Exact Sciences(EXAS)
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Exact Sciences Corporation (EXAS) Presents at Baird 2025 Global Healthcare Conference
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-09 20:49
Group 1 - Exact Sciences is participating in the Baird conference, highlighting its long-standing relationship with the firm and the support received over the years [1][2] - The CEO, Kevin Conroy, reflects on the company's journey since its early days in 2009, emphasizing the initial skepticism from investors and the importance of early-stage investment [2] - The company aims to present its unique scientific value proposition and robust commercial strategy to investors [3]
Exact Sciences Corporation (EXAS) Presents At Baird 2025 Global Healthcare Conference (Transcript)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-09 20:49
Group 1 - Exact Sciences is participating in the Baird conference, highlighting its long-standing relationship with the firm and the support received over the years [1][2] - The CEO, Kevin Conroy, reflects on the company's journey since its early days in 2009, emphasizing the initial skepticism from investors and the importance of early-stage investment [2] - The company aims to present its unique scientific value proposition and robust commercial strategy to investors [3]
Exact Sciences (NasdaqCM:EXAS) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-09-09 15:52
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported significant top-line growth, with a 18% increase in the Cologuard business in the second quarter, driven by both price and volume [18][19] - The financial profile shows an inflection in both top-line and bottom-line growth, with a disciplined approach to costs [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The rescreen opportunity is growing, with 2 million people due for their rescreen test this year, up from 1.6 million last year, indicating a recurring revenue model [11] - Cologuard Plus is expected to enhance the competitive position, with plans to sunset the original Cologuard test as the new test is introduced [19] - Care Gap programs have shown explosive growth, with revenue exceeding $125 million last year and projected to become a $500 million opportunity in the Medicare Advantage population [24][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has established partnerships with major payers like Humana and Centene, enhancing its market position [19] - The market for multi-cancer blood tests is estimated at $25 billion in the U.S., with a potential consumer base of 110 million [36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage its digital ecosystem to improve screening rates, targeting the 50 million people in the U.S. who are not up to date with colon cancer screening [5] - The launch of CancerGuard, a multi-cancer screening test, is a key strategic initiative, with expectations for significant market impact [8][34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth trajectory, citing improvements in sales force productivity and the effectiveness of Care Gap programs [15][20] - The company anticipates that the introduction of CancerGuard and Oncodetect will further enhance its market position and growth potential [38] Other Important Information - The company has a unique ability to reach patients who refuse traditional screening methods, which is expected to drive growth for both Cologuard and CancerGuard [27] - The company is focused on building brand loyalty and awareness, with over 90% brand recognition for Cologuard [3][4] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the company executing on the rescreen opportunity? - The company noted that the rescreen opportunity is growing, with 2 million people due for their rescreen test this year, indicating a strong recurring revenue model [11] Question: What changes have been made to improve Cologuard's trajectory? - The company reverted to a model that gives sales reps accountability for their territories, resulting in a 20% improvement in productivity [12][13] Question: How does the company view the size of its sales force? - Management believes the current sales force is adequate to target primary care effectively, which is crucial for launching new tests like CancerGuard [16][17] Question: What is the potential of Care Gap programs? - Care Gap programs are expected to grow significantly, with the potential to become a $500 million opportunity in the Medicare Advantage population [24][22] Question: What is the outlook for the multi-cancer blood test? - The multi-cancer blood test is positioned to address a significant market need, with a potential consumer base of 110 million in the U.S. [36]
Exact Sciences Corporation (EXAS) Presents At Wells Fargo 20th Annual Healthcare Conference 2025 Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-03 20:14
Group 1 - The core focus is on the fundamentals of Exact in Q2, which were influenced by Freenome developments [1] - Cologuard experienced an 18% year-over-year growth for the second consecutive quarter, indicating strong performance [1] - The guidance suggests that Cologuard will exit the year with a growth rate in the high teens, supported by pricing strategies for Cologuard Plus [1]
Exact Sciences(EXAS) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-03 18:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cologuard growth accelerated by 18% year over year in Q2, marking the second consecutive quarter of growth acceleration [3][4] - The company expects to exit the year with growth in the high teens, driven by Cologuard and pricing strategies [4][5] - Gross margins are expected to expand for the full year, despite some fluctuations due to timing of large Care Gap orders [16][56] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cologuard's adoption is driven by a strong commercial organization, Care Gap programs, and rescreening initiatives [5][9] - Care Gap revenue was over $125 million last year and is expected to grow significantly, with potential to reach $500 million in the near to midterm [10][12] - The rescreening business is projected to grow at a rate of 30% per year over the next five years [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has established connections with over 250,000 providers and has EMR connections with more than 50% of physicians in the U.S. [5] - Cologuard Plus has gained Medicare coverage and is seeing early adoption from commercial payers, with expectations to sign contracts with more payers by year-end [17][20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to transition fully to Cologuard Plus by 2027, with a focus on maintaining pricing parity with Medicare [21][23] - The partnership with Freedom is viewed as additive to the existing portfolio, enhancing both top and bottom lines [30][31] - The launch of CancerGuard, a multi-cancer test, is expected to leverage existing commercial relationships and brand strength [60][61] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving long-term targets of 15% CAGR for top line and over 20% EBITDA margin, with current margins already in the high teens [47][50] - The company is at a significant inflection point in terms of profitability and free cash flow generation [55][70] - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining growth investments while implementing cost-saving measures [51][52] Other Important Information - The company is targeting a COGS per test of $200 to $250 as it scales operations [43] - The cost-out program is expected to yield $150 million in annualized savings by 2026 [51] - The company anticipates a significant increase in free cash flow in the second half of the year due to the recognition of revenue from Cologuard Plus [56] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the company plan to achieve growth in Care Gap revenue? - Management indicated that Care Gap revenue was over $125 million last year and is expected to grow significantly, with increased adoption from payers [10][12] Question: What is the expected impact of Cologuard Plus on gross margins? - Management stated that while initial costs are being incurred, they expect gross margins to improve as the product scales [24][25] Question: What is the timeline for the launch of the multi-cancer test? - The multi-cancer test, CancerGuard, is set to launch in Q4, with pricing positioned just below $700 [60][61] Question: How does the company view the competitive landscape for blood tests? - Management believes that their established network and brand strength will position them favorably in the blood test market [37][38] Question: What are the long-term financial targets for the company? - Management reiterated confidence in achieving a 15% CAGR for top line growth and over 20% EBITDA margin in the long term [47][50]
Exact Sciences(EXAS) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-03 18:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cologuard growth accelerated by 18% year-over-year in Q2, with expectations to exit the year at a high teens growth rate [3][4] - The company anticipates gross margins to expand for the full year despite fluctuations in quarterly performance [16][52] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cologuard's commercial organization has driven significant growth, with a record number of over 250,000 ordering providers [4][5] - Care Gap programs revenue exceeded $125 million last year and is expected to grow significantly, with potential to reach $500 million in the near to midterm [10][12] - The rescreening business is projected to grow at a 30% annual rate over the next five years [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has established EMR connections with over 50% of physicians in the U.S., enhancing its market reach [4] - Cologuard Plus has gained Medicare coverage and is seeing early adoption from commercial payers, with expectations to sign contracts with over 20% of total volume by year-end [17][20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to transition fully to Cologuard Plus by 2027, with a focus on enhancing payer relationships and improving adherence rates [21][22] - The launch of CancerGuard, a multi-cancer test, is expected to leverage existing commercial relationships and expand the company's product offerings [55][57] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving long-term targets of 15% CAGR for top-line growth and over 20% EBITDA margin, with current margins already in the high teens [46][48] - The company is at a significant inflection point in terms of profitability and free cash flow generation, expecting to triple free cash flow this year [52][54] Other Important Information - The company has initiated a cost-out program aimed at achieving $150 million in annualized savings by 2026, while still investing in growth activities [49][51] - The overall adherence rate for Cologuard is currently at 65%, with efforts to improve compliance in Care Gap initiatives [13][14] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the expected revenue from Care Gap programs this year? - Management indicated that Care Gap programs are providing a meaningful leg of growth, with expectations for significant revenue increases [10][11] Question: How does Cologuard Plus contribute to growth? - Cologuard Plus is expected to provide about 200 basis points of growth from pricing, with further tailwinds anticipated as more contracts are signed [22][23] Question: What is the company's strategy regarding the Freedom partnership? - Management clarified that the partnership with Freedom has been in the works for months and is seen as additive to the existing portfolio, enhancing both top and bottom lines [28][30] Question: What are the expectations for the multi-cancer test? - The multi-cancer test is priced below $700 and is expected to leverage the existing sales force and brand recognition to drive adoption [57][58] Question: How does the company plan to manage G&A costs moving forward? - The company has maintained flat G&A costs for six quarters and aims to reduce this as a percentage of revenue to below 20% by 2027 [51][52]
EXAS Stock Dips Despite Q2 Earnings & Revenue Beat, '25 Sales View Up
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 13:30
Core Insights - Exact Sciences Corporation (EXAS) reported earnings per share (EPS) of 22 cents in Q2 2025, significantly better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 2 cents and an improvement from a loss of 9 cents in the same quarter last year [1][9] - The company’s consolidated revenues reached $811.1 million, marking a 16% increase on a reported basis and an 11% increase on a core revenue basis, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.78% [2][9] Revenue Breakdown - Screening revenues, including laboratory service revenues from Cologuard tests and PreventionGenetics, increased by 18% year over year to $811 million, driven by rescreens, care gap programs, and improved commercial execution [3] - Precision Oncology revenues, which include laboratory service revenues from global Oncotype products and therapy selection products, totaled $183 million, reflecting a 9% increase from the previous year, supported by the continued international adoption of Oncotype DX [4] Margin Performance - Gross profit rose by 15.2% year over year to $562.5 million, although gross margin contracted by 49 basis points to 69.4% due to a 17.9% increase in the cost of revenues [5] - Research and development expenses decreased by 10.1% to $108.9 million, while sales and marketing expenses surged by 16.8% to $247.1 million, and general and administrative expenses increased by 17.5% to $209 million [5] Financial Update - Exact Sciences ended Q2 with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaling $858.4 million, up from $786 million at the end of Q1 [7] - Cumulative net cash provided by operating activities was $89 million, down from $107.1 million in the same period last year [7] 2025 Outlook - For the full year 2025, the company anticipates total revenues between $3.130 billion and $3.170 billion, an increase from the previous estimate of $3.070 billion to $3.120 billion [8][10] - Screening revenues are expected to be in the range of $2.440 billion to $2.470 billion, while Precision Oncology revenues are anticipated between $690 million and $700 million [10] Strategic Developments - Exact Sciences reported that a record 200,000 providers ordered Cologuard, with growth across all segments [11] - The company expanded agreements with two of its top 10 payers to make Cologuard Plus in-network and entered an exclusive license with Freenome for a blood-based colorectal cancer screening test [11] - A multiyear productivity plan has been launched to enhance operational efficiency and achieve significant cost synergies, with a target of over $150 million in annual savings by 2026 [12]
Here's Why Exact Sciences (EXAS) is a Strong Growth Stock
ZACKS· 2025-08-11 14:46
Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools for investors to enhance their stock market engagement and confidence [1] - The Zacks Style Scores are designed to help investors identify stocks with the highest potential to outperform the market in the short term [2] Zacks Style Scores Overview - The Style Scores consist of four categories: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score, each focusing on different investment strategies [3][4][5][6] - Value Score emphasizes identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios [3] - Growth Score focuses on a company's financial health and future growth potential [4] - Momentum Score identifies trends in stock prices and earnings estimates to optimize entry points [5] - VGM Score combines all three styles to highlight stocks with the best overall characteristics [6] Zacks Rank and Style Scores Interaction - The Zacks Rank utilizes earnings estimate revisions to guide investors in stock selection, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks historically yielding an average annual return of +23.75% since 1988 [7] - The combination of Zacks Rank and Style Scores helps investors narrow down their choices among numerous top-rated stocks [8] - Stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B are recommended for maximizing returns [9] Company Spotlight: Exact Sciences (EXAS) - Exact Sciences Corporation specializes in molecular diagnostics for early cancer detection, focusing on colorectal cancer screening, molecular residual disease testing, and multi-cancer screening [11] - EXAS holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and has a VGM Score of A, indicating solid potential [11] - The company is projected to experience significant growth, with a year-over-year earnings growth forecast of 226.1% for the current fiscal year [12] - Recent analyst revisions have positively impacted earnings estimates, with an increase from $0.24 to $0.29 per share [12] - EXAS has demonstrated an impressive average earnings surprise of +329.9%, making it a strong candidate for growth investors [12][13]
Top 3 Health Care Stocks That Are Preparing To Pump This Month
Benzinga· 2025-08-11 12:01
Core Insights - The health care sector is experiencing a trend of oversold stocks, presenting potential buying opportunities for undervalued companies [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a key indicator used to identify oversold conditions, with a value below 30 indicating potential buying opportunities [1] Company Summaries - **Exact Sciences Corp (EXAS)**: Reported strong quarterly results with a focus on earlier detection. Despite positive performance, the stock fell approximately 21% over the past month, with an RSI of 22.9 and a closing price of $40.99 [8] - **Tandem Diabetes Care Inc (TNDM)**: Announced mixed second-quarter results and narrowed FY25 sales guidance below estimates. The stock declined around 27% in the last five days, with an RSI of 22.7 and a closing price of $11.23 [8] - **Outset Medical Inc (OM)**: Reported better-than-expected second-quarter results and raised FY25 sales guidance. The stock fell about 34% over the past month, with an RSI of 29.6 and a closing price of $12.80 [8]
Exact Sciences Dip A Chance To Buy As Freenome Deal Fortifies Future: Analyst
Benzinga· 2025-08-07 18:56
Core Viewpoint - Exact Sciences Corp. reported a narrower EPS loss and increased revenues, indicating strong performance in its Screening and Precision Oncology segments [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a second-quarter 2025 EPS loss of 1 cent, an improvement from a 9-cent loss a year ago, and better than the analyst consensus loss estimate of 19 cents [1]. - Revenues increased to $811.085 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $774.34 million, with a 16% increase in sales on both reported and core revenue bases [1]. - Gross margin was reported at 69%, with an adjusted gross margin of 72% [2]. Product Development - Initial results from an internal colorectal cancer blood test showed sensitivities of 73% for colorectal cancer and 14% for advanced precancerous lesions at 90% specificity, with ongoing internal testing [2]. - Exact Sciences announced the acquisition of exclusive rights to Freenome's blood-based colorectal cancer screening tests, which achieved sensitivities of 81% for colorectal cancer in recent studies [5]. Guidance and Outlook - The company raised its fiscal 2025 sales guidance to $3.13 billion-$3.17 billion, compared to the previous guidance of $3.07 billion-$3.12 billion, with a Screening segment forecast of $2.44 billion-$2.47 billion [3]. - Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 is expected to be between $455 million and $475 million, an increase from the previous guidance of $425 million-$455 million [4]. Analyst Reactions - Analysts are focused on the acquisition of Freenome's rights, viewing it as a strategic move to enhance revenue potential and mitigate competitive threats [7][8]. - William Blair noted that the deal strengthens Exact Sciences' position in noninvasive colorectal cancer screening and expects improved performance in the coming years [9]. - Barclays and RBC Capital adjusted their price forecasts downward, while UBS maintained a neutral stance, reflecting mixed market sentiment [10].