Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) Q2 2025 Earnings Call July 23, 2025 10:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsAdolfo Castro Rivas - CEOJens Spiess - Vice PresidentSteve Trent - Managing DirectorFernanda Recchia - Equity Research DirectorAlejandro Velez - Head - Monaco, Spain, Portugal, FIM EuropeErnst Anton Mortenkotter - Equity Research - Real AssetsConference Call ParticipantsGuilherme Mendes - ED - Equity Research AnalystPablo Monsivais - Equity Research AnalystPablo Ricalde - Research AnalystAndres Aguirre ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues increased by 5% year on year to 7,400,000,000 pesos, reflecting growth across operations, particularly in Puerto Rico and Colombia [7][8] - Consolidated EBITDA rose slightly by 2% year on year, reaching 5,000,000 pesos, with Puerto Rico and Colombia posting double-digit growth [12] - The adjusted EBITDA margin, excluding construction revenue, stood at nearly 68%, down from 69% in the same quarter last year [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Mexico, accounting for 72% of total revenues, posted a low single-digit increase of 0.7% in revenues, with growth in both aeronautical and non-aeronautical revenues [8] - Puerto Rico contributed 17.7% of total revenues with high teens growth, while Colombia, accounting for 12% of total revenues, posted 15.4% growth [8][9] - Commercial revenue per passenger reached nearly 140 pesos, representing mid-single-digit year-on-year growth, with Colombia leading at a 22% increase [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Passenger traffic remained largely flat year on year at 17,700,000, with Puerto Rico showing 3% growth, while Mexico reported a decline of nearly 2% [4][5] - International travel in Mexico saw declines from all regions, with Europe down 4.7%, the US down 5.3%, and South America down 2.7% [5] - A significant portion of the decline in international traffic, approximately 38%, is attributed to the new airport in Tulum [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to invest in infrastructure and expand commercial offerings, having opened 47 new commercial spaces over the last twelve months [9] - The strategy includes modernization and expansion projects at Mexican airports, with ongoing work at Lincoln Airport and taxiway hotels in Puerto Rico [15] - The company remains focused on long-term growth potential despite current market uncertainties [6][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects traffic in Mexico to gradually stabilize over the next year as operational issues related to aircraft are resolved [6] - The company does not anticipate a material impact from potential US Department of Transportation restrictions on Mexican carriers [6] - Management expressed confidence that travel-related disruptions are typically temporary and that the company is well-positioned to mitigate risks [16] Other Important Information - The company closed the quarter with nearly 20,000,000,000 pesos in cash and cash equivalents, up 30% year on year [13] - A foreign exchange loss of 1,200,000,000 pesos negatively impacted the bottom line, contrasting with a gain of 942,000,000 pesos in the same quarter last year [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: What drove the sequential decline in non-air revenues? - Management indicated that exchange rates played a significant role, along with a slight difference in passenger mix and issues at Terminal 2 [20][22] Question: What impact could lifted capacity restrictions in Mexico City have? - Management noted that an increase in operations at Mexico City Airport could benefit overall passenger traffic, but expressed doubts about significant changes occurring soon [21][24] Question: What is the current traffic situation at Tulum Airport? - Most traffic at Tulum is still primarily commercial flights from the US, with some domestic traffic [27][30] Question: What is the outlook for traffic growth in the second half of the year? - Management expects some normalization in traffic, with potential single-digit growth anticipated compared to the second half of 2024 [34][36] Question: What is the rationale behind the new debt? - The new debt is related to tax expenses at Cancun Airport, ensuring sufficient cash for future dividend payments [60][61] Question: What are the dynamics of international traffic in Puerto Rico and Colombia? - Growth in Puerto Rico is driven by events and concerts, while Colombia's growth is primarily linked to travel from the US [84]

Passenger traffic increased by 3.2% in Puerto Rico and 1.0% in Colombia; and decreased by 1.7% in MexicoMEXICO CITY, July 22, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A.B. de C.V. (NYSE: ASR; BMV: ASUR) (ASUR), a leading international airport group with operations in Mexico, the United States, and Colombia, today announced its results for the three- and six-month periods ended June 30, 2025.2Q25 Highlights1 Total passenger traffic declined 0.1% YoY ("YoY"). By country of operations, passenger ...

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Company Overview - Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) is part of the Transportation group, which includes 122 companies and is currently ranked 4 in the Zacks Sector Rank [2] - ASR has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook [3] Performance Metrics - Over the past 90 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for ASR's full-year earnings has increased by 4%, reflecting improved analyst sentiment [4] - ASR has gained approximately 21.8% year-to-date, outperforming the average loss of 1.6% in the Transportation group [4] - In the Transportation - Services industry, which includes 23 companies, ASR is performing better with year-to-date returns compared to the industry's average gain of 0.5% [6] Comparative Analysis - Another outperforming stock in the Transportation sector is International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (ICAGY), which has returned 32.2% year-to-date and has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [5] - The Transportation - Airline industry, which includes ICAGY, is currently ranked 78 and has seen a gain of 4.5% this year [7]

Core Insights - Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASUR) reported a total passenger traffic of 6.0 million for June 2025, reflecting a decrease of 1.8% compared to June 2024 [1][2][4] Passenger Traffic Analysis - Colombia experienced a year-on-year increase of 1.7% in passenger traffic, driven by a 13.3% rise in international traffic, which offset a 1.4% decline in domestic traffic [2][4] - Mexico saw a decline of 2.8% in total passenger traffic, with international traffic decreasing by 3.4% and domestic traffic by 2.1% [2][4] - Puerto Rico reported a 3.3% decrease in total passenger traffic, with a 9.2% increase in international traffic and a 5.1% decline in domestic traffic [2][4] Detailed Traffic Figures - In June 2025, Mexico's total passenger traffic was 3,263,212, down from 3,357,243 in June 2024, with year-to-date figures showing a decrease of 3.4% [4][6] - Colombia's total passenger traffic for June 2025 was 1,474,224, up from 1,448,982 in June 2024, with a year-to-date increase of 3.6% [4][6] - San Juan, Puerto Rico, had a total passenger traffic of 1,254,753 in June 2025, down from 1,297,862 in June 2024, but year-to-date figures showed an increase of 6.8% [4][6] Company Overview - ASUR operates 16 airports across the Americas, including nine in southeast Mexico and six in northern Colombia, with a significant presence in the Caribbean and Latin America [7] - The company is also a 60% joint venture partner in Aerostar Airport Holdings, which operates Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport in San Juan, Puerto Rico [7]

Core Viewpoint - Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) has experienced a significant downtrend, with a 13% decline in stock price over the past four weeks, but it is now in oversold territory, suggesting a potential turnaround due to improved earnings expectations from analysts [1]. Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a key technical indicator used to determine if a stock is oversold, with a reading below 30 typically indicating oversold conditions [2]. - ASR's current RSI reading is 25.88, indicating that the heavy selling pressure may be exhausting, which could lead to a price rebound as the stock seeks to return to its previous equilibrium [5]. Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - Analysts covering ASR have shown strong consensus in raising earnings estimates, with a 2.8% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, which often correlates with price appreciation [7]. - ASR holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further supporting the potential for a near-term turnaround [8].

Core Insights - Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A.B. de C.V. (ASUR) reported a total passenger traffic of 5.7 million in May 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.2% compared to May 2024 [1][2][4] Passenger Traffic Summary - Passenger traffic in Puerto Rico increased by 1.3%, driven by a 10.5% rise in international traffic and a 0.2% increase in domestic traffic [2][4] - In Mexico, passenger traffic decreased by 3.0%, with international traffic down by 5.6% and domestic traffic down by 0.4% [2][4] - Colombia experienced a 3.4% decline in total passenger traffic, with a 6.7% increase in international traffic offset by a 6.1% decrease in domestic traffic [2][4] Detailed Traffic Data - For Mexico, total passenger traffic in May 2025 was 3,241,572, down from 3,341,200 in May 2024, with year-to-date figures showing a decrease of 3.5% [4][6] - San Juan, Puerto Rico, saw total passenger traffic of 1,151,279 in May 2025, up from 1,136,672 in May 2024, with year-to-date growth of 9.2% [4][6] - Colombia's total passenger traffic for May 2025 was 1,324,870, down from 1,371,343 in May 2024, with year-to-date figures showing an increase of 4.0% [4][6] Company Overview - ASUR operates 16 airports across the Americas, including nine in southeast Mexico and six in northern Colombia, with a significant presence in the Caribbean and Latin America [7] - The company is a 60% joint venture partner in Aerostar Airport Holdings, which operates Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport in San Juan, Puerto Rico [7]

Core Viewpoint - DHL Group Sponsored ADR (DHLGY) is currently positioned as a more attractive investment option compared to Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) based on valuation metrics and earnings outlook [1][7]. Valuation Metrics - DHLGY has a forward P/E ratio of 12.18, while ASR has a forward P/E of 14.48, indicating that DHLGY may be undervalued relative to ASR [5]. - The PEG ratio for DHLGY is 1.30, suggesting a favorable earnings growth outlook compared to ASR's PEG ratio of 8.37, which indicates less favorable growth expectations [5]. - DHLGY's P/B ratio stands at 1.92, compared to ASR's P/B of 3.04, further supporting the notion that DHLGY is undervalued [6]. Earnings Outlook - DHLGY is experiencing an improving earnings outlook, which enhances its attractiveness in the Zacks Rank model, suggesting a positive trend in earnings estimates [3][7].

Company Overview - Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. (NYSE: ASR) has reported several strong quarters of earnings since the last analysis [1]. Investment Philosophy - The investment approach emphasizes finding strategies that align with personality and analytical strengths, focusing on value investing principles rather than complex trading strategies [1]. - The company maintains a significant portion of its portfolio in index funds while actively seeking carefully selected investment opportunities [1]. Market Focus and Strategy - The focus is on identifying value opportunities, particularly in small and mid-cap sectors where market inefficiencies are prevalent [1]. - The strategy includes looking for industry leaders in out-of-favor sectors, quality companies facing temporary setbacks, and businesses with strong balance sheets and robust cash generation [1]. Analytical Approach - The analytical framework prioritizes balance sheet strength from a credit perspective, near-term cash flow generation, next twelve-month earnings forecasts, and book value analysis, especially for financial sector investments [1]. Professional Background - The investment approach is supported by over 10 years of experience in financial sector consulting, specifically with banks, insurance companies, and payment firms, which aids in identifying overlooked opportunities [1].