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New Fortress Energy(NFE) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-14 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core earnings for Q1 2025 were consistent with expectations, with historical core earnings showing stability [4][3] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 was reported at $82 million, with a forecast for EBITDA plus gains for the year between $1.25 billion and $1.5 billion, higher than previous estimates [4][51] - The company reported a net loss of $200 million for GAAP, translating to a loss of $0.73 per share, with no material one-time items affecting adjusted EPS [52] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Jamaica sale generated $1.055 billion in gross proceeds, resulting in net proceeds of approximately $778 million after debt repayment and fees, contributing to a gain of $430 million [6][49] - The company has focused on asset sales, debt reduction, and deleveraging, with the Jamaica sale being a significant step in this direction [11][12] - The FSRU contracts signed recently are expected to contribute approximately $200 million in future earnings, with potential for additional cash flow from ongoing discussions with counterparties [50] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is positioned to register over 2 gigawatts of projects in the upcoming Brazil capacity auction, with strong market confidence reflected in third-party project requests [36] - In Puerto Rico, the energy system is described as underinvested and in need of new generation, with opportunities for temporary power and gas supply contracts [38][40] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to simplify its balance sheet by transitioning from a corporate debt structure to asset-level financing, focusing on long-duration cash flows [15][16] - Growth opportunities are identified in Brazil and Puerto Rico, with significant investments made in Brazil to establish a resilient business [23][24] - The company is committed to addressing liquidity issues and refinancing its debt structure to lower costs and extend terms [64][65] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the resolution of the FEMA claim, with a high degree of reengagement with the Army Corps [7] - The company remains confident in the structural needs for power in Brazil, despite delays in the capacity auction [35][91] - In Puerto Rico, management highlighted the urgent need for new power generation and the potential for significant cost savings through conversion to natural gas [40][42] Other Important Information - The company ended Q1 with $448 million in cash and $275 million available under its revolving credit facility, totaling over $1.1 billion in pro forma liquidity [53] - The construction progress of key power plants in Brazil is reported at 95% for the Selva plant and over 54% for the Porto San plant, despite challenges from weather conditions [27][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the restricted cash on the balance sheet? - The majority of restricted cash is related to CapEx in Brazil, specifically for the Selva and Porto San power plants, with some cash expected to be freed up post-Jamaica transaction [58] Question: Is the company considering open market repurchases of debt? - The company is evaluating opportunities to refinance its capital structure and may consider retiring debt at a discount if available [60][63] Question: What is the strategy for bidding in Puerto Rico's power opportunity? - The bidding process requires a unitary cost of power, and the company is leveraging its existing infrastructure to participate effectively [68][69] Question: What is the status of the Nicaragua project? - The company is in the final stages of restructuring the PPA with the government, aiming for a structure similar to long-term gas contracts in Brazil and Puerto Rico [78][80]
New Fortress Energy(NFE) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-14 20:21
Financial Performance & Projections - Q1 2025 Adjusted EBITDA was $82 million[8], with zero net deferred earnings from contracted sales and $10 million of depreciation in cost of sales from Fast LNG 1[64] - The company expects 2025 AEBITDA to be between $1.25 billion and $1.5 billion, higher than previous estimates, including ~$500 million in core earnings and $750 million to $1 billion in one-off gains[9] - Net loss attributable to stockholders in Q1 2025 was $200 million, a $42 million decrease QoQ[67] - Total liquidity after the Jamaica sale is $1.116 billion, including $393 million from the sale[67] Jamaica Sale & Debt Reduction - The sale of the Jamaica business for $1.055 billion is expected to yield net proceeds of $778 million[16] and a book gain of ~$430 million[11] - Proceeds from the Jamaica sale will be used to pay down $270 million of revolver debt and $55 million of Term Loan A[56] FSRU Sub-charters - Sub-chartering four FSRUs is expected to generate $312 million nominally over the lives of the contracts[11, 61], with a PV10 of ~$236 million[11] Brazil Operations - Construction of CELBA 2 is ~95% complete, with cash flows expected to commence in the second half of 2025[42] - PortoCem is ~54% complete, with capacity revenues expected to commence in the second half of 2026[42] - The company has registered for 2 GW+ of its own projects in the upcoming Brazil energy auctions and has been requested by 3rd parties to supply gas to 3 GW+ of projects[46, 47]
Why New Fortress Energy (NFE) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-04-21 17:15
Core Insights - New Fortress Energy (NFE) has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, averaging a 258.33% beat over the last two quarters [1][2] - The company reported earnings of $0.13 per share for the last quarter, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.06 per share by 116.67% [2] - In the previous quarter, NFE's earnings were $0.05 per share against an expectation of $0.01, resulting in a 400% surprise [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for New Fortress Energy, with a positive Earnings ESP of +45.95%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts [5][8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat [5][8] - Historically, stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] - A positive Earnings ESP indicates that analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8] - A negative Earnings ESP does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss but reduces the predictive power of the metric [8]
LNG Shipping Stocks: Week Of Returns
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-16 08:28
Group 1 - The UP World LNG Shipping Index increased by 4.54 points, representing a 3.03% gain, closing at 154.17 points [1] - The S&P 500 index also saw an increase, gaining 5.70% [1] - A chart illustrating the performance of both indices with weekly data is referenced [1]
New Fortress Energy (NFE) Soars 5.1%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-04-08 15:00
New Fortress Energy (NFE) shares soared 5.1% in the last trading session to close at $5.74. The move was backed by solid volume with far more shares changing hands than in a normal session. This compares to the stock's 44.7% loss over the past four weeks.Being an operator of natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure and an integrated fleet of ships and logistics assets, the company is banking on mounting clean energy demand. The recent agreement to divest its assets and operations in Jamaic ...
Kuehn Law Encourages Investors of New Fortress Energy Inc. to Contact Law Firm
Prnewswire· 2025-04-01 18:37
Core Viewpoint - Kuehn Law, PLLC is investigating potential breaches of fiduciary duties by certain officers and directors of New Fortress Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: NFE) towards shareholders [1] Group 1: Allegations and Legal Actions - A federal securities lawsuit claims that insiders at New Fortress misrepresented the company's projected revenue outlook and growth while minimizing risks related to the Fast LNG projects [2] - The Fast LNG projects failed to meet publicly stated progress, particularly the expectation that FLNG 1 would be operational by March 2024 [2] Group 2: Shareholder Participation - Shareholders who purchased NFE shares prior to February 29, 2024, are encouraged to contact Kuehn Law for potential legal action, as there may be limited time to enforce their rights [3] - Kuehn Law covers all case costs and does not charge investor clients, emphasizing the importance of shareholder involvement in maintaining market integrity [4]
New Fortress Energy: Company Needs To Deliver On Near-Term Asset Sales - Hold
Seeking Alpha· 2025-03-11 17:44
Group 1 - The focus has shifted towards offshore drilling, supply industry, and shipping, including tankers, containers, and dry bulk [1] - The fuel cell industry is being monitored as it is still in its early stages of development [1] Group 2 - The individual has extensive experience in auditing and trading, having navigated significant market events such as the dotcom bubble and the subprime crisis [2] - The research provided aims to maintain high quality despite language barriers [2]
New Fortress Energy(NFE) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-03-10 15:53
Debt and Financial Obligations - As of December 31, 2024, the company had approximately $9,027.1 million in aggregate principal amount of indebtedness outstanding on a consolidated basis[189]. - The New 2029 Notes bear an interest rate of 12.000% per annum, significantly increasing the company's annual interest expense[192]. - The company expects to incur additional indebtedness to assist in developing operations and is considering alternative financing options, including the opportunistic sale of non-core assets[193]. - The company may need to refinance existing indebtedness with new debt that could have higher interest rates, increasing fixed costs[191]. - The company has incurred and may incur additional debt or issue equity, which could dilute existing Class A common stockholders and negatively affect the market price of Class A common stock[252]. Liquidity and Operational Risks - The company may face substantial liquidity problems if cash flows from operating activities are insufficient to fund day-to-day operations or debt service obligations[190]. - Joint ventures may restrict operational flexibility and require credit support, potentially leading to adverse effects on the company's business[194]. - The company relies on various sources for additional funding, which may not be available or may come with unfavorable terms[193]. - The company is exposed to risks from weather events and natural disasters, which could materially affect operations and projects[198]. - The company may incur impairments to long-lived assets due to significant negative industry or economic trends[197]. Regulatory and Compliance Risks - Regulatory provisions, such as those from the Dodd-Frank Act, could adversely affect the company's ability to hedge risks associated with its business[196]. - The company is subject to extensive environmental, social, health, and safety regulations, which may lead to increased compliance costs and operational restrictions[200]. - The company may face substantial liabilities and fines for non-compliance with environmental regulations, potentially exceeding insurance coverage limits[202]. - Climate change legislation and regulations could impose more stringent restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions, increasing operational costs and reducing demand for natural gas[205]. - Hydraulic fracturing regulations may become more stringent, potentially raising natural gas prices and adversely affecting the company's pricing advantage[208]. Indigenous Rights and Community Relations - The company must comply with international and national laws regarding indigenous community rights, which could impact operations and lead to construction delays[210]. - The company has entered agreements with some indigenous communities for land use, but failure to obtain necessary authorizations could result in increased costs and operational impacts[212]. - The company is exposed to potential legal challenges regarding the adequacy of existing Brazilian legal requirements for indigenous rights protection[211]. Market and Economic Conditions - Changes in public sentiment regarding fossil fuels may lead to reduced demand for LNG, impacting the company's market position[207]. - The development of offshore natural gas and LNG operations is subject to extensive regulations from Mexican authorities, which may increase operating costs and capital expenditures[214]. - The company's operations are affected by economic, political, and social conditions in various jurisdictions, which could materially impact financial results[236]. - Foreign exchange fluctuations may adversely affect the company's financial condition, as revenues and expenses are incurred in multiple currencies[238]. Corporate Governance and Shareholder Matters - A small number of original investors control a significant portion of voting power, potentially conflicting with the interests of other shareholders[244]. - Concentrated ownership may deter hostile takeovers and limit the ability of other shareholders to influence corporate decisions[245]. - New Fortress Energy Holdings has assigned rights to the Founder Entities to nominate individuals for the board of directors as long as they own at least 5% of Class A common stock[246]. - The company does not expect to pay dividends for the foreseeable future, as any future payments will be at the discretion of the board of directors and subject to various restrictions[251]. Legal and Tax Risks - The company may face significant legal proceedings that could adversely affect its financial position and operations[261]. - A change in tax laws could result in a materially higher tax expense, affecting the company's after-tax profitability[260]. - Non-compliance with trade and economic sanctions could result in severe penalties, affecting access to U.S. capital markets[221]. Operational and Security Risks - Cybersecurity threats pose significant risks to the company's operations and data integrity, potentially affecting business continuity[229]. - The company faces increased capital and operating costs due to the implementation of security technologies and controls, with no assurance that these measures will prevent security breaches[230]. - The company does not maintain insurance against all risks, including business interruption and political risk, which could lead to significant liabilities and losses[231]. - Labor costs are expected to rise, and the company may struggle to attract and retain skilled workers, impacting operations and increasing operating costs[233]. - The company is subject to labor disputes and strikes, particularly in Latin America, which could disrupt operations and increase costs[235]. Stock Market and Financial Performance - The market price of the company's Class A common stock may be volatile, influenced by various factors including operating results and market conditions[239]. - The market price of Class A common stock may fluctuate significantly due to various factors, including market conditions and the company's operational performance[256]. - The company's share price may decline if analysts cease coverage or change recommendations unfavorably[263]. - The COVID-19 pandemic has caused economic disruptions, impacting operations and financial performance, with future crises remaining unpredictable[264]. Commodity and Interest Rate Risks - The company is exposed to commodity price risks, particularly related to LNG prices, which could impact business operations[484]. - A 100-basis point change in market interest rates could affect the fair value of fixed-rate debt by approximately $143 million[486]. - A 100-basis point change in market interest rates would alter annual interest expenses by about $16 million[487]. - The company has entered into foreign exchange forward contracts totaling approximately $211.5 million to mitigate exchange rate risks[488]. - Operations outside Brazil are primarily conducted in U.S. dollars, limiting exposure to foreign currency fluctuations[489].
New Fortress Energy(NFE) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-05 20:54
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported $313 million in EBITDA for Q4 2024, representing a roughly 50% increase over previous guidance [5][10] - Total EBITDA for the full year 2024 was confirmed at $950 million, with guidance for 2025 set at $1 billion [5][121] - The total segment operating margin for Q4 was $240 million, with an annual margin of just under $1.1 billion [101] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The FLNG asset was highlighted as a significant contributor to earnings, with volumes allowing for portfolio optimization and significant returns [10][22] - The company achieved approximately 120% of nameplate capacity for the FLNG one asset, shipping twelve cargoes totaling approximately 24 TBtu [22][25] - The company is focused on long-term growth in core markets and asset sales for deleveraging [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted excess gas supply versus current base demand, with significant incremental demand expected in core markets over the next few years [14][18] - The upcoming Brazilian capacity auction is anticipated to award between 10 to 15 gigawatts of new and existing power projects, representing a significant growth opportunity [62][64] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to grow EBITDA by 50% or more over the next two years with minimal CapEx while reducing outstanding debt [8][12] - The strategy includes deleveraging and simplifying the capital structure while reducing debt costs [13][94] - The company is positioned to capitalize on the gas-to-power market opportunities in Puerto Rico and Brazil, with significant potential for growth [36][62] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed a positive outlook for 2025 and beyond, emphasizing the sustainable competitive advantage of their integrated gas-to-power business [5][7] - The geopolitical environment, particularly regarding the Ukraine-Russia conflict, was noted as a factor that could impact market conditions [17] - Management highlighted the importance of operational excellence and community engagement in their projects, particularly in Mexico [24][25] Other Important Information - The company has made significant progress in capital markets activities, raising $409 million in new equity and extending a $900 million revolver to October 2027 [12][93] - The company is focused on asset sales, with expectations to generate $2 billion in net proceeds to pay down corporate debt [94] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the status of asset sales? - The company is focused on deleveraging through asset sales, with Jamaica being the first asset targeted for sale, generating about $125 million in EBITDA [112][114] Question: How is the company engaging with FEMA? - The company has had productive interactions with FEMA and the Army Corps, focusing on understanding the nature of their business and the gas supply contracts [116][118] Question: What updates are there on the Klondike project? - The company is awaiting building permits for the Klondike project in Pennsylvania, with expectations for good news later this year [120]
New Fortress Energy (NFE) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-03-03 23:56
Core Insights - New Fortress Energy (NFE) reported quarterly earnings of $0.13 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.06 per share, but down from $1.01 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 116.67% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $679 million for the quarter ended December 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.88%, although this is a decrease from year-ago revenues of $758.36 million [2] - New Fortress Energy shares have declined approximately 33.9% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 1.2% [3] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of New Fortress Energy's stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the company's earnings outlook [4] - Current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.04 on revenues of $668.58 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.23 on revenues of $2.88 billion [7] Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Integrated - International industry, to which New Fortress Energy belongs, is currently ranked in the top 31% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8]