior Notes due 2029 | Debt Component | June 30, 2024 (in thousands USD) | Dec 31, 2023 (in thousands USD) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | 2029 Notes | 334,200 | 334,200 | | 2027 Notes | 379,265 | 379,265 | | Other (Finance leases, etc.) | 10,121 | 10,198 | | **Total (before discounts/costs)** | **723,586** | **723,663** | | **Total Long-term Debt (net)** | **715,805** | **714,841** | [Financial Instruments and Risk Management](index=17&type=section&id=Financial%20Instruments%20and%20Risk%20Management) The company uses derivatives, mainly swaps and forwards, to manage foreign exchange and interest rate risks, with $66.1 million in derivative assets [Derivative Instruments](index=17&type=section&id=Derivative%20Instruments) The company uses cash flow hedges, including forwards and swaps, to mitigate foreign exchange risk, with total derivative assets of $66.1 million | Derivative Fair Value | Assets (in thousands USD) | Liabilities (in thousands USD) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Designated as Hedges** | **56,564** | **(1,560)** | | Forward contracts | 1,377 | — | | Swaps (various) | 55,187 | (1,560) | | **Not Designated as Hedges** | **9,486** | **(17,071)** | | **Total** | **66,050** | **(18,631)** | - The company uses forward contracts to hedge foreign exchange risk on forecasted imports of goods, with gains/losses expected to be reclassified into earnings within **12 months**[59](index=59&type=chunk) - Through its Brazilian subsidiary, the company uses various swaps to hedge exposure on intercompany loans, with gains/losses expected to be reclassified into earnings within the next **5 years**[60](index=60&type=chunk) [Fair Value Measurements](index=30&type=section&id=Fair%20Value%20Measurements) Financial assets and liabilities are measured at fair value, with total assets at $138.4 million and debt fair value at $707.5 million - Derivative contracts are valued using models with observable market parameters (interest rate curves, volatilities), classifying them as **Level 2** in the fair value hierarchy[129](index=129&type=chunk)[132](index=132&type=chunk) | Fair Value Hierarchy (June 30, 2024) | Level 1 (in thousands USD) | Level 2 (in thousands USD) | Total (in thousands USD) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Assets** | | | | | Cash equivalents | 37,242 | — | 37,242 | | Short-term Investments | 30,000 | 5,140 | 35,140 | | Derivatives | — | 66,050 | 66,050 | | **Total Assets** | **67,242** | **71,190** | **138,432** | | **Liabilities** | | | | | Derivatives | — | 18,631 | 18,631 | | **Total Liabilities** | **—** | **18,631** | **18,631** | - The estimated fair value of the company's short-term and long-term debt was **$707.5 million**, which is lower than its carrying amount of **$762.5 million** as of June 30, 2024[133](index=133&type=chunk) [Equity and Compensation](index=20&type=section&id=Equity%20and%20Compensation) The company uses a cash-settled Phantom RSU Award plan for incentives, with 2.18 million units outstanding, and approved a $0.24 per share dividend for 2024 [Share-based Compensation](index=20&type=section&id=Share-based%20Compensation) The cash-settled Phantom RSU Award plan is the primary long-term incentive, with 2.18 million units outstanding and a total fair value of $19.7 million - The company implemented a **cash-settled Phantom RSU Award plan** in May 2019 as its new long-term incentive program[74](index=74&type=chunk) | Phantom RSU Plan (as of June 30, 2024) | Value | | :--- | :--- | | Number of units outstanding | 2,183,364 | | Total fair value of the plan | $19.65 million | | Accrued liability | $7.93 million | | Compensation expense not yet recognized | $11.72 million | [Shareholders' Equity](index=27&type=section&id=Shareholders%27%20Equity) The company's capital includes Class A and B shares, with 210.7 million outstanding, and approved a $0.24 per share cash dividend for 2024 - Holders of Class A shares have **one vote per share**, while holders of Class B shares have **five votes per share**[106](index=106&type=chunk) - On March 12, 2024, the company approved a total cash dividend of **$0.24 per share** for 2024, payable in **four quarterly installments**[107](index=107&type=chunk) [Operational and Segment Information](index=21&type=section&id=Operational%20and%20Segment%20Information) The company operates across Brazil, NOLAD, and SLAD, with Brazil leading H1 2024 performance, while adhering to McDonald's Corp. commitments and covenants [Segment Performance](index=24&type=section&id=Segment%20Performance) In H1 2024, Brazil led segment performance with $890.9 million in revenues and $161.6 million in Adjusted EBITDA, contributing to an 8.1% consolidated increase | H1 2024 Revenues by Segment | Revenue (in thousands USD) | vs. H1 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Brazil | 890,927 | +14.3% | | NOLAD | 612,926 | +14.2% | | SLAD | 688,404 | -3.7% | | **Total** | **2,192,257** | **+7.9%** | | H1 2024 Adjusted EBITDA by Segment | Adj. EBITDA (in thousands USD) | vs. H1 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Brazil | 161,614 | +25.7% | | NOLAD | 54,763 | +5.5% | | SLAD | 55,312 | -28.7% | | **Total Reportable Segments** | **271,689** | **+5.3%** | - Total capital expenditures for H1 2024 were **$148.9 million**, with SLAD accounting for the largest portion at **$60.8 million**[101](index=101&type=chunk) [Commitments and Contingencies](index=21&type=section&id=Commitments%20and%20Contingencies) The company commits to a growth plan with McDonald's, including $650 million in capex, is compliant with MFA covenants, and holds $33.5 million in contingency provisions - The company has a growth plan with McDonald's to open at least **200 new restaurants** and modernize **400 others** from **2022 to 2024**, with capex of **~$650 million**. In return, McDonald's provides royalty rate support[82](index=82&type=chunk) - The company was in compliance with its MFA covenants, with a Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio of **2.25** (vs. min **1.50**) and a Leverage Ratio of **3.17** (vs. max **4.25**) as of June 30, 2024[81](index=81&type=chunk)[84](index=84&type=chunk) | Provision for Contingencies | June 30, 2024 (in thousands USD) | Dec 31, 2023 (in thousands USD) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Tax contingencies in Brazil | 24,844 | 40,583 | | Labor contingencies in Brazil | 10,751 | 12,674 | | Others | 5,442 | 5,929 | | **Net Provision** | **33,506** | **50,619** | - The company disclosed a potential loss contingency for certain matters ranging from **$471 million** to **$513 million**, for which a loss is reasonably possible but not yet probable[88](index=88&type=chunk) [Related Party Transactions](index=29&type=section&id=Related%20Party%20Transactions) The company incurred $173.6 million in costs with related party Axionlog for logistics and distribution services during the first six months of 2024 - The company has a master commercial agreement with Axionlog, a related party, for logistics and distribution services in most of its operating territories[117](index=117&type=chunk) | Expenses with Axionlog (H1) | 2024 (in thousands USD) | 2023 (in thousands USD) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Food and paper | (168,216) | (152,063) | | Occupancy and other operating expenses | (5,366) | (4,547) | | **Total** | **(173,582)** | **(156,610)** |

Core Viewpoint - Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) is expected to report second-quarter 2024 results on August 14, with earnings estimates showing a decline year over year, while revenue estimates indicate a slight increase [1][2]. Q2 Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is 13 cents per share, reflecting a 7.1% decrease year over year [2]. - Revenue estimates are projected at $1.05 billion, which represents a 1.6% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - Earnings estimates have been revised downward by 38.1% in the past 30 days [2]. Factors to Note - The company's revenue growth is likely supported by strong comparable sales, expansion efforts, and robust performance in Brazil and North Latin America [3]. - Positive guest traffic and strong digital sales are anticipated to contribute positively to quarterly results [3]. - Sales growth is driven by effective management of pricing, product mix, and guest volumes, with a focus on maintaining high guest volumes at McDonald's restaurants in the region [3]. - The company faces challenges from an inflationary environment, increased food and paper costs, and higher payroll expenses [3]. What Our Model Says - Current analysis does not predict an earnings beat for Arcos Dorados, as the company has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [4].

Here are three stocks added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List today:Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) is a franchisee of McDonald’s restaurants. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has been 2.3% downward over the last 60 days.Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) is an equipment rental supplier. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has been revised 3.4% downward over the last 60 days.Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. (NSANY) is an automobile manufacturing giant. The Zacks Consens ...

Group 1 - BRP (DOOO) has seen a 21.2% downward revision in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [1] - Core & Main (CNM) experienced a 10.4% downward revision in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [1] - Arcos Dorados (ARCO) had a nearly 7.4% downward revision in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [1]

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) reported first-quarter 2024 results, with revenues beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The top line increased year-over-year, while the bottom line fell from the prior-year quarter’s figure.During the quarter, the company stated benefits from the integration of the business model with the Three-D's strategy (Digital, Delivery, and Drive-thru). Also, the emphasis on pricing, product assortment and guest traffic management resulted in comparable sales growth exceeding infl ...

Arcos Dorados 1Q24 Results May 15, 2024 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that represent our beliefs, projections and predictions about future events or our future performance. Forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as "may," "will," "would," "could," "should," "expect," "intend," "plan," "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "potential," "continue" or the negative of these terms or other similar expressions or phrases. These forward-looking ...

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (NYSE:ARCO) Q1 2024 Earnings Conference Call May 15, 2024 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Daniel Schleiniger - Investor Relations Marcelo Rabach - Chief Executive Officer Luis Raganato - Chief Operating Officer Mariano Tannenbaum - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Daniel Schleiniger Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our First Quarter 2024 Earnings Webcast. With us today are Marcelo Rabach, our Chief Executive Officer; Luis Raganato, our Chief ...