Core Viewpoint - Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook driven by an upward trend in earnings estimates [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the importance of changing earnings estimates as a key factor influencing stock prices, with a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock movements [4][6]. - An increase in earnings estimates typically leads to higher fair value calculations by institutional investors, resulting in buying or selling actions that affect stock prices [4]. Company Performance Indicators - Capitol Federal is projected to earn $0.46 per share for the fiscal year ending September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 24.3% [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Capitol Federal has risen by 2.2%, indicating a positive trend in earnings expectations [8]. Zacks Rating System Overview - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with a proven track record of Zacks Rank 1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - The upgrade of Capitol Federal to a Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].

Group 1: Earnings Performance - Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) reported quarterly earnings of $0.12 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.11 per share, and up from $0.10 per share a year ago [1] - The earnings surprise for this quarter was 9.09%, following a previous quarter where the company reported earnings of $0.09 per share against an expectation of $0.07, resulting in a surprise of 28.57% [2] - Over the last four quarters, Capitol Federal has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times [2] Group 2: Revenue Performance - The company posted revenues of $46.92 million for the quarter ended December 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.74%, compared to year-ago revenues of $30.7 million [3] - Capitol Federal has also topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters [3] Group 3: Stock Performance and Outlook - Capitol Federal shares have declined approximately 3.4% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 3.2% [4] - The company's earnings outlook is mixed, with the current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter at $0.11 on revenues of $47.33 million, and $0.45 on revenues of $191.46 million for the current fiscal year [8] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Financial - Savings and Loan is currently in the top 12% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector [9] Group 4: Competitor Insights - Berkshire Hills Bancorp (BHLB), another company in the same industry, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.54 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +14.9% [10] - The expected revenues for Berkshire Hills Bancorp are $104.59 million, which is a decrease of 16.7% from the year-ago quarter [11]

Financial Performance - The company reported net income of $15.4 million, or $0.12 per share, for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, an increase of $3.4 million from the previous quarter[6]. - Net income for the three months ended December 31, 2024, was $15.4 million, a 506.8% increase from $2.5 million in the prior year[38]. - Net income for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, was $15.431 million, an increase from $12.057 million in the previous quarter[60]. - The effective tax rate decreased to 19.2% from 37.2% in the prior quarter, resulting in a significant reduction in income tax expense[17]. Income and Expenses - Interest and dividend income totaled $97.622 million, a $755 thousand increase from the previous quarter, primarily driven by an increase in the average balance of the commercial loan portfolio[4]. - Non-interest income decreased to $4.693 million, down $93 thousand from the previous quarter, with deposit service fees declining by 4.3%[12]. - Total non-interest expense increased slightly to $27.148 million, with salaries and employee benefits rising by 8.8% due to the accrual of incentive compensation[14]. - The company's efficiency ratio improved to 57.86% from 59.29% in the prior quarter, indicating better cost management relative to revenue generation[15]. Loan Portfolio and Credit Losses - The provision for credit losses was recorded at $677 thousand, compared to a provision release of $637 thousand in the prior quarter, reflecting a $2.0 million increase in the allowance for credit losses for loans[10]. - The Company recorded a provision for credit losses of $677 thousand during the current quarter, compared to $123 thousand for the prior year quarter[30]. - The allowance for credit losses (ACL) increased to $24.997 million, with a ratio of ACL to loans receivable at 0.31% as of December 31, 2024[91]. - The ratio of non-performing loans to total loans was 0.13% as of December 31, 2024, up from 0.12% in the previous quarter[85]. Asset and Liability Management - Total assets increased by 0.4% to $9.54 billion as of December 31, 2024, from $9.53 billion at the end of the previous quarter[40]. - Total interest-earning assets increased to $9,088,947 thousand with a net interest income of $42,230 thousand for the three months ended December 31, 2024, reflecting a net interest margin of 1.86%[63]. - Total interest-bearing liabilities reached $7,815,163 thousand with an average rate of 2.79% as of December 31, 2024[119]. - The total amount of non-maturity deposits was $2,735,138 thousand with an average rate of 0.88%[119]. Securities and Investments - The Company initiated a securities strategy by selling $1.30 billion of securities, representing 94% of its securities portfolio, and recognized an impairment loss of $192.6 million[23]. - The securities portfolio's ending balance was $861.5 million with a weighted average yield of 5.62%[101]. - The weighted average life (WAL) of the securities portfolio was estimated at 4.8 years as of December 31, 2024[100]. Dividends and Stockholder Equity - The company announced a cash dividend of $0.085 per share, payable on February 21, 2025, to stockholders of record as of February 7, 2025[6]. - Stockholders' equity totaled $1.03 billion at December 31, 2024, a decrease of $5.3 million from September 30, 2024, primarily due to a decrease in accumulated other comprehensive income[48]. - The Company intends to pay a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.085 per share for fiscal year 2025, totaling $0.34 per share for the year[51]. Market and Economic Conditions - Single-family origination activity has slowed, with originated loan balances decreasing due to high interest rates and limited housing inventory, impacting the one- to four-family loan portfolio[42]. - The one- to four-family originated loan portfolio is expected to continue decreasing due to ongoing housing affordability challenges[42]. - The bank anticipates funding approximately $87.5 million in commercial real estate and construction loans during the March 2025 quarter[76]. Delinquency and Non-Performing Assets - The total amount of loans 30 to 89 days delinquent was $31.965 million, representing 0.40% of total loans receivable[84]. - Non-performing assets totaled $11.361 million, accounting for 0.12% of total assets as of December 31, 2024[85]. - The increase in 30-89 day delinquent commercial real estate loans was primarily due to a $15.5 million Community Reinvestment Act loan[83].

Financial Performance - The Company reported a net loss for tax purposes for fiscal year 2024 due to the sale of securities in October 2023, resulting in negative current and accumulated earnings and profits[100]. - The Bank's ability to pay dividends and repurchase shares is contingent upon generating sufficient earnings and cash availability at the holding company level[99]. - The increase in commercial loans exposes the Bank to greater lending and credit risks, potentially impacting financial condition and results of operations[77]. Taxation - As of September 30, 2024, the Bank had $75.9 million in pre-1988 bad debt reserves, resulting in an unrecorded deferred tax liability of $15.9 million[58]. - The Kansas privilege tax rate for fiscal year 2024 is set at 4.5% of earnings, which will decrease to 4.18% starting in fiscal year 2025[60]. - Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. files a consolidated Kansas corporate tax return with a corporate tax rate of 4.0% plus a 3.0% surcharge on earnings over $50,000[59]. - The Company intends not to distribute earnings from the Bank to the Company during fiscal year 2025 to minimize tax associated with bad debt recapture[103]. Employee and Community Engagement - The Bank's total employees increased to 659, with a full-time equivalent of 636, up from 632 in the previous year[63]. - The Bank recorded over 3,690 hours of volunteer time by employees for local organizations and charities during fiscal year 2024[64]. - The Company actively promotes diversity and inclusion, with initiatives supported by the Board of Directors and an Inclusion Task Force[67]. Regulatory and Competitive Environment - The Company faces strong competition from local, regional, and national banks, which may limit growth and profitability[92]. - The Company is subject to extensive regulation, which may impose restrictions on operations and increase compliance costs[93]. Risk Management and Cybersecurity - The Company faces increasing information security risks due to evolving technologies and cyber threats, which could adversely affect business operations and reputation[81]. - The Bank has implemented a comprehensive cybersecurity risk management program to protect sensitive information and mitigate threats[116]. - The Bank conducts regular assessments and testing of cybersecurity policies and practices, including audits and vulnerability testing, to ensure effectiveness[119]. - A third-party risk program is in place to manage information security and privacy risks associated with third-party relationships, including assessments during onboarding and throughout the relationship lifecycle[120]. - The Bank faces ongoing malicious cyber activities, including unauthorized access attempts and phishing, which could materially impact operations and financial condition[121]. - The Board of Directors oversees cybersecurity risk management and receives annual comprehensive updates on IT status and cyber incidents from the Chief Information Officer[122]. - As of September 30, 2024, there were no known cybersecurity incidents that materially affected the Bank's business strategies or financial condition[124]. - The Bank's risk management and compliance programs may not effectively mitigate all risks, potentially affecting business performance[105]. - The Company is vulnerable to increasing fraud and financial crimes, which could materially impact results of operations[107]. - The Company relies heavily on technology, and failures in technology initiatives could adversely affect business performance[91].

Group 1 - Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN) has seen a 21.6% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [1] - Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación (VLRS) has experienced a 30.2% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [1] - NB Bancorp, Inc. (NBBK) has had an 11% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [2] - GeneDx Holdings Corp. (WGS) has seen a significant 68% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [2] - Isabella Bank Corporation (ISBA) has experienced a 10.6% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [3]

Company Performance - Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) reported quarterly earnings of $0.09 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.07 per share, and up from $0.04 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 28.57% [1] - The company posted revenues of $45.61 million for the quarter ended September 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.46%, and compared to year-ago revenues of $35.65 million [1] - Over the last four quarters, Capitol Federal has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates just once [1] Market Performance - Capitol Federal shares have declined approximately 5% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 22.7% [2] - The current Zacks Rank for Capitol Federal is 3 (Hold), indicating that shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [4] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.09 on revenues of $45.93 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.37 on revenues of $188.41 million [4] - The estimate revisions trend for Capitol Federal is mixed, and changes in estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year are anticipated following the recent earnings report [4] Industry Context - The Financial - Savings and Loan industry, to which Capitol Federal belongs, is currently in the top 22% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [5] - Another company in the same industry, Flushing Financial (FFIC), is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.18 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 41.9% [5]

Financial Performance - For the quarter ended September 30, 2024, Capitol Federal Financial reported a net income of $12.1 million, or $0.09 per share, compared to $9.6 million, or $0.07 per share for the previous quarter, representing a 26.0% increase in net income [2]. - The fiscal year 2024 net income was $38.0 million, or $0.29 per share, a significant recovery from a net loss of $101.7 million, or $(0.76) per share in the prior year [13]. - The company announced a cash dividend of $0.085 per share, payable on November 15, 2024, to stockholders of record as of November 1, 2024 [1]. - For the fiscal year ended September 30, 2024, net income was $38.01 million, a significant increase of $139.67 million or 137.4% compared to a net loss of $101.66 million in the prior year [26]. Interest Income and Margin - The net interest margin improved to 1.80% for the quarter, up from 1.77% in the previous quarter, driven by better performance in the loan portfolio [2]. - Total interest and dividend income for the quarter was $96.867 million, an increase of 2.0% from $94.995 million in the prior quarter [4]. - Interest and dividend income increased by $17.1 million, or 4.7%, to $376.8 million, driven by a 10.2% increase in loans receivable income [17]. - The net interest margin increased by 34 basis points from 1.43% in the prior year to 1.77% in the current year, primarily due to the absence of the leverage strategy which negatively impacted the prior year's margin by 12 basis points [15]. Credit Losses and Asset Quality - The provision for credit losses for the quarter was a release of $637 thousand, compared to a provision expense of $1.5 million in the previous quarter, indicating improved asset quality [7]. - The provision for credit losses decreased to $1.3 million from $6.8 million in the prior year, reflecting a $1.9 million increase in reserves for off-balance sheet credit exposures [20]. - The company reported a total of 76 nonaccrual loans amounting to $10,092 million as of September 30, 2024, compared to 57 loans totaling $8,603 million a year earlier, reflecting a significant increase [73]. - The total non-performing assets as a percentage of total assets was 0.11% as of September 30, 2024, unchanged from the previous quarter [73]. Expenses and Efficiency - The efficiency ratio improved to 59.29% for the current quarter, down from 62.07% in the prior quarter, reflecting lower non-interest expenses [11]. - Total non-interest expense decreased to $27.040 million, down 3.3% from $27.950 million in the previous quarter [10]. - The company's efficiency ratio improved to 66.91% from (626.63)% in the prior year, with an adjusted ratio of 61.97% excluding net losses from the securities strategy [25]. Assets and Liabilities - Total assets decreased to $9.53 billion, down $649.9 million or 6.4% from September 30, 2023, primarily due to a $528.2 million decrease in securities [30]. - Total liabilities at September 30, 2024, were $8.50 billion, a decrease of $638.1 million from the previous year, mainly due to a $699.6 million decrease in borrowings [31]. - Stockholders' equity totaled $1.03 billion, a decrease of $11.8 million from September 30, 2023, attributed to share repurchases and dividend payments [35]. Shareholder Actions - The Company intends to pay a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.085 per share for fiscal year 2025, totaling $0.34 per share for the year [37]. - The Company repurchased 3,280,110 shares of common stock at an average price of $5.87 per share during the current year, with $75.0 million authorized for future repurchases [38]. - The Board of Directors will consider additional dividends if earnings in fiscal year 2025 exceed $0.34 per share [37]. Loan Portfolio and Originations - Loan originations for one- to four-family and consumer loans totaled $102.08 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024, with a rate of 6.56% [33]. - The bank originated commercial loans totaling $350.6 million during the year ended September 30, 2024, including $156.4 million in commercial construction real estate loans [61]. - The total gross loan amount as of September 30, 2024, was $1,379.3 million, an increase from $1,562.9 million as of September 30, 2023, reflecting a growth of approximately 14.7% [65]. Risk and Uncertainties - The company faces various risks and uncertainties that could affect future earnings and capital levels, including regulatory changes and market conditions [42]. - Management applied qualitative factors to account for large dollar commercial loan concentrations and potential downside market risks related to housing price appreciation [81][82]. Securities and Investments - The company initiated a securities strategy by selling $1.30 billion of securities, recognizing an impairment loss of $192.6 million, and redeploying proceeds into higher-yielding securities [16]. - Fixed-rate securities comprised 95% of the securities portfolio, with a total carrying value of $829.9 million and a weighted average yield of 5.63% as of September 30, 2024 [87].

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 ________________________ Form 10-Q ________________________ (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2024 or ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from __ to __ Commission File Number: 001-34814 | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------------- ...

Company Overview - Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) reported quarterly earnings of $0.07 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.11 per share, which represents a year-over-year increase from $0.06 per share [8] - The company posted revenues of $45.03 million for the quarter ended June 2024, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.65%, and showing an increase from year-ago revenues of $40.56 million [9] - The company has not been able to beat consensus revenue estimates over the last four quarters [9] Earnings Performance - The recent quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -36.36% [1] - Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times [2] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.11 on revenues of $47.25 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.42 on revenues of $171.14 million [12] Market Position - Capitol Federal shares have added about 4.7% since the beginning of the year, compared to the S&P 500's gain of 16.5% [10] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating that shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [5] - The outlook for the Financial - Savings and Loan industry, to which Capitol Federal belongs, is currently in the bottom 27% of over 250 Zacks industries [6] Future Outlook - The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement will depend on management's commentary during the earnings call [3] - The estimate revisions trend for Capitol Federal is mixed, and changes in these estimates could impact the stock's performance [5][11] - Investors are encouraged to monitor how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead [12]

Loan Activity: The following table summarizes activity in the loan portfolio, along with weighted average rates where applicable, for the periods indicated, excluding changes in ACL, deferred loan fees/discounts, and premiums/deferred costs. Loans that were paid off as a result of refinances are included in repayments. Loan endorsements are not included in the activity in the following table because a new loan is not generated at the time of the endorsement. The endorsed balance and rate are included in the ...