买入 全面升级为全栈 AI 产品和服务商，探索数字货币和 RWA 中国软件国际（354.HK） 2025-6-9 星期一 【投资要点】 ➢ 2024 年收入和利润相对稳定，AIGC 新业务成增长亮点 2024 全年公司实现收入 169.5 亿元人民币（-1.0%），归母净利润 5.1 亿元 人民币（-28.1%）。H2 财务环比回升，显示新业务拉动初现。全年经营活 动现金流净额 6.03 亿元，同比下降 16.3%。 ➢ 全栈 AIGC 能力体系加速成型，战略转型进入规模化落地阶段 公司加快 AIGC 战略落地，构建以"模型工场 2.0"和"Agent 工厂"为核 心的一体化能力体系，推动 AI 产品在多个行业场景中规模化复制，标志公 司由技术投入迈向商业化阶段。2024 年"全栈 AI 产品及服务"收入达人民 币 9.57 亿元，占集团总收入的 5.6%。其中，下半年该板块收入环比大幅上 升 135.44%，成为推动集团业绩触底反弹的关键动力之一。 ➢ 持续深化与华为生态合作，推动信创产品化落地 公司深化与华为合作，拓展 KaihongOS 在智能终端与开发工具链应用，并 完成超 200 个华为云 CTSP ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][5] Core Viewpoints - The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region has officially enacted the "Stablecoin Ordinance," which is expected to enhance the regulatory framework for virtual asset activities and maintain financial stability. The stablecoin market is projected to grow rapidly, potentially reaching a market size of USD 2 trillion by 2028 [2][3] - The company is deeply engaged in the digital finance sector, providing digital RMB system solutions based on its proprietary microservices technology platform, Toplink. This positions the company to benefit from the growth of the stablecoin market [2][6] - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is estimated at CNY 693 million, CNY 914 million, and CNY 1.045 billion, corresponding to current P/E ratios of 19, 14, and 12 times, respectively [2][9] Summary by Relevant Sections Regulatory Developments - The "Stablecoin Ordinance" was passed by the Hong Kong Legislative Council on May 21 and officially published on May 30, establishing a licensing system for stablecoin issuers [2][3] Market Outlook - The global stablecoin market was approximately USD 227.3 billion as of June 3, 2025, with major players like Tether and Circle holding significant market shares of 67.5% and 27.0%, respectively. The market is expected to grow significantly, with forecasts suggesting a potential size of USD 2 trillion by 2028 [3][4] Company Positioning - The company is actively involved in the digital RMB ecosystem, offering comprehensive solutions that cover various operational scenarios, including wallet systems, interconnectivity, and cross-border payment solutions [6][7] - The company is also expanding its international presence, participating in infrastructure projects in Hong Kong and establishing joint ventures in the Middle East to promote digital transformation [7][8]

证券研究报告 | 2025年06月08日 中国软件国际（00354.HK） 中国香港通过稳定币法案，公司深耕数字化金融领域，有望充分受益 |  公司研究·公司快评 | | |  | 计算机·计算机设备 |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 熊莉 | 021-61761067 | | xiongli1@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980519030002 | | 证券分析师： | 艾宪 | 0755-22941051 | | aixian@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980524090001 | 事项： 事件：5 月 21 日，中国香港特区立法会三读通过《稳定币条例草案》，以在香港设立法定货币稳定币发行 人的发牌制度，完善对虚拟资产活动在香港的监管框架，以保持金融稳定；5 月 30 日，中国香港特区政府 在宪报上刊登《稳定币条例》，正式成立法例。 国信计算机观点：1）中国香港《稳定币条例》正式成为法例，稳定币市场规模快速增长，2028 年市场规 模有望达到 2 万亿美金；2 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8] Core Insights - The company is positioned as a core partner of Huawei, benefiting from the dual drivers of HarmonyOS and AI for performance recovery. Huawei accounted for 41% of the company's revenue in 2024, anchoring its business in the Harmony ecosystem and AI computing operations [5][8] - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 2025 onwards, driven by the commercial launch of HarmonyOS PCs and the maturation of AI computing networks [5][8] Summary by Sections 1. Huawei Chain Core Positioning and Business Diversification - The company has established a deep partnership with Huawei, which is its largest customer, contributing approximately 41% of its revenue in 2024 [19] - The business structure is clear, with the Technology Professional Group (TPG) dominating revenue, accounting for 87% in 2024 [28] - The company is expected to recover from a revenue low in 2023, with a projected revenue of 169.5 billion RMB in 2024, showing a significant improvement from a -14% decline in 2023 [29] 2. Innovation in Trustworthy Computing: Huawei as a Pioneer - The HarmonyOS has undergone significant evolution, with the release of the fully autonomous version expected in October 2024, marking a key milestone in the ecosystem's development [39] - The company has contributed over 485 million lines of code to the open-source HarmonyOS, positioning itself as a leading player in the ecosystem [62] 3. AI: Dual Drivers of Computing Operations and Agent Implementation - The company is positioned as a "computing operator + agent implementer," operating multiple AI computing centers to enhance utilization rates [5][8] - The AI business is expected to become a new growth engine, with projected revenue from AI-related value-added services anticipated to increase significantly by 2025 [5][8] 4. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 178 billion, 194.6 billion, and 221.4 billion RMB, with net profits of 6.1 billion, 7.3 billion, and 8.9 billion RMB respectively [6][8] - The report employs a relative valuation method, comparing the company to peers in the Huawei chain, with an average PE of 50x for 2025E, applying a 56% discount for its Hong Kong listing, resulting in a target market value of 170 billion RMB [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Software International (0354.HK) [3][5] Core Viewpoints - The recent product launch event highlights the technological advancements of China Software International and Shen Kaihong in the open-source HarmonyOS and robotics sectors, which is expected to attract more developers and accelerate the construction of the open-source Harmony ecosystem [3] - The company forecasts net profits of 644 million RMB, 754 million RMB, and 871 million RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [3] Summary by Sections Product Launch - Shen Kaihong launched the Kaihong Bot series products, including the Kaihong "1+1" security digital base 5.0 and various products based on M-Robots OS, aimed at enhancing the open-source Harmony ecosystem [1][3] Kaihong Bot Series - The Kaihong Bot series is designed as an open-source Harmony learning platform for developers, featuring tools for application development, device development, and system secondary development [2] - The series includes two main products, Kaihong BotBook and Kaihong BotMini, with a starting price of 6,999 RMB, and plans for future expansions [2] Financial Forecast - The report provides a financial forecast with expected revenues of 18,263 million RMB in 2025, 19,770 million RMB in 2026, and 20,942 million RMB in 2027, showing a recovery from a decline in 2023 and 2024 [5][10] - Net profit is projected to increase from 644 million RMB in 2025 to 871 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [5][10]

Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 16.951 billion and an adjusted profit of RMB 650 million during the reporting period, with an investment of RMB 906 million in product and solution R&D[8]. - The company's revenue for 2024 was RMB 16,950,733 thousand, a decrease of 1.0% compared to RMB 17,116,894 thousand in 2023[92]. - Service revenue declined by 1.9% to RMB 16,314,168 thousand from RMB 16,631,560 thousand year-over-year[92]. - Annual profit decreased by 28.3% to RMB 511,145 thousand from RMB 712,667 thousand year-over-year[91]. - Basic earnings per share fell by 22.7% to RMB 20.01 from RMB 25.88 in the previous year[92]. - The adjusted profit for 2024 was RMB 650,240 thousand, an increase of 3.8% from RMB 626,350 thousand in 2023, with an adjusted profit margin of 3.8% compared to 3.7% in 2023[129]. - The company's annual profit attributable to owners was RMB 512,925 thousand in 2024, down 28.1% from RMB 713,394 thousand in 2023, resulting in basic earnings per share of RMB 20.01, a decrease of 22.7%[128]. - The company achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.6% in total revenue and 30.8% in service revenue since its listing in 2003[102]. Research and Development - The company invested RMB 906 million in product and solution R&D[8]. - R&D expenses for 2024 were RMB 906,274 thousand, a decrease of 16.0% from RMB 1,078,296 thousand in 2023, with a focus on AI and ERP solutions[119]. - The company has developed over 50 general AI algorithms and launched 6 industry-specific smart terminal products, successfully implementing real-time monitoring in various scenarios across cities[16]. - The company has established a technology innovation center to enhance AI service capabilities, integrating AI computing services and engineering[94]. - The company has developed a self-research AI financial analysis tool that automates report generation and provides interactive decision support[22]. AI and Technology Integration - The company launched the Agentic AI platform suite Lumi and Lumi ONE, along with the training and inference integrated platform ARK Foundry, significantly shortening the innovation cycle for AI applications[12]. - The AI data analyst Agent, based on the AI native application engine, enhances data analysis efficiency and supports enterprise management and business decision-making[13]. - The company has established a digital power innovation center in collaboration with Huawei and Beijing Changping Future Science City, integrating DeepSeek models to provide comprehensive AI services[10]. - The model factory has been upgraded to 2.0, offering full lifecycle services from data governance to model training and deployment verification[9]. - The company aims to drive the intelligent upgrade of SMEs by integrating AI Agent service scenarios into their operations[12]. Market Expansion and Partnerships - The company has established a joint venture in Saudi Arabia as a strategic center for the Middle East market, signing a memorandum of cooperation with Huawei to promote regional digital development[21]. - The company is expanding its global market presence, using Hong Kong as a hub to reach Asia-Pacific and Middle Eastern regions[26]. - The company has partnered with state-owned banks and leading city commercial banks for AIGC projects, demonstrating its capabilities in the financial sector[20]. - The company has secured contracts worth HKD 410 million for the Hong Kong Police Central Digital Imaging Platform project, establishing a benchmark for government-controlled IT[21]. - The company has established cloud excellence centers (CCOEs) in key cities to enhance localized service capabilities and support AI cloud transformation for enterprises[71]. Operational Efficiency and Innovations - The company has achieved a 10x efficiency improvement in core services such as project review and acceptance through AI upgrades, utilizing a knowledge base covering over 100,000 project rules and experiences[39]. - The company has launched an intelligent risk control solution for bills, which automates compliance checks and risk detection, showcasing significant potential for cost reduction and risk management in the financial sector[40]. - The company has successfully implemented AI solutions in multiple sectors, including smart power, government, finance, and healthcare, showcasing the extensive application value of Agentic AI[20]. - The company has launched various AI applications in traditional manufacturing, focusing on enhancing production efficiency and market competitiveness[76]. - The company has established a layered defense architecture for AI applications, ensuring security through fine-grained access control and enhanced isolation mechanisms[33]. Corporate Governance and Compliance - The board of directors includes a mix of executive, non-executive, and independent directors, ensuring diverse expertise[140]. - The company emphasizes the importance of board diversity, considering various factors such as gender, age, and professional background in the selection of candidates[150]. - The audit committee reviewed the group's financial reporting procedures and internal control systems, ensuring compliance with applicable accounting standards[161]. - The company has established a clear delegation of authority to the executive directors and management for daily operations and business strategy[145]. - The company is committed to continuously optimizing its risk management system to enhance its risk management capabilities and ensure long-term growth and sustainability[172]. Social Responsibility and Sustainability - The company is committed to fulfilling corporate social responsibility (CSR) by aligning with SA8000 standards and promoting green innovation[181]. - The company is facing challenges in talent acquisition and retention due to intensified market competition for skilled personnel[181]. - The company is enhancing information security management and has achieved ISO27001 certification while introducing ISO27701 for personal privacy protection[182]. - The company aims to maintain its competitive edge by accelerating the transition from traditional IT services to high-value AI solutions[184]. - The company is committed to building a "healthy win-win" ecosystem with partners to enhance supply chain management and cost control[179].