Golub Capital(GBDC)

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Golub Capital(GBDC) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-11-21 04:39
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted net investment income (NII) per share was $0.47 for the quarter, with an adjusted NII return on equity of 12.4% [8][14] - Adjusted net income per share for the quarter was $0.36, corresponding to an adjusted return on equity of 9.4% [8][14] - NAV per share decreased by $0.13 sequentially to $15.19, but is $0.17 higher than the previous year [26][33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Gross originations were nearly $1 billion, up from the previous quarter, with net funds increasing by $368 million sequentially, representing a 5% net portfolio growth [17][34] - The weighted average rate on new investments decreased to 10.7% [35] - Nonaccruals increased slightly to 1.2% of total debt investments at fair value [45] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The underwriting environment has shifted to be more borrower-friendly across all credit markets, with increased spread compression and looser deal documentation [18][60] - Investments in rating Category 3 increased from 10.1% to 11.6% of the portfolio at fair value [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on providing first lien senior secured loans to resilient middle-market companies backed by strong private equity sponsors [5] - The company aims to maintain a conservative approach by being selective in its origination strategy, focusing on core middle-market transactions [19][61] - The company has implemented a new supplemental variable distribution framework, leading to $0.29 per share of supplemental distributions [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates increased credit stress, which they view positively as it may lead to more lender-friendly conditions [56][58] - The company expects a potential pickup in M&A activity in 2025 due to falling interest rates and less political uncertainty [62] - Management believes GBDC is well-positioned to outperform in the current environment due to its competitive advantages [64] Other Important Information - The company declared total distributions of $0.43 per share, including a regular quarterly distribution of $0.39 and a supplemental distribution of $0.04 [29] - The company has a strong liquidity position with approximately $1.4 billion available from unrestricted cash and undrawn commitments [54] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the current state of documentation terms in the market? - Management indicated that documentation terms are currently more borrower-friendly, especially in the large market segment, but they maintain strong protections in the core middle market [70][74] Question: What are the expectations for M&A activity in 2025? - Management expressed caution but noted significant tailwinds for M&A activity, including lower rates and political stability, while acknowledging uncertainty remains [76][78] Question: How is the balance sheet optimization progressing? - Management stated that they are continuously optimizing the balance sheet and have made significant improvements post-merger, but will keep looking for opportunities [79][80] Question: Can you provide details on the recent originations and deployment strategy? - Management clarified that the $1 billion in originations was consistent across the Golub platform and emphasized the importance of relationships with repeat sponsors [82][87] Question: What is the impact of noncash interest expense related to swaps? - The noncash interest expense from swaps was approximately $0.02 per share [88]
Golub Capital BDC (GBDC) Beats Q4 Earnings, Misses Revenue Estimates (Revised)
ZACKS· 2024-11-20 11:01
Company Performance - Golub Capital BDC reported quarterly earnings of $0.47 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.45 per share, but down from $0.50 per share a year ago, indicating a 6% year-over-year decline [1] - The company posted revenues of $224.41 million for the quarter ended September 2024, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.16%, compared to $164.54 million in the same quarter last year, reflecting a 36.4% year-over-year increase [2] - Over the last four quarters, Golub Capital BDC surpassed consensus EPS estimates once and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Golub Capital BDC shares have increased by approximately 2.8% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 23.6%, indicating underperformance relative to the broader market [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.45 on revenues of $233.12 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.73 on revenues of $864.6 million [7] Industry Context - The Financial - SBIC & Commercial Industry, to which Golub Capital BDC belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 40% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Golub Capital BDC's stock performance [5][6]
Golub Capital BDC (GBDC) Misses Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-11-19 23:31
Golub Capital BDC (GBDC) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.36 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.45 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.50 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -20%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this business development company would post earnings of $0.49 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.48, delivering a surprise of -2.04%.Over the last four q ...
Golub Capital: High-Yield Play With Caveats
Seeking Alpha· 2024-11-14 17:59
Author's note: This is your chance to try us out – without any strings attached. Activate your two-week free trial period now and see if The Insiders Forum is right for you.Shares of business development company Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (NASDAQ: GBDC ) are down 13% since achieving a post-pandemic selloff high of $17.72 in April 2024 as its borrowing costs rose. In addition to its spreads thinning out in its most recentWe run the investing group The Insiders Forum where we specialize in small and mid-cap stoc ...
Golub Capital: A Good Blend Of Yield, Quality, And Income In An Expensive Sector
Seeking Alpha· 2024-10-31 11:00
With many Business Development Companies (BDCs) trading at high valuations above their net asset values, and the overall market continuing to trend higher, there seems to be limited opportunities to buy quality dividend stocksThis article was co-produced with The Dividend Collectuh.Introducing iREIT®Join iREIT® on Alpha today to get the most in-depth research that includes REITs, mREIT, Preferreds, BDCs, MLPs, ETFs, Builders, and Asset Managers. Our iREIT® Tracker provides data on over 250 tickers with our ...
Time To Invest? 2 BDCs With Significant Insider Buying In 2024
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-06 11:00
Alistair Berg This article was coproduced with The Dividend Collectuh. Introduction With the Fed all but confirming that interest rates will likely be cut this month, I have to admit I was expecting a larger pullback within the business development company sector. However, many of the higher-quality BDCs and their share prices have held up well since the July CPI report showed inflation to be cooling, paving the way for interest rate cuts. Although the BDC sector has seen a slight retraction over the past t ...
3 SBIC & Commercial Finance Stocks to Watch Despite Industry Woes
ZACKS· 2024-08-29 13:11
The Zacks SBIC & Commercial Finance industry will continue to benefit from favorable regulatory changes and a rise in demand for personalized financing solutions as rates come down. However, gradual deterioration in asset quality because of prolonged high rates and the expected economic slowdown will hurt industry players' financials in the coming days. Heightened competition and portfolio companies' difficulty in servicing debt are other major industry headwinds. Yet, a few players like Golub Capital BDC, ...
Golub Capital: Price Drop Brings This Into Buy Zone (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2024-08-03 12:15
Pgiam/E+ via Getty Images Overview With interest rate cuts expected to happen in September, it seems like capital is starting to flow out of the Business Development Company sector. As a result, we can see lots of BDCs experiencing price declines. However, I am totally comfortable with this happening and I'll try to explain why you should be as well. For example, we can see how Golub Capital (NASDAQ:GBDC) fell by nearly 5% over the last five days. This movement followed the both the VanEck BDC Income ETF (B ...
Golub Capital: Buy The Dip On This 10% Yield
Seeking Alpha· 2024-07-21 14:30
Sashkinw It pays to have a diversified basket of income, and for most investors, that means putting together a portfolio of 20 or more stocks in different industries. That's probably easier said than done, as stocks in a portfolio will fall in and out of favor with the market, thereby creating imbalances. This results in a need for portfolio rebalancing every now and then for those who want to maintain equal weightings as a manner of reducing risk and volatility, and this can involve additional work, thereb ...
2 SBIC & Commercial Finance Stocks to Buy Despite Industry Woes
ZACKS· 2024-06-06 13:16
However, gradual deterioration in asset quality because of prolonged high rates and economic slowdown will hurt industry players' financials. Increased competition and portfolio companies' difficulty in servicing debt are other major headwinds being faced by the industry. Yet, a few names, like Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) and Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. (CCAP) , are worth investing in. The Zacks SBIC & Commercial Finance industry comprises companies that provide finance to small and midsized privately hel ...